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Elections in Arkansas |
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The 2024 United States presidential election in Arkansas is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Arkansas voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Arkansas has six electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. [1]
Although former Democratic President Bill Clinton hails from the state, Arkansas is now a strongly red state in presidential races, becoming safely red in 2008 despite Barack Obama winning nationwide. Since 2015 following the 2014 midterms, no Democrat holds a federal nor state position in Arkansas outside of the state legislature.[ citation needed] Arkansas is expected to be securely won by the Republican candidate in 2024. [2]
Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for reelection to a second term. [3]
The Arkansas Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
Joe Biden (incumbent) | 71,978 | 88.5% | 31 | ||
Marianne Williamson | 3,883 | 4.8% | |||
Dean Phillips | 2,346 | 2.9% | |||
Stephen Lyons | 1,442 | 1.8% | |||
Armando Perez-Serrato | 879 | 1.1% | |||
Frankie Lozada | 786 | 1.0% | |||
Total: | 81,314 | 100.00% | 37 | 37 | |
Source: [4] |
The Arkansas Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
Donald Trump | 204,898 | 76.9% | 39 | 39 | |
Nikki Haley | 49,085 | 18.4% | 1 | 1 | |
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | 7,377 | 2.8% | |||
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 3,162 | 1.2% | |||
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 860 | 0.3% | |||
Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 600 | 0.2% | |||
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 183 | 0.1% | |||
Doug Burgum (withdrawn) | 157 | 0.1% | |||
David Stuckenberg | 151 | 0.1% | |||
Total: | 266,473 | 100.00% | 40 | 40 | |
Source: [5] [6] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report [7] | Solid R | December 19, 2023 |
Inside Elections [8] | Solid R | April 26, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [9] | Solid R | June 29, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ/ The Hill [10] | Solid R | December 14, 2023 |
CNalysis [11] | Solid R | December 30, 2023 |
CNN [12] | Solid R | January 14, 2024 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size [a] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 435 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 57% | 24% | 19% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 7.7% | 58% | 33% | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size [a] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 7.7% | 49% | 31% | 20% |