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| Elections in Connecticut |
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The 2024 United States presidential election in Connecticut is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Connecticut voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Connecticut has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. [1]
Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for reelection to a second term. [2]
Primary elections
Republican primary
The Connecticut Republican primary was held on April 2, 2024, alongside the New York primary. [3]
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 34,726 | 77.9% | 28 | 28 | |
| Nikki Haley (withdrawn) | 6,230 | 14.0% | |||
| Uncommitted | 2,164 | 4.8% | |||
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 1,282 | 2.9% | |||
| Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 194 | 0.4% | |||
| Total: | 44,596 | 100.0% | 28 | 28 | |
| Source: [4] | |||||
Democratic primary
The Connecticut Democratic primary was held on April 2, 2024.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |||
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 55,697 | 84.9% | 60 | 60 | |
| Uncommitted | 7,488 | 11.4% | |||
| Marianne Williamson | 1,497 | 2.3% | |||
| Dean Phillips (withdrawn) | 578 | 0.9% | |||
| Cenk Uygur (withdrawn) | 317 | 0.5% | |||
| Total: | 65,577 | 100.0% | 60 | 14 | 79 |
| Source: [5] | |||||
Libertarian primary
The Libertarian Party of Connecticut held a ranked-choice straw poll on April 2, 2024. [6]
| Candidate | Round 1 | T. | Round 2 | T. | Round 3 | T. | Round 4 | T. | Round 5 | T. | Round 6 | T. | Round 7 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||||||||||
| Chase Oliver | 37 | 34.9% | +1 | 38 | 35.8% | 38 | 37.6% | +3 | 41 | 41.0% | +1 | 42 | 42.4% | +2 | 44 | 44.4% | +5 | 49 | 51.0% | ||||
| Jacob Hornberger | 12 | 11.3% | 12 | 11.3% | +1 | 13 | 12.9% | +1 | 14 | 14.0% | +2 | 16 | 16.2% | +4 | 20 | 20.2% | +4 | 24 | 25.0% | ||||
| Michael Rectenwald | 14 | 14.6% | 14 | 13.2% | 14 | 13.9% | 14 | 14.0% | +2 | 16 | 16.2% | +2 | 18 | 18.2% | +5 | 23 | 24.0% | ||||||
| Joshua Smith | 10 | 9.4% | +1 | 11 | 10.4% | 11 | 10.9% | 11 | 11.0% | +2 | 13 | 13.1% | +4 | 17 | 17.2% | –17 | Eliminated | ||||||
| Mike ter Maat | 9 | 8.5% | 9 | 8.5% | 9 | 8.9% | +1 | 10 | 10.0% | +2 | 12 | 12.1% | –12 | Eliminated | |||||||||
| Lars Mapstead | 7 | 6.6% | +1 | 8 | 7.5% | 8 | 7.9% | +2 | 10 | 10.0% | –10 | Eliminated | |||||||||||
| Charles Ballay | 7 | 6.6% | +1 | 8 | 7.5% | 8 | 7.9% | –8 | Eliminated | ||||||||||||||
| None of the above | 6 | 5.7% | 6 | 5.7% | –6 | Eliminated | |||||||||||||||||
| Joseph Collins Jr. | 4 | 3.8% | –4 | Eliminated | |||||||||||||||||||
| Active ballots | 106 | –5 | 101 | –1 | 100 | –1 | 99 | –3 | 96 | ||||||||||||||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report [7] | Solid D | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections [8] | Solid D | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball [9] | Solid D | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/ The Hill [10] | Solid D | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis [11] | Solid D | December 30, 2023 |
| CNN [12] | Solid D | January 14, 2024 |
Polling
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size [a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | October 19–21, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
| Emerson College | September 7–9, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 36% | 15% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R) | July 26–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 39% | 9% |
| Emerson College | May 10–11, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 38% | 11% |
See also
- United States presidential elections in Connecticut
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 United States elections
Notes
-
^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
References
- ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
- ^ Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
- ^ "Election Calendars".
- ^ "Connecticut Presidential Primary". The AP. Retrieved April 1, 2024.
- ^ "Connecticut Presidential Primary". The AP. April 12, 2024. Retrieved April 18, 2024.
- ^ "The winner of our LPCT Presidential Primary straw poll is @ChaseForLiberty".
- ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
