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| Elections in Alabama |
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Government |
The 2024 United States presidential election in Alabama is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Alabama voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Alabama has nine electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. [1]
As a Bible Belt state in the Deep South, Alabama is one of the most socially conservative states in the Union. Following the national Democratic Party's leftward shift in the mid-20th century, the only Democrat to win the Alabaman popular vote in a presidential election after John F. Kennedy in 1960 was Jimmy Carter of next-door Georgia in 1976. Since then, the only Democrats to come within single digits of winning the state at this level were Carter in 1980 and fellow Southerner Bill Clinton in his 1990s nationwide victories; and no presidential Democrat has won more than 40% of the vote in Alabama since Al Gore of neighboring Tennessee in 2000. Democratic support in Alabama today is often vastly concentrated on the state's largest city of Birmingham and the majority- African American Black Belt. The state is expected to remain safely red in 2024. [2]
Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for reelection to a second term. [3]
Primary elections
Democratic primary
The Alabama Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 168,080 | 89.5% | 52 | ||
| Uncommitted | 11,283 | 6.0% | |||
| Dean Phillips | 8,442 | 4.5% | |||
| Total: | 187,805 | 100.00% | 50 | 50 | |
| Source: [4] | |||||
Republican primary
The Alabama Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 497,739 | 83.2% | 50 | 50 | |
| Nikki Haley | 77,564 | 13.0% | |||
| Uncommitted | 9,755 | 1.6% | |||
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 8,426 | 1.4% | |||
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 1,859 | 0.3% | |||
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 1,436 | 0.2% | |||
| David Stuckenberg | 748 | 0.1% | |||
| Ryan Binkley | 508 | 0.1% | |||
| Total: | 598,035 | 100.00% | 50 | 50 | |
| Source: [5] | |||||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report [6] | Solid R | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections [7] | Solid R | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball [8] | Solid R | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/ The Hill [9] | Solid R | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis [10] | Solid R | December 30, 2023 |
| CNN [11] | Solid R | January 14, 2024 |
Polling
- Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size [a] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPA Intelligence | August 23–24 & 26, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 57% | 32% | 12% |
See also
- United States presidential elections in Alabama
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 United States elections
Notes
-
^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
- Partisan clients
References
- ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
- ^ "270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270toWin.com. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
- ^ Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
- ^ "Certification of Results - Democratic Party (Excel file with vote totals)". Alabama Secretary of State. Retrieved March 28, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Qualified Candidates". Alabama Republican Party. February 29, 2024. Retrieved March 5, 2024.
- ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
