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2024 United States Senate election in Virginia
The 2024 United States Senate election in Virginia will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the
United States Senate to represent the
state of Virginia . Incumbent
Democratic Senator
Tim Kaine is running for re-election to a third term in office. Kaine was re-elected with 57.0% of the vote in
2018 . Primary elections will take place on June 18, 2024.
[1]
Background
Virginia is considered to be a moderately
blue state at the federal level, with
Joe Biden carrying Virginia by about 10 percentage points in the
2020 presidential election . Democrats control both U.S. Senate seats, a majority in its
U.S. representative congressional delegation, and both houses of the
Virginia General Assembly . However, Republicans flipped all three statewide constitutional offices in the
2021 elections .
[2]
[3]
[4]
Kaine was first elected in
2012 by 6 points, defeating former U.S. Senator
George Allen , and won re-election in
2018 by 16 points.
[5]
[6]
This race is considered to be clearly favoring Kaine as he is popular amongst Virginian voters and typically over-performs other down-ballot candidates.
[7]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
Endorsements
Tim Kaine
U.S representatives
Individuals
Organizations
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate
Raised
Spent
Cash on hand
Tim Kaine (D)
$10,498,932
$5,276,107
$7,742,487
Source:
Federal Election Commission
[20]
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
Hung Cao, nonprofit founder,
U.S. Navy veteran, and nominee for
Virginia's 10th congressional district in
2022
[21]
Jonathan Emord, author and constitutional litigator
[22]
Eddie Garcia, financial advisor, former congressional aide, and retired
U.S. Army officer
[23]
Gwen Hickman, immigration and criminal law attorney
[24]
Kimberly Lowe, farmer and policy analyst
[25]
Scott Parkinson,
Club for Growth vice president of government affairs and former chief of staff to
Ron DeSantis
[26]
Chuck Smith, former chair of the
Virginia Beach Republican Party, nominee for
Virginia's 3rd congressional district in
2010 , and candidate for
Attorney General of Virginia in
2017 and
2021
[25]
Ron Vitiello , former deputy director of
U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement
[25]
Endorsements
Scott Parkinson
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Jim Banks , U.S. representative from
Indiana (2017–present)
[30]
Andy Biggs , U.S. representative from
Arizona (2017–present)
[30]
Dan Bishop , U.S. representative from
North Carolina (2019–present)
[30]
Lauren Boebert , U.S. representative from
Colorado (2021–present)
[32]
Josh Brecheen , U.S. representative from
Oklahoma (2023–present)
[30]
Eric Burlison , U.S. representative from
Missouri (2023–present)
Mike Carey , U.S. representative from
Ohio (2021–present)
Eli Crane , U.S. representative from
Arizona (2023–present)
[30]
Byron Donalds , U.S. representative from
Florida (2021–present)
[31]
Bob Good , U.S. representative from
Virginia (2021–present)
Mark Green , U.S. representative from
Tennessee (2021–present)
Kevin Hern , U.S. representative from
Oklahoma (2019–present)
Tracey Mann , U.S. representative from
Kansas (2019–present)
Rich McCormick , U.S. representative from
Georgia (2023–present)
Mary Miller , U.S. representative from
Illinois (2021–present)
[31]
Cory Mills , U.S. representative from
Florida (2023–present)
Barry Moore , U.S. representative from
Alabama (2021–present)
[30]
Ralph Norman , U.S. representative from
South Carolina (2017–present)
Anna Paulina Luna , U.S. representative from
Florida (2023–present)
[30]
Scott Perry , U.S. representative from
Pennsylvania (2013–present)
[31]
August Pfluger , U.S. representative from
Texas (2021–present)
[31]
Matt Rosendale , U.S. representative from
Montana (2021–present)
[30]
Jason Smith , U.S. representative from
Missouri (2013–present)
[31]
Individuals
Organizations
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate
Raised
Spent
Cash on hand
Hung Cao (R)
$1,224,911
$789,111
$528,280
Johnathan Emord (R)
$727,297
[a]
$703,320
$23,977
Eddie Garcia (R)
$248,608
$235,719
$12,889
Gwen Hickman (R)
[b]
$23,710
$16,666
$7,043
Kimberly Lowe (R)
$32,436
$32,436
$0
Scott Parkinson (R)
$661,244
$230,368
$430,876
Chuck Smith (R)
$409,513
$359,249
$50,264
Ron Vitiello (R)
$406,347
[c]
$314,605
$91,741
Source:
Federal Election Commission
[20]
General election
Predictions
Polling
Hypothetical polling
Tim Kaine vs. Glenn Youngkin
Notes
^ $528,167 of this total was self-funded by Emord
^ Did not file for Q4
^ $10,000 of this total was self-funded by Vitiello
^ Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
^ None/Would not vote with 2%, other with 1%
^ None/Would not vote with 5%, other with 5%
References
^
"2024 State Primary Election Dates" . www.ncsl.org . Retrieved May 13, 2023 .
^
"Live election results: 2020 Virginia results" . www.politico.com . Retrieved April 20, 2023 .
^ Oliver, Ned (March 3, 2021).
"Democrats have controlled Virginia government for two years. Here's what they've done" . Virginia Mercury . Retrieved April 20, 2023 .
^
"GOP sweeps statewide races with 2 down-ballot wins" . AP NEWS . November 2, 2021. Retrieved April 20, 2023 .
^
"Virginia Elections Database » 2012 U.S. Senate General Election" . Virginia Elections Database . Retrieved April 20, 2023 .
^
"Virginia | Full Senate results" . www.cnn.com . Retrieved April 20, 2023 .
^
a
b Flynn, Meagan; Vozzella, Laura (January 20, 2023).
"Va. Sen. Tim Kaine says he will seek another term" .
The Washington Post . Retrieved January 20, 2023 .
^
a
b
"GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Senator Tim Kaine for Reelection" . Giffords . February 22, 2024. Retrieved February 26, 2024 .
^
a
b
"NextGen PAC Endorses Senator Tim Kaine Ahead of 2024 Elections" .
NextGen America PAC . May 10, 2023. Retrieved May 10, 2023 .
^
"2024 – Feminist Majority PAC" . feministmajoritypac.org . Retrieved February 9, 2024 .
^
"Presenting the official Spring 2024 Harvard Dems Endorsement Results! Congratulations to all who were endorsed! 🫶🏻✨" . www.instagram.com . Retrieved February 8, 2024 .
^
"2024 Endorsements" . 2024 Endorsements . Retrieved March 25, 2024 .
^
"Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates | Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs" . jacpac.org . Archived from
the original on September 1, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023 .
^
"Tim Kaine" . JStreetPAC . October 16, 2023. Retrieved August 26, 2023 .
^
"LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements" . League of Conservation Voters . Retrieved July 27, 2023 .
^ NCPSSM.
"National Seniors' Advocacy Group Endorses Sen. Tim Kaine for Re-Election" . NCPSSM . Retrieved January 5, 2024 .
^ Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023).
"NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents" . NRDC Action Fund . Retrieved September 20, 2023 .
^
"2024 Endorsements" . Population Connection Action Fund . Retrieved August 25, 2023 .
^
"2024 Endorsements | Sierra Club Independent Action" . www.sierraclubindependentaction.org . Retrieved January 14, 2024 .
^
a
b
"2024 Election United States Senate - Virginia" . fec.gov .
Federal Election Commission . Retrieved August 11, 2023 .
^ Minock, Nick (July 18, 2023).
"Hung Cao launches website and files paperwork to run for 2024 US Senate race in Virginia" . WJLA.com .
^ Churchill, Victoria (January 31, 2023).
"Constitutional Litigator Jonathan Emord Announces U.S. Senate Run" . The Republican Standard . Retrieved January 31, 2023 .
^ Rankin, Sarah (January 20, 2023).
"Democratic Sen. Tim Kaine of Virginia to seek reelection" .
AP News .
Archived from the original on January 20, 2023. Retrieved April 21, 2023 .
^ Frisk, Garrett (July 5, 2023).
"Attorney Gwen Hickman Joins Virginia Senate Race" . Diamond Eye Candidate Report .
Archived from the original on July 5, 2023. Retrieved July 5, 2023 .
^
a
b
c Martz, Michael (August 5, 2023).
"Meet the 8 Republicans (and counting) who want to unseat Sen. Tim Kaine" .
Richmond Times-Dispatch . Retrieved August 26, 2023 .
^ Rankin, Sarah (April 3, 2023).
"Scott Parkinson runs for Tim Kaine's seat" . The Virginia Pilot . Archived from
the original on April 3, 2023.
^
"A true patriot's endosement" . PoliticalEmails .
Archived from the original on February 23, 2024. Retrieved February 22, 2024 .
^
a
b
"U.S. SENATE CANDIDATE JONATHAN EMORD RECEIVES THE ENDORSEMENTS OF RON PAUL AND BARRY GOLDWATER, JR" . FOX 59 . March 14, 2023. Retrieved March 15, 2023 .
^ First, Latinos for America.
"Latinos for America First" . Latinos for America First . Archived from
the original on September 15, 2023. Retrieved September 15, 2023 .
^
a
b
c
d
e
f
g
h
i Johnson, Julia (May 2023).
"Tim Kaine GOP challenger holds fundraiser with Trump and DeSantis supporters alike" . Washington Examiner . Retrieved January 13, 2024 .
^
a
b
c
d
e
f Hazard, Charlotte.
"Ex-DeSantis Hill staffer runs for U.S. Senate, says pandemic was his call for change" . Just the News . Retrieved January 13, 2024 .
^
a
b Shipley, Jonathan (May 31, 2023).
"Former Baraboo resident eyes Virginia Senate" . News Republic . Retrieved January 13, 2024 .
^
a
b
"David N. Bossie and Citizens United Political Victory Fund Endorse Scott Parkinson for U.S. Senate from Virginia" . cupvf.com . April 24, 2023. Retrieved May 1, 2023 .
^
"2024 Senate Race ratings" . Cook Political Report . Retrieved January 25, 2023 .
^
"Election Ratings" . Elections Daily . August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023 .
^
"Senate Ratings" .
Inside Elections . January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023 .
^
"2024 Senate" .
Sabato's Crystal Ball . January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023 .
^
" '24 Senate Forecast" . CNalysis . Retrieved November 21, 2023 .
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