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2024 United States Senate election in Nevada
The 2024 United States Senate election in Nevada will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the
United States Senate to represent the
State of Nevada . Incumbent Democratic Senator
Jacky Rosen , elected in
2018 over incumbent Republican
Dean Heller , is seeking a second term in office. Primary elections are scheduled to take place on June 11, 2024.
[1]
Background
A typical swing state, Nevada is considered to be a
purple state at the federal level, especially since in the
2020 presidential election ,
Joe Biden carried Nevada by about two percentage points. Both parties have seen success in the state in recent years. Democrats control both U.S. Senate seats and all but one seat in its congressional delegation, while Republicans flipped the governorship in
2022 .
[2]
[3]
[4]
This race is considered to be competitive given the state's nearly even partisan lean, but most analysts consider Rosen to be a slight favorite to win reelection.
[5]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
Endorsements
Jacky Rosen
U.S representatives
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate
Raised
Spent
Cash on hand
Jacky Rosen (D)
$19,314,553
$8,843,138
$10,649,604
Source:
Federal Election Commission
[30]
Results
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
Sam Brown , medical support company founder,
U.S. Army veteran, and candidate for U.S. Senate in
2022
[31]
William Conrad, former
Modesto, California city councilor and candidate for U.S. Senate in
2022
[32]
Tony Grady Jr.,
Reno Air Races director of flight operations,
U.S. Air Force veteran, and candidate for
Lieutenant Governor in
2022
[33]
Jeffrey Ross Gunter , former
U.S. Ambassador to Iceland (2019–2021)
[34]
Edward Hamilton, businessman and perennial candidate
[7]
Ronda Kennedy, civil rights attorney and perennial candidate
[35]
Barry Lindemann, real estate developer and independent candidate for U.S. Senate in
2022
[36]
Garn Mabey , former Minority Leader of the
Nevada Assembly (2007) for the 2nd district (2003–2009) and candidate for U.S. Senate in
2010
[7]
Jim Marchant , former
state assemblyman for the 37th district (2016–2018), founder of the
America First Secretary of State Coalition , nominee for
Secretary of State in
2022 , and nominee for
Nevada's 4th congressional district in
2020
[37]
Gary Marinch, real estate investor and perennial candidate
[7]
Stephanie Phillips, real estate broker
[35]
Vincent Rego
[7]
Shawn White
[7]
Declined
Endorsements
Sam Brown
Governors
U.S. senators
Organizations
Jim Marchant
U.S. Executive branch officials
U.S. representatives
Individuals
Polling
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
[a]
Margin of error
Sam Brown
Bill Conrad
Tony Grady
Jeff Gunter
Ronda Kennedy
Barry Lindemann
Jim Marchant
Undecided
Tarrance Group
[A]
October 23–26, 2023
600 (LV)
± 4.1%
24%
–
5%
1%
–
–
9%
41%
Public Opinion Strategies
[B]
August 15–17, 2023
500 (LV)
± 4.38%
33%
1%
2%
1%
1%
1%
15%
44%
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate
Raised
Spent
Cash on hand
Sam Brown (R)
$3,039,965
$1,310,835
$1,729,130
Tony Grady Jr (R)
$165,325
$108,780
$56,544
Jeffrey Ross Gunter (R)
$406,586
$377,412
$29,174
Ronda Kennedy (R)
[b]
$3,445
$3,347
$98
Jim Marchant (R)
$345,358
$287,399
$57,958
Stephanie Phillips (R)
$56,448
$48,412
$8,035
Source:
Federal Election Commission
[30]
Results
Third-party and independent candidates
Declared
Michael Fazio (Independent)
[7]
Janine Hansen (Independent American), former
Constitution Party national treasurer and perennial candidate
[7]
Christopher Cunningham (Libertarian), insurance consultant
[7]
Allen Rheinhart (No political party), artist and perennial candidate
[7]
Ed Uehling (No political party), real estate investor and perennial candidate
[7]
Chris Mazlo (No political party)
[7]
General election
Predictions
Polling
Sam Brown vs. Jacky Rosen
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
[a]
Margin of error
Jacky Rosen (D)
Sam Brown (R)
Other
Undecided
Emerson
February 16-19, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
40%
38%
–
22%
Change Research (D)
December 3-7, 2023
2,532 (V)
± ?
39%
38%
0%
23%
Tarrance Group (R)
[A]
October 23–26, 2023
600 (LV)
± 4.1%
45%
40%
5%
10%
Jim Marchant vs. Jacky Rosen
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
[a]
Margin of error
Jacky Rosen (D)
Jim Marchant (R)
Other
Undecided
Emerson
February 16-19, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
42%
36%
–
22%
Jeff Gunter vs. Jacky Rosen
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
[a]
Margin of error
Jacky Rosen (D)
Jeff Gunter (R)
Other
Undecided
Emerson
February 16-19, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
43%
32%
–
25%
Results
Notes
^
a
b
c
d Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
^ Did not file for Q4
Partisan clients
References
^
"2024 State Primary Election Dates" . www.ncsl.org . Retrieved August 6, 2023 .
^ Edelman, Adam (November 11, 2022).
"Republican Joe Lombardo has won the race for governor in Nevada, defeating Democratic incumbent Steve Sisolak" . NBC News . Retrieved March 14, 2023 .
^ Sonner, Scott (November 11, 2022).
"Nevada Democrats Sweep 3 Key House Seats in Close Battles" . en . Retrieved March 14, 2022 .
^ Anguiano, Dani (November 13, 2022).
"Catherine Cortez Masto wins Nevada Senate race to hold Democratic seat" . The Guardian .
ISSN
0261-3077 . Retrieved March 14, 2023 .
^ Coleman, J. Miles (October 27, 2022).
"The Senate: Race for Majority Remains a Toss-up as 2024 Looms – Sabato's Crystal Ball" . Retrieved February 25, 2023 .
^
"Rosen announces re-election bid for U.S. Senate, touts bipartisan record" . April 5, 2023.
^
a
b
c
d
e
f
g
h
i
j
k
l
m
"Certified Candidate List" . Nevada Secretary of State. March 4, 2024.
^
a
b
"GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Jacky Rosen for Reelection to the US Senate" . Giffords . August 24, 2023. Retrieved August 24, 2023 .
^
a
b
"NextGen PAC Endorses Senator Jacky Rosen Ahead of 2024 Elections" .
NextGen America PAC . May 10, 2023. Retrieved May 10, 2023 .
^
"Our Recommended Candidates" . Education Votes . Retrieved February 14, 2024 .
^
"314 Action Fund Endorses Nevada Senator Jacky Rosen for Re-Election. - 3.14 Action" .
^
"AIPAC rolls out first 2024 endorsements, including vulnerable Senate Democrats" . March 16, 2023.
^
"Bend the Arc Jewish Action PAC" . Bend the Arc: Jewish Action . Retrieved March 1, 2024 .
^
"CHC BOLD PAC Endorses Senator Jacky Rosen for Re-Election in Nevada" . www.boldpac.com . December 18, 2023. Retrieved December 21, 2023 .
^ Chou, Lauren (April 5, 2023).
"EMILYs List Endorses Jacky Rosen for Reelection to theUnited States Senate" . EMILYs List . Retrieved October 2, 2023 .
^
a
b
"End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Senator Rosen for Reelection" . End Citizens United . March 30, 2023. Retrieved April 5, 2023 .
^
"2024 – Feminist Majority PAC" . feministmajoritypac.org . Retrieved April 11, 2023 .
^
"2024 Endorsements" . 2024 Endorsements . Retrieved February 14, 2024 .
^
"JDCA Announces First Round of 2024 Senate Endorsements" . Jewish Democratic Council of America . Retrieved August 25, 2023 .
^
"Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates | Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs" . jacpac.org . Archived from
the original on September 1, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023 .
^
"LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements" . League of Conservation Voters . Retrieved July 27, 2023 .
^ Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023).
"NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents" . NRDC Action Fund . Retrieved September 20, 2023 .
^
"Endorsed Candidates" . National Women's Political Caucus . Retrieved February 22, 2024 .
^
"Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorses Reproductive Rights Champions Baldwin, Brown, Gillibrand, Rosen, Tester for Re-Election in 2024" . www.plannedparenthoodaction.org . Retrieved July 31, 2023 .
^
"2024 Endorsements" . Population Connection Action Fund . Retrieved August 25, 2023 .
^
"Reproductive Freedom for All Endorses Sen. Jacky Rosen for Reelection to the U.S. Senate for Nevada" . Reproductive Freedom for All . February 20, 2024. Retrieved February 20, 2024 .
^
"2024 Endorsements | Sierra Club Independent Action" . www.sierraclubindependentaction.org . Retrieved October 20, 2023 .
^ Stahl, Shane (November 15, 2023).
"Silver State Equality Endorses Four Pro-Equality Members of Congress for Re-Election in 2024" . Silver State Equality . Retrieved January 2, 2024 .
^
"Make a high-impact donation—without all the usual drama" .
Swing Left .
^
a
b
"2024 Election United States Senate - Nevada" . fec.gov .
Federal Election Commission . Retrieved August 11, 2023 .
^ Vakil, Caroline (July 10, 2023).
"Retired Army Captain Sam Brown launches second run for Nevada Senate" . The Hill .
^
"Former ambassador, others enter Nevada's crowded GOP race for Senate" . reviewjournal.com . August 7, 2023. Retrieved August 12, 2023 .
^ Haas, Greg (August 8, 2023).
"Tony Grady announces Republican U.S. Senate bid, joining 3 other candidates in race for Rosen's seat" .
KLAS-TV .
^
"Jeff Gunter, a dermatologist who was Trump's ambassador to Iceland, is running for Nevada Senate" .
Associated Press . August 7, 2023. Retrieved August 7, 2023 .
^
a
b
"Rosen announces 2024 election plans with few Republican challengers so far" . April 5, 2023.
^
"Senate candidate Barry Lindemann finds common ground with Nevada Republicans" . EIN News . August 21, 2023. Retrieved August 22, 2023 .
^ Ritter, Ken; Cooper, Johnathan (May 2, 2023).
"Jim Marchant to run for Senate in Nevada" . KOLO. Retrieved May 2, 2023 .
^ Birenbaum, Gabby (March 2, 2023).
"Amodei says he won't run for Senate in 2024" . The Nevada Independent . Retrieved March 2, 2023 .
^
a
b
c
d
"7 possible Republicans who may run against Jacky Rosen" . March 9, 2023. Retrieved March 10, 2023 .
^ Haas, Greg (May 23, 2023).
"April Becker announces run for County Commission seat held by Ross Miller" .
KLAS-TV .
^ Solis, Jacob (August 1, 2023).
"GOP Senate leader Heidi Seevers Gansert won't run for re-election in 2024" . The Nevada Independent . Retrieved August 1, 2023 .
^
"Nevada Gov. Lombardo endorses Sam Brown in tight U.S. Senate race" .
KRNV-DT . March 7, 2024. Retrieved March 7, 2024 .
^
"Veteran Sam Brown wins Blackburn endorsement, raises major cash in Nevada Senate run" .
Fox News . July 19, 2023.
^
a
b
"Senate GOP's favorite in Nevada did not trust McConnell last cycle" . rollcall.com . August 3, 2023. Retrieved October 23, 2023 .
^
"Senate GOP lands a top recruit in Nevada" .
Politico . July 10, 2023.
^ Krehbiel, Randy (October 15, 2023).
"D.C. Digest: Mullin says supporters of Palestinians ignorant" .
Tulsa World . Retrieved October 16, 2023 . Mullin has endorsed Nevada U.S. Senate candidate Sam Brown.
^ Emilee (July 19, 2023).
"Americans for Prosperity Action Announces First Wave of Endorsements in 2024 U.S. Senate Races" . AFP Action . Retrieved July 19, 2023 .
^ Ortega, Israel (November 29, 2023).
"Largest Center-Right Latino Political Organization Announces Senate & House Candidate Endorsements" . Libre Action . Retrieved January 29, 2024 .
^ Vakil, Caroline (August 7, 2023).
"Jeffrey Gunter, ambassador to Iceland under Trump, announces Senate run in Nevada" .
The Hill . Retrieved August 8, 2023 .
^ Sheridan, Kevin (May 15, 2023).
"Retired Army General Michael Flynn endorses Jim Marchant" .
KOLO-TV 8
ABC News Now . Retrieved May 15, 2023 .
^
a
b
c Foreman, Naoka; Birenbaum, Gabby (May 2, 2023).
"Former Nevada assemblyman, election denier Jim Marchant plans US Senate run" . The Nevada Independent . Retrieved May 2, 2023 .
^
"2024 Senate Race ratings" . Cook Political Report . Retrieved January 25, 2023 .
^
"Senate Ratings" .
Inside Elections . January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023 .
^
"2024 Senate" .
Sabato's Crystal Ball . January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023 .
^
"Election Ratings" . Elections Daily . August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023 .
^
" '24 Senate Forecast" . CNalysis . Retrieved November 21, 2023 .
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