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| Elections in Minnesota |
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The 2024 United States Senate election in Minnesota will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Minnesota. Incumbent Democratic Senator Amy Klobuchar was re-elected with 60.3% of the vote in 2018 and is running for re-election to a fourth term. Primary elections will take place on August 13, 2024. [1]
Background
Minnesota is considered to be a moderately blue state at the federal level. In the 2020 presidential election, Joe Biden carried Minnesota by about seven percentage points. Democrats control both U.S. Senate seats, all statewide executive offices, and both state legislative chambers. [2] [3]
Klobuchar was first elected in 2006, defeating former U.S. Representative Mark Kennedy. She won re-election in 2012 and 2018 by large margins. [4]
This race is considered to be clearly favoring Klobuchar, as she has won all three of her Senate elections by more than 20 points and typically over-performs other down-ballot candidates. [5]
Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary
Candidates
Declared
- Amy Klobuchar, incumbent U.S. senator [6]
Filed paperwork
- Derek Logan, hotel worker [7]
Endorsements
Amy Klobuchar
- U.S representatives
- Gabby Giffords, U.S. representative from Arizona's 8th congressional district (2007–2012) [8]
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Amy Klobuchar (DFL) | $14,084,463 | $12,921,138 | $5,098,801 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission [18] | |||
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- John Berman, engineer and perennial candidate [19]
- Joe Fraser, banker and retired U.S. Navy commander [20]
- Patrick Munro, landscaping company owner and perennial candidate [19]
- Royce White, former NBA player and candidate for Minnesota's 5th congressional district in 2022 [21]
Filed paperwork
- Gene Rechtzigel, property manager and perennial candidate [22]
Declined
- Michelle Benson, former state senator (2011–2023) and candidate for governor in 2022 [23]
- Paul Gazelka, former Majority Leader of the Minnesota Senate (2017–2021) from the 9th district (2011–2023) and candidate for governor in 2022 [23]
- Walter Hudson, state representative (2023–present) [23]
- Scott Jensen, former state senator (2017–2021) and nominee for governor in 2022 [23]
- Erik Paulsen, former U.S. representative from Minnesota's 3rd congressional district (2009–2019) [23]
- Kendall Qualls, healthcare technology executive, nominee for Minnesota's 3rd congressional district in 2020, and candidate for governor in 2022 [23]
- Jim Schultz, lawyer and nominee for attorney general in 2022 [23]
- Ryan Wilson, medical device research company CEO and nominee for state auditor in 2022 [23]
Third-party and independent candidates
Candidates
Declared
- Joyce Lacey ( Independence—Alliance), guardianship advocate and Republican candidate for governor in 2022 [24]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report [25] | Solid D | November 9, 2023 |
| Inside Elections [26] | Solid D | November 9, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball [27] | Safe D | November 9, 2023 |
| Elections Daily [28] | Safe D | May 4, 2023 |
| CNalysis [29] | Solid D | November 21, 2023 |
Polling
- Amy Klobuchar vs. Joe Fraser
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size [a] |
Margin of error |
Amy Klobuchar (D) |
Joe Fraser (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA [A] | April 3–7, 2024 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | 34% | 6% | 10% |
| SurveyUSA [A] | February 23–28, 2024 | 1,603 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 33% | 5% | 14% |
Notes
-
^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
- Partisan clients
References
- ^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
- ^ "Live election results: 2020 Minnesota results". www.politico.com. Retrieved April 19, 2023.
- ^ Faircloth, Ryan; Tribune, Briana Bierschbach Star. "Democrats take control of the Minnesota Legislature". Star Tribune. Retrieved April 19, 2023.
- ^ "Minnesota Secretary Of State - 2006 General Election Results". www.sos.state.mn.us. Retrieved April 19, 2023.
- ^ Golshan, Tara (February 10, 2019). "Sen. Amy Klobuchar has won every one of her elections by huge margins. Now she's running for president". Vox. Retrieved April 19, 2023.
-
^ Everett, Burgess (October 5, 2022).
"Senate Dems face brutal 2024 map with at least eight undecided incumbents". Politico. Retrieved October 5, 2022.
Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) said she's made it 'very clear' she's running again
- ^ "LOGAN, DEREK AUSTIN CANDIDATE FOR SENATE MINNESOTA ID: S4MN00528 DEMOCRATIC PARTY". fec.gov. Retrieved April 21, 2024.
- ^ a b "GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Senator Amy Klobuchar for Reelection". Giffords. January 24, 2024. Retrieved January 26, 2024.
- ^ "- AIPAC Political Portal". candidates.aipacpac.org. Archived from the original on August 27, 2023. Retrieved August 27, 2023.
- ^ Chou, Lauren (May 10, 2023). "EMILYs List Endorses Amy Klobuchar for Reelection to the United States Senate". EMILYs List. Retrieved October 1, 2023.
- ^ a b "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Senator Klobuchar for Reelection". March 30, 2023.
- ^ "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
- ^ "Amy Klobuchar". JStreetPAC. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
- ^ "Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates | Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs". jacpac.org. Archived from the original on September 1, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
- ^ "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
- ^ Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents". NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Election United States Senate - Minnesota". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
- ^ a b Frisk, Garrett (July 5, 2023). "Minnesota Democrat Amy Klobuchar Challenged by Two Republicans". Diamond Eye Candidate Report. Retrieved July 5, 2023.
- ^ Brown, Kyle (January 29, 2024). "West metro Republican launches campaign challenging Klobuchar for Senate seat". KSTP.com 5 Eyewitness News. Retrieved January 30, 2024.
- ^ Whalen, Eamon (August 23, 2023). "Royce White Announces Run for Senate With New Conspiracy Theory". Mother Jones. Retrieved August 23, 2023.
- ^ "RECHTZIGEL, GENE ALAN - Candidate overview". FEC.gov. Retrieved April 20, 2024.
- ^ a b c d e f g h Van Oot, Tery (August 21, 2023). "Here's who's not running for U.S. Senate in Minnesota next year". Axios.
- ^ Tillman, Scott (July 31, 2023). "Joyce Lacey Pledges to Support Term Limits on Congress". US Term Limits. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
- ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
- ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
- ^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
External links
- Official campaign websites