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2024 United States Senate election in Nebraska

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Nominee TBD Dan Osborn
Party Republican Independent

Incumbent U.S. senator

Deb Fischer
Republican



The 2024 United States Senate election in Nebraska will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Nebraska. [1] Since there will also be special election in Nebraska for the U.S. Senate this marks the first time since 1954 and the second time since 1952 where both of Nebraska's U.S. Senate seats were concurrently for election. Primary elections will take place on May 14, 2024. [2]

Incumbent Republican Senator Deb Fischer was first elected in 2012 to fill the seat of retiring Democrat Ben Nelson and was re-elected in 2018. Fischer will seek a third term, despite having previously pledged to retire. [3]

Dan Osborn, an industrial mechanic and union leader who led the strike at Kellogg's Omaha plant in 2021, is running as an independent. No Democrats filed to run for the seat, creating speculation that Democrats may support Osborn in the general election. [4]

The Nebraska Legal Marijuana NOW Party will also field a candidate.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Deb Fischer, incumbent U.S. senator (2013–present) [5]
  • Arron Kowalski, cattle farmer and perennial candidate [6]

Endorsements

Deb Fischer
U.S. Executive branch officials
U.S. senators
State executive officials
Organizations
Labor unions

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Deb Fischer (R) $4,854,775 $2,092,453 $3,273,937
Source: Federal Election Commission [12]

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Deb Fischer (incumbent)
Republican Arron Kowalski
Total votes

Third-party and independent candidates

Legal Marijuana Now Party

Declared

  • Kerry Eddy, administrative coordinator [6]
  • Ken Peterson, compost facility attendant [6]

Independents

Declared

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Dan Osborn (I) $500,347 $1,354 $498,008
Source: Federal Election Commission [12]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report [15] Solid R November 9, 2023
Inside Elections [16] Solid R November 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe R November 9, 2023
Elections Daily [18] Safe R May 4, 2023
CNalysis [19] Solid R November 21, 2023

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Deb
Fischer (R)
Dan
Osborn (I)
Undecided
Change Research (D) [A] November 13–16, 2023 1,048 (LV) 38% 40% 22%

Results

2024 United States Senate election in Nebraska
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican TBD
Independent Dan Osborn
Legal Marijuana Now TBD
Total votes

Notes

  1. ^ Plumbers Local 16, Sprinkler Fitters Local 699, and Steamfitters Local 664
  2. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. ^ This poll was sponsored by Nebraska Railroaders for Public Safety, which supports Osborn

References

  1. ^ "United States Senate elections, 2024". Ballotpedia. Retrieved July 12, 2022.
  2. ^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
  3. ^ Walton, Don (May 14, 2021). "Fischer says she'll seek third Senate term in 2024". JournalStar.com. Retrieved May 14, 2021.
  4. ^ "Despite gun divide Dems leaning toward Osborn for Senate". central.newschannelnebraska.com.
  5. ^ "Sen. Deb Fischer officially announces run for a third term". KRVN. June 28, 2023. Retrieved June 28, 2023.
  6. ^ a b c "Nebraska Statewide Candidate List". Nebraska Secretary of State. January 5, 2024.
  7. ^ a b c d e World-Herald, Martha Stoddard Omaha (September 21, 2023). "Former Trump adviser Conway endorses Nebraska's Fischer". Star-Herald. Archived from the original on September 22, 2023. Retrieved September 22, 2023.
  8. ^ "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
  9. ^ "The Messenger: A PAC Dedicated to Electing GOP Women Issues First Wave of 2024 Endorsements (Exclusive)". maggieslist.org. Retrieved June 25, 2023.
  10. ^ "U.S. Sen. Fischer Earns Nebraska Farm Bureau Endorsement". KTIC 840 AM/98.3 FM/98.7 FM. February 18, 2024. Retrieved February 18, 2024.
  11. ^ a b "Dan Osborn says he has the signatures needed to reach Nebraska's fall ballot as a U.S. Senate candidate". Nebraska Examiner. Retrieved March 28, 2024.
  12. ^ a b "2024 Election United States Senate - Nebraska". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  13. ^ Hammel, Paul (September 21, 2023). "Omaha steamfitter/union leader Dan Osborn to challenge incumbent U.S. Sen. Deb. Fischer". Nebraska Examiner. Retrieved September 21, 2023.
  14. ^ a b c d Early, Steve (March 13, 2024). "Dan Osborn Challenges Nebraska's Political Establishment with a Blue-Collar Agenda". Barn Raising Media. Retrieved March 13, 2024.
  15. ^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  16. ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  17. ^ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  18. ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  19. ^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.

External links

Official campaign websites