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For related races, see 2024 United States Senate elections.
2024 United States Senate election in Nevada
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Party Democratic Republican
Incumbent U.S. senator

Jacky Rosen
Democratic



Elections in Nevada
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The 2024 United States Senate election in Nevada will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Nevada. Incumbent Democratic Senator Jacky Rosen, elected in 2018 over incumbent Republican Dean Heller, is seeking a second term in office. Primary elections are scheduled to take place on June 11, 2024. [1]

Background

A typical swing state, Nevada is considered to be a purple state at the federal level, especially since in the 2020 presidential election, Joe Biden carried Nevada by about two percentage points. Both parties have seen success in the state in recent years. Democrats control both U.S. Senate seats, majorities in both state legislative chambers, and all but one seat in its congressional delegation, while Republicans flipped the governorship in 2022. [2] [3] [4]

This race is considered to be competitive given the state's nearly even partisan lean, but most analysts consider Rosen to be a slight favorite to win reelection. [5]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Jacky Rosen
U.S representatives
Governors
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jacky Rosen (D) $24,321,665 $11,288,943 $13,210,912
Source: Federal Election Commission [32]

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jacky Rosen (incumbent)
Democratic Mike Schaefer
Democratic Troy Walker
Total votes

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Sam Brown
U.S. senators
Governors
Organizations
Jeffrey Ross Gunter
U.S. representatives
Jim Marchant
U.S. Executive branch officials
U.S. representatives
Individuals

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error 		Sam Brown Bill Conrad Tony Grady Jeff Gunter Ronda Kennedy Barry Lindemann Jim Marchant Undecided
Terrance Group [A] April 7–10, 2024 500(LV) ± 4.5% 58% – 3% 3% – – 6% 29%
Noble Predictive Insights February 27 – March 5, 2024 296 (RV) ± 5.7% 39% – – – – – 26% 35%
Tarrance Group [A] October 23–26, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.1% 24% – 5% 1% – – 9% 41%
Public Opinion Strategies [B] August 15–17, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.38% 33% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 15% 44%

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Sam Brown (R) $5,440,210 $3,139,324 $2,300,886
Tony Grady Jr (R) $234,141 $199,469 $34,673
Jeffrey Ross Gunter (R) $3,276,169 $706,359 $2,569,810
Ronda Kennedy (R) [b] $4,873 $4,226 $647
Jim Marchant (R) $394,359 $343,713 $50,646
Stephanie Phillips (R) $56,448 $48,412 $8,035
Source: Federal Election Commission [32]

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Sam Brown
Republican William Conrad
Republican Tony Grady Jr.
Republican Jeffrey Ross Gunter
Republican Edward Hamilton
Republican Ronda Kennedy
Republican Barry Lindemann
Republican Garn Mabey
Republican Jim Marchant
Republican Gary Marinch
Republican Stephanie Phillips
Republican Vincent Rego
Republican Shawn White
Total votes

Third-party and independent candidates

Declared

  • Michael Fazio (Independent) [8]
  • Janine Hansen (Independent American), former Constitution Party national treasurer and perennial candidate [8]
  • Christopher Cunningham (Libertarian), insurance consultant [8]
  • Allen Rheinhart (No political party), artist and perennial candidate [8]
  • Ed Uehling (No political party), real estate investor and perennial candidate [8]
  • Chris Mazlo (No political party) [8]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report [55] Tossup April 3, 2024
Inside Elections [56] Tilt D November 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [57] Lean D November 9, 2023
Elections Daily [58] Lean D May 4, 2023
CNalysis [59] Tilt D November 21, 2023

Polling

Jacky Rosen vs. Sam Brown

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error 		Jacky
Rosen (D) 		Sam
Brown (R) 		Other Undecided
Emerson College March 12–15, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 39% – 21%
Noble Predictive Insights February 27 – March 5, 2024 829 (RV) ± 3.4% 41% 35% – 24%
Emerson College February 16–19, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 38% – 22%
Change Research (D) December 3–7, 2023 2,532 (V) ± ? 39% 38% 0% 23%
Tarrance Group (R) [A] October 23–26, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.1% 45% 40% 5% 10%
Jacky Rosen vs. Jim Marchant
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error 		Jacky
Rosen (D) 		Jim
Marchant (R) 		Other Undecided
Emerson College March 12–15, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 34% – 22%
Noble Predictive Insights February 27 – March 5, 2024 829 (RV) ± 3.4% 43% 34% – 23%
Emerson College February 16–19, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 36% – 22%
Jacky Rosen vs. Jeff Gunter
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error 		Jacky
Rosen (D) 		Jeff
Gunter (R) 		Other Undecided
Emerson College March 12–15, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 34% – 23%
Emerson College February 16–19, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 32% – 25%

Notes

  1. ^ a b c d Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Did not file for Q4
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b c Poll commissioned by the National Republican Senatorial Committee, which supports Brown
  2. ^ Poll commissioned by Duty First Super PAC, which supports Brown

References

  1. ^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
  2. ^ Edelman, Adam (November 11, 2022). "Republican Joe Lombardo has won the race for governor in Nevada, defeating Democratic incumbent Steve Sisolak". NBC News. Retrieved March 14, 2023.
  3. ^ Sonner, Scott (November 11, 2022). "Nevada Democrats Sweep 3 Key House Seats in Close Battles". en. Retrieved March 14, 2022.
  4. ^ Anguiano, Dani (November 13, 2022). "Catherine Cortez Masto wins Nevada Senate race to hold Democratic seat". The Guardian. ISSN  0261-3077. Retrieved March 14, 2023.
  5. ^ Coleman, J. Miles (October 27, 2022). "The Senate: Race for Majority Remains a Toss-up as 2024 Looms – Sabato's Crystal Ball". Retrieved February 25, 2023.
  6. ^ "Rosen announces re-election bid for U.S. Senate, touts bipartisan record". April 5, 2023.
  7. ^ Birenbaum, Gabby (March 19, 2024). "Why is an elected official in California running for Nevada's Senate seat?". The Nevada Independent. Retrieved March 19, 2024.
  8. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l "Certified Candidate List". Nevada Secretary of State. March 4, 2024.
  9. ^ a b "GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Jacky Rosen for Reelection to the US Senate". Giffords. August 24, 2023. Retrieved August 24, 2023.
  10. ^ "Beshear's PAC issues first wave of endorsements". WKU Public Radio | The Public Radio Service of Western Kentucky University. March 26, 2024. Retrieved March 27, 2024.
  11. ^ a b "NextGen PAC Endorses Senator Jacky Rosen Ahead of 2024 Elections". NextGen America PAC. May 10, 2023. Retrieved May 10, 2023.
  12. ^ "Our Recommended Candidates". Education Votes. Retrieved February 14, 2024.
  13. ^ "314 Action Fund Endorses Nevada Senator Jacky Rosen for Re-Election. - 3.14 Action".
  14. ^ "AIPAC rolls out first 2024 endorsements, including vulnerable Senate Democrats". March 16, 2023.
  15. ^ "Bend the Arc Jewish Action PAC". Bend the Arc: Jewish Action. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
  16. ^ "CHC BOLD PAC Endorses Senator Jacky Rosen for Re-Election in Nevada". www.boldpac.com. December 18, 2023. Retrieved December 21, 2023.
  17. ^ Chou, Lauren (April 5, 2023). "EMILYs List Endorses Jacky Rosen for Reelection to theUnited States Senate". EMILYs List. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
  18. ^ a b "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Senator Rosen for Reelection". End Citizens United. March 30, 2023. Retrieved April 5, 2023.
  19. ^ "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved April 11, 2023.
  20. ^ "2024 Endorsements". 2024 Endorsements. Retrieved February 14, 2024.
  21. ^ "JDCA Announces First Round of 2024 Senate Endorsements". Jewish Democratic Council of America. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
  22. ^ "Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates | Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs". jacpac.org. Archived from the original on September 1, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
  23. ^ "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
  24. ^ Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents". NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
  25. ^ "Endorsed Candidates". National Women's Political Caucus. Retrieved February 22, 2024.
  26. ^ "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorses Reproductive Rights Champions Baldwin, Brown, Gillibrand, Rosen, Tester for Re-Election in 2024". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved July 31, 2023.
  27. ^ "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
  28. ^ "Reproductive Freedom for All Endorses Sen. Jacky Rosen for Reelection to the U.S. Senate for Nevada". Reproductive Freedom for All. February 20, 2024. Retrieved February 20, 2024.
  29. ^ "2024 Endorsements | Sierra Club Independent Action". www.sierraclubindependentaction.org. Retrieved October 20, 2023.
  30. ^ Stahl, Shane (November 15, 2023). "Silver State Equality Endorses Four Pro-Equality Members of Congress for Re-Election in 2024". Silver State Equality. Retrieved January 2, 2024.
  31. ^ "Make a high-impact donation—without all the usual drama". Swing Left.
  32. ^ a b "2024 Election United States Senate - Nevada". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  33. ^ Vakil, Caroline (July 10, 2023). "Retired Army Captain Sam Brown launches second run for Nevada Senate". The Hill.
  34. ^ "Former ambassador, others enter Nevada's crowded GOP race for Senate". reviewjournal.com. August 7, 2023. Retrieved August 12, 2023.
  35. ^ Haas, Greg (August 8, 2023). "Tony Grady announces Republican U.S. Senate bid, joining 3 other candidates in race for Rosen's seat". KLAS-TV.
  36. ^ "Jeff Gunter, a dermatologist who was Trump's ambassador to Iceland, is running for Nevada Senate". Associated Press. August 7, 2023. Retrieved August 7, 2023.
  37. ^ a b Hill, Jessica (April 5, 2023). "Rosen announces 2024 election plans with few Republican challengers so far". Las Vegas Review-Journal.
  38. ^ "Senate candidate Barry Lindemann finds common ground with Nevada Republicans". EIN News. August 21, 2023. Retrieved August 22, 2023.
  39. ^ Ritter, Ken; Cooper, Johnathan (May 2, 2023). "Jim Marchant to run for Senate in Nevada". KOLO. Retrieved May 2, 2023.
  40. ^ Birenbaum, Gabby (March 2, 2023). "Amodei says he won't run for Senate in 2024". The Nevada Independent. Retrieved March 2, 2023.
  41. ^ a b c d Hill, Jessica (March 9, 2023). "7 possible Republicans who may run against Jacky Rosen". Las Vegas Review-Journal. Retrieved March 10, 2023.
  42. ^ Haas, Greg (May 23, 2023). "April Becker announces run for County Commission seat held by Ross Miller". KLAS-TV.
  43. ^ Solis, Jacob (August 1, 2023). "GOP Senate leader Heidi Seevers Gansert won't run for re-election in 2024". The Nevada Independent. Retrieved August 1, 2023.
  44. ^ Phippen, Thomas (July 19, 2023). "Veteran Sam Brown wins Blackburn endorsement, raises major cash in Nevada Senate run". Fox News.
  45. ^ a b Lesniewski, Niels (August 3, 2023). "Senate GOP's favorite in Nevada did not trust McConnell last cycle". Roll Call. Retrieved October 23, 2023.
  46. ^ Mutnick, Ally; Garrity, Kelly (July 10, 2023). "Senate GOP lands a top recruit in Nevada". Politico.
  47. ^ Krehbiel, Randy (October 15, 2023). "D.C. Digest: Mullin says supporters of Palestinians ignorant". Tulsa World. Retrieved October 16, 2023. Mullin has endorsed Nevada U.S. Senate candidate Sam Brown.
  48. ^ "Nevada Gov. Lombardo endorses Sam Brown in tight U.S. Senate race". KRNV-DT. March 7, 2024. Retrieved March 7, 2024.
  49. ^ Emilee (July 19, 2023). "Americans for Prosperity Action Announces First Wave of Endorsements in 2024 U.S. Senate Races". AFP Action. Retrieved July 19, 2023.
  50. ^ Ortega, Israel (November 29, 2023). "Largest Center-Right Latino Political Organization Announces Senate & House Candidate Endorsements". Libre Action. Retrieved January 29, 2024.
  51. ^ Holmes, Kristen (April 9, 2024). "Trump world divided on Nevada Senate race as Sam Brown seeks endorsement from the former president". CNN. Retrieved April 9, 2024.
  52. ^ Vakil, Caroline (August 7, 2023). "Jeffrey Gunter, ambassador to Iceland under Trump, announces Senate run in Nevada". The Hill. Retrieved August 8, 2023.
  53. ^ Sheridan, Kevin (May 15, 2023). "Retired Army General Michael Flynn endorses Jim Marchant". KOLO-TV 8 ABC News Now. Retrieved May 15, 2023.
  54. ^ a b c Foreman, Naoka; Birenbaum, Gabby (May 2, 2023). "Former Nevada assemblyman, election denier Jim Marchant plans US Senate run". The Nevada Independent. Retrieved May 2, 2023.
  55. ^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  56. ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  57. ^ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  58. ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  59. ^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.

External links

Official campaign websites
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