U.S. congressional election in Wyoming
2022 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming's at-large district Turnout 66.6%
County results
Hageman: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%
Grey Bull: 40–50% 60–70%
The 2022 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the
U.S. representative for
Wyoming's at-large congressional district . The election coincided with
other elections to the House of Representatives,
elections to the
United States Senate , and various
state and local elections .
Although incumbent Republican
Liz Cheney had been reelected with 68.6% of the vote in
2020 ,
[1] she faced backlash from her party for her opposition to
Donald Trump , vocal support of
Trump's second impeachment , and vote in favor and service on the
January 6th Committee . She was defeated by pro-Trump candidate
Harriet Hageman in the Republican primary on August 16, 2022,
[2] with a landslide 66.3% of the vote going to Hageman. Cheney's margin of defeat marked the second-worst for a House incumbent in the last 60 years, behind that of South Carolina Republican
Bob Inglis in
a 2010 primary runoff .
[3] Democrats nominated nonprofit founder Lynette Grey Bull, who was also their nominee in 2020.
As expected in this
solidly Republican state , Hageman won in a landslide. However, Grey Bull did manage to flip
Albany County , which she had lost in 2020.
Background
Incumbent Liz Cheney was criticized by supporters of former president
Donald Trump for
her vote to impeach him , as well as refusing to object to the
certification of the Electoral College results in the
2020 presidential election .
[4] Following her impeachment vote, Florida Congressman
Matt Gaetz appeared at a rally at the
Wyoming State Capitol in support of ousting Cheney, with
Donald Trump Jr. also supporting it by phone in January 2021.
[5] For the same reason, the
Wyoming Republican Party later voted to censure her and requested that she resign or be primaried in the next election. Later that year, it also voted 31–29 to no longer recognize Cheney as a member due to her actions to participate in the
January 6 Select Committee shortly after being removed as Conference Chair.
[6]
[7]
In February 2021, members of the
Freedom Caucus attempted to have Cheney removed from her position as
Chair of the House Republican Conference in response to her impeachment vote. In a
secret ballot , 61 members of the conference voted to remove, while 145 voted not to remove. Cheney retained her position in large part because of the support by these Republicans, including
House Minority Leader
Kevin McCarthy and
House Minority Whip
Steve Scalise .
[8]
[9] Eventually, however, Cheney's continued criticism of Trump lost her support by more Republicans, including McCarthy and Scalise, and McCarthy was caught on a
hot mic saying "I've had it with her" in reference to Cheney. On May 12, 2021, Cheney was removed from her position as conference chair by a
voice vote and replaced with
Elise Stefanik .
[9]
On May 21, 2021, challenger Anthony Bouchard admitted that as a teenager he fell in love with and started dating a 14-year-old girl who he subsequently impregnated then married, Bouchard was 18 at the time. Bouchard claimed he went public with the story because he had learned that the story was being investigated by others, though the Cheney campaign denied investigating it. He compared his relationship with the unnamed girl to "the
Romeo and Juliet story." The two were married but divorced three years later, and she committed suicide at age 20. Bouchard continued to raise their son after her death, though he says the two are now
estranged .
[10]
[11]
Cheney and
Adam Kinzinger were censured by the
Republican National Committee at its meeting in
Salt Lake City on February 4, 2022, due to "actions in their positions as members of the
January 6th Select Committee not befitting Republican members of Congress". The Wyoming delegation to the committee also submitted a "Rule 11" letter formalizing support for challenger Harriet Hageman and allowing the RNC to spend money allocated for Wyoming's party branch on her behalf. At the same time, support of Hageman surged following the censure of Cheney.
[12]
[13] Hageman has referred to
Donald Trump as "racist and xenophobic" and also as "the weakest candidate" during the
2016 presidential election ; at the same time Hageman endorsed Cheney and called her a "proven, courageous, constitutional conservative."
[14]
[15]
Following Cheney's defeat, she called Hageman to concede the race. However, Hageman alleged that Cheney only left 2 words: "Hi Harriet". This prompted Cheney to release the full audio recording of the call which showed that she did, in fact, concede the race. The Hageman camp asserted that a technical glitch was at fault.
[16]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Incumbent U.S. Representative Liz Cheney lost the primary
Withdrawn
Declined
Endorsements
Map of endorsements by Republican members of the
117th United States Congress (by congressional district): Wyoming
Cheney
(including Democratic representative
Dean Phillips ) Hageman
Liz Cheney
Executive Branch officials
George W. Bush , 43rd
president of the United States (2001–2009) and 46th
governor of Texas (1995–2000)
[30]
Dick Cheney , 46th
vice president of the United States (2001–2009), 17th
United States Secretary of Defense (1989–1993) and U.S Representative for
Wyoming's at-large district (1979–1989) (candidate's father)
Alyssa Farah Griffin , former
White House Director of Strategic Communications (2020)
[32]
Kay Bailey Hutchison , former United States Ambassador to NATO (2017–2021) and former
U.S. Senator from
Texas (1993–2013)
[33]
Cindy McCain ,
United States Ambassador to the United Nations Agencies for Food and Agriculture (2021–present)
[34]
Karl Rove , former White House Deputy Chief of Staff for Policy (2005–2007) and former Senior Advisor to the President (2001–2007)
[33]
Miles Taylor , Chief of Staff to the
United States Secretary of Homeland Security (2019) (Forward)
[35]
Christine Todd Whitman ,
Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (2001–2003) and
Governor of New Jersey (1994–2001) (Forward)
[35]
John Bolton ,
United States National Security Advisor (2018–2019),
United States Ambassador to the United Nations (2005–2006)
[36]
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
John Boehner , former U.S. Representative for
Ohio's 8th Congressional District (1991–2015), former
Speaker of the United States House of Representatives (2011–2015),
House Minority Leader (2007–2011),
House Majority Leader (2006–2007),
Chair of the House Republican Conference (1995–1999), and member of the
Ohio House of Representatives for the 57th District (1985–1990)
[40]
Adam Kinzinger , U.S Representative for
Illinois 11th (2011–2013) and
16th congressional district (2013–2023)
[41]
Tom Malinowski , U.S. Representative for
New Jersey's 7th congressional district (2019–2023) (Democratic)
[42]
Dean Phillips , U.S. Representative for
Minnesota's 3rd congressional district (2019–present) (Democratic)
[42]
Paul Ryan , former U.S Representative for
Wisconsin's 1st congressional district (1999–2019), former
Speaker of the United States House of Representatives (2015–2019), and nominee for vice president of the United States in
2012
[43]
Governors
Individuals
Organizations
Harriet Hageman
Executive branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Barbara Cubin ,
U.S. Representative for
Wyoming's at-large congressional district (1995–2009) and
Secretary of the House Republican Conference (2001–2003)
[56]
Kevin McCarthy ,
Minority Leader of the U.S. House of Representatives (2019–2023) and U.S. Representative for
California's 23rd congressional district (2007–2023)
[57]
Elise Stefanik , House Republican Conference Chair (2021–present) and U.S. Representative for
New York's 21st congressional district (2015–present)
[57]
Ronny Jackson , U.S. Representative for
Texas's 13th congressional district (2021–present)
[52]
Mark Amodei , U.S. Representative for
Nevada's 2nd congressional district (2011–present)
[52]
Brian Babin , U.S. representative for
Texas's 36th congressional district (2015–present)
[52]
Jim Banks , Chair of the
Republican Study Committee (2021–present) and U.S. representative for
Indiana's 3rd congressional district (2017–present)
[52]
Jim Baird , U.S. representative for
Indiana's 4th congressional district (2019–present)
[52]
Cliff Bentz , U.S. representative for
Oregon's 2nd congressional district (2021–present)
[52]
Jack Bergman , U.S. representative for
Michigan's 1st congressional district (2017–present)
[52]
Andy Biggs , Chair of the
House Freedom Caucus and U.S. representative for
Arizona's 5th congressional district (2017–present)
[52]
Dan Bishop , U.S. representative for
North Carolina's 9th congressional district (2019–2023)
[52]
Lauren Boebert , U.S. representative for
Colorado's 3rd congressional district (2021–present)
[52]
Mike Bost , U.S. representative for
Illinois's 12th congressional district (2021–present)
[52]
Mo Brooks , U.S. representative for
Alabama's 5th congressional district (2011–2023)
[52]
Ted Budd , U.S. representative for
North Carolina's 13th congressional district (2017–2023)
[52]
Tim Burchett , U.S. representative for
Tennessee's 2nd congressional district (2019–present)
[52]
Michael Burgess , U.S. representative for
Texas's 26th congressional district (2003–present)
[52]
Kat Cammack , U.S. representative for
Florida's 3rd congressional district (2021–present)
[52]
Mike Carey , U.S. representative for
Ohio's 15th congressional district (2021–present)
[52]
Jerry Carl , U.S. representative for
Alabama's 1st congressional district (2021–present)
[52]
Buddy Carter , U.S. representative for
Georgia's 1st congressional district (2015–present)
[52]
Madison Cawthorn , U.S. representative for
North Carolina's 11th congressional district (2021–2023)
[52]
Ben Cline , U.S. representative for
Virginia's 6th congressional district (2019–present)
[52]
Michael Cloud , U.S. representative for
Texas's 27th congressional district (2018–present)
[52]
Warren Davidson , U.S. representative for
Ohio's 8th congressional district (2016–present)
[52]
Rodney Davis , U.S. representative for
Illinois's 13th congressional district (2013–2023)
[52]
Byron Donalds , U.S. representative for
Florida's 19th congressional district (2021–present)
[52]
Jeff Duncan , U.S. representative for
South Carolina's 3rd congressional district (2011–present)
[52]
Ron Estes , U.S. representative for
Kansas's 4th congressional district (2017–present)
[52]
Pat Fallon , U.S. representative for
Texas's 4th congressional district (2021–present)
[52]
Chuck Fleischmann , U.S. representative for
Tennessee's 3rd congressional district (2011–present)
[52]
Michelle Fischbach , U.S. representative for
Minnesota's 7th congressional district (2021–present)
[52]
Scott L. Fitzgerald , U.S. representative for
Wisconsin's 5th congressional district (2021–present)
[52]
Virginia Foxx , U.S. representative for
North Carolina's 5th congressional district (2019–present)
[52]
Russ Fulcher , U.S. representative for
Idaho's 1st congressional district (2019–present)
[52]
Matt Gaetz , U.S. representative for
Florida's 1st congressional district (2017–present)
[52]
Andrew Garbarino , U.S. representative for
New York's 2nd congressional district (2021–present)
[52]
Bob Gibbs , U.S. representative for
Ohio's 7th congressional district (2011–2023)
[52]
Carlos Giménez , U.S. representative for
Florida's 26th congressional district (2021–2023)
[52]
Lance Gooden , U.S. representative for
Texas's 5th congressional district (2019–present)
[52]
Sam Graves , U.S. representative for
Missouri's 6th congressional district (2001–present)
[52]
Mark E. Green , U.S. representative for
Tennessee's 7th congressional district (2019–present)
[52]
Kay Granger ,
Vice Chair of the House Republican Conference (2007–2009) and U.S. representative for
Texas's 12th congressional district (1997–present)
[52]
Glenn Grothman , U.S. representative for
Wisconsin's 6th congressional district (2015–present)
[52]
Diana Harshbarger , U.S. representative for
Tennessee's 1st congressional district (2021–present)
[52]
Vicky Hartzler , U.S. representative for
Missouri's 4th congressional district (2011–2023)
[52]
Kevin Hern , U.S. representative for
Oklahoma's 1st congressional district (2018–present)
[52]
Yvette Herrell , U.S. representative for
New Mexico's 2nd congressional district (2021–2023)
[52]
Jody Hice , U.S. representative for
Georgia's 10th congressional district (2015–present)
[52]
Clay Higgins , U.S. representative for
Louisiana's 3rd congressional district (2017–present)
[52]
Richard Hudson ,
Secretary of the House Republican Conference (2021–present) and U.S. representative for
North Carolina's 8th congressional district (2013–2023)
[52]
Bill Huizenga , U.S. representative for
Michigan's 2nd congressional district (2011–2023)
[52]
Darrell Issa , U.S. representative for
California's 50th congressional district (2021–present)
[52]
Chris Jacobs , U.S. representative for
New York's 27th congressional district (2020–2023)
[52]
Jim Jordan , U.S. representative for
Ohio's 4th congressional district (2007–present)
[52]
John Joyce , U.S. representative for
Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district (2019–present)
[52]
Fred Keller , U.S. representative for
Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district (2019–2023)
[52]
Mike Kelly , U.S. representative for
Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district (2011–present)
[52]
Doug LaMalfa , U.S. representative for
California's 1st congressional district (2013–present)
[52]
Debbie Lesko , U.S. representative for
Arizona's 8th congressional district (2018–present)
[52]
Billy Long , U.S. representative for
Missouri's 7th congressional district (2011–2023)
[52]
Barry Loudermilk , U.S. representative for
Georgia's 11th congressional district (2015–present)
[52]
Frank Lucas , U.S. representative for
Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district (2003–present) and former representative for
Oklahoma's 6th congressional district (1994-2003)
[52]
Brian Mast , U.S. representative for
Florida's 18th congressional district (2017–2023)
[52]
Lisa McClain , U.S. representative for
Michigan's 10th congressional district (2021–2023)
[52]
Dan Meuser , U.S. representative for
Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district (2019–present)
[52]
Tom McClintock , U.S. representative for
California's 4th congressional district (2009–present)
[52]
Carol Miller , U.S. representative for
West Virginia's 3rd congressional district (2019–2023)
[52]
Mary Miller , U.S. representative for
Illinois's 15th congressional district (2021–present)
[52]
Jeff Miller , U.S. representative for
Florida's 1st congressional district (2001-2017)
[52]
Barry Moore , U.S. representative for
Alabama's 2nd congressional district (2021–present)
[52]
Markwayne Mullin , U.S. representative for
Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district (2013–2023)
[52]
Greg Murphy , U.S. representative for
North Carolina's 3rd congressional district (2019–present)
[52]
Troy Nehls , U.S. representative for
Texas's 22nd congressional district (2021–present)
[52]
Ralph Norman , U.S. representative for
South Carolina's 5th congressional district (2017–present)
[52]
Burgess Owens , U.S. representative for
Utah's 4th congressional district (2021–present)
[52]
Steven Palazzo , U.S. representative for
Mississippi's 4th congressional district (2011–2023)
[52]
Gary Palmer , U.S. representative for
Alabama's 6th congressional district (2019–present)
[52]
Scott Perry , Chair of the
House Freedom Caucus (2022–present), U.S. representative for
Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district (2019–present), former U.S. representative for
Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district (2013-2019)
[52]
Bill Posey , U.S. representative for
Florida's 8th congressional district (2013–present), former U.S. representative for
Florida's 15th congressional district (2009-2013)
[52]
Guy Reschenthaler , U.S. representative for
Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district (2019–present)
[52]
John Rose , U.S. representative for
Tennessee's 6th congressional district (2019–present)
[52]
Matt Rosendale , U.S. representative for
Montana's at-large congressional district (2021–present)
[52]
John Rutherford , U.S. representative for
Florida's 4th congressional district (2017–present)
[52]
Joe Wilson , U.S. representative for
South Carolina's 2nd congressional district (2001–present)
[52]
Mike Simpson , U.S. representative for
Idaho's 2nd congressional district (1999–present)
[52]
Chris Smith , U.S. representative for
New Jersey's 4th congressional district (1981–present)
[52]
Jason Smith , U.S. representative for
Missouri's 8th congressional district (2013–present), former
Secretary of the House Republican Conference (2017-2021)
[52]
Lloyd Smucker , U.S. representative for
Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district (2019–present), former U.S. representative for
Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district (2017-2019)
[52]
Victoria Spartz , U.S. representative for
Indiana's 5th congressional district (2021–present)
[52]
Pete Stauber , U.S. representative for
Minnesota's 8th congressional district (2019–present)
[52]
Greg Steube , U.S. representative for
Florida's 17th congressional district (2019–present)
[52]
Marjorie Taylor Greene , U.S. representative for
Georgia's 14th congressional district (2021–present)
[52]
Claudia Tenney , U.S. representative for
New York's 22nd congressional district (2017-2019), (2021–present)
[52]
Tom Tiffany , U.S. representative for
Wisconsin's 7th congressional district (2020–present)
[52]
William Timmons , U.S. representative for
South Carolina's 4th congressional district (2019–present)
[52]
Jeff Van Drew , U.S. representative for
New Jersey's 2nd congressional district (2019–present)
[52]
Tim Walberg , U.S. representative for
Michigan's 7th congressional district (2007-2009), (2011–2023)
[52]
Jackie Walorski , U.S. representative for
Indiana's 2nd congressional district (2013–2022), (Deceased)
[52]
Randy Weber , U.S. representative for
Texas's 14th congressional district (2013–present)
[52]
Brad Wenstrup , U.S. representative for
Ohio's 2nd congressional district (2013–present)
[52]
State and local officials
John Bear , state representative for the 31st district (2021–present)
[56]
Scott Clem , former state representative for the 31st district (2015–2021)
[56]
Timothy Hallinan , state representative for the 32nd district (2007–2011, 2017–present)
[56]
Marti Halverson , former state representative for the 22nd district (2013–2019)
[56]
Jeremy Haroldson , state representative for the 4th district (2021–present)
[56]
Hans Hunt , former state representative for 2nd district (2011–2021)
[56]
Bill McIlvain , former Speaker of the
Wyoming House of Representatives (1989–1991) and state representative (1969–1973, 1977–1990)
[56]
Chip Neiman , state representative for the 1st district (2021–present)
[56]
Tom Reeder , former state senator for the 58th district (2011–2017)
[56]
Rachel Rodriguez-Williams , state representative for the 50th district (2021–present)
[56]
Tim Salazar , state senator for the 26th district (2021–present) and former state representative for the 34th district (2017–2021)
[56]
Cheri Steinmetz , state senator for the 3rd district (2019–present) and former state representative for the 5th district (2015–2019)
[56]
Clarence Styvar , state representative for the 12th district (2018–present)
[56]
J. D. Williams, state representative for the 2nd district (2021–present)
[56]
Individuals
Organizations
Chuck Gray (withdrawn)
U.S. Representatives
State Officials
Individuals
Debates and forums
Wyoming PBS has had a tradition of hosting one debate for each for the Democratic and Republican primaries for all candidates on the ballot in their respective primaries as well as one general election debate for all candidates on the ballot. All Republican candidates on the ballot that didn't withdraw were included in the sole debate. This debate was not open to the public, but was open to media outlets.
[71] Due to Liz Cheney's role as Vice Chair in the hearings for the
United States House Select Committee on the January 6 Attack which were broadcast, different MSNBC hosts would later show debate clips of her defending her work in the committee.
[72]
2022 Wyoming Republican U.S. Representative primary debates
No.
Date
Host
Moderator
Link
Participants
P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn
Liz Cheney
Robyn Belinskey
Anthony Bouchard
Harriet Hageman
Denton Knapp
Chuck Gray
Bryan Miller
Darin Smith
1
June 30, 2022
Wyoming PBS
Bob Beck Steve Peck Craig Blumenshine Steven Dahl
YouTube
P
P
P
P
P
W
W
W
Polling
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
Anthony Bouchard
Liz Cheney
Harriet Hageman
Undecided
[a]
Margin
RealClearPolitics
July 7 – August 6, 2022
August 12, 2022
3.5%
29.0%
54.5%
13.0%
Hageman +25.5
Graphical summary
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
[b]
Margin of error
Anthony Bouchard
Liz Cheney
Chuck Gray
Harriet Hageman
Darin Smith
Other
Undecided
University of Wyoming
July 25 – August 6, 2022
562 (LV)
± 4.1%
2%
28%
–
57%
–
1%
[c]
12%
WPA Intelligence (R)
[A]
July 12–14, 2022
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
5%
[d]
31%
[d]
–
59%
[d]
–
–
5%
[d]
5%
[e]
36%
[e]
–
54%
[e]
–
–
5%
[e]
5%
[f]
39%
[f]
–
51%
[f]
–
–
5%
[f]
Mason-Dixon
July 7–11, 2022
1,100 (LV)
± 3.0%
5%
30%
–
52%
–
2%
[g]
11%
Fabrizio Lee (R)
[B]
June 1–2, 2022
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
8%
28%
–
56%
–
<1%
[h]
7%
WPA Intelligence (R)
[A]
May 24–25, 2022
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
12%
26%
–
56%
–
–
6%
Fabrizio Lee (R)
[B]
December 14–15, 2021
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
13%
26%
–
34%
–
2%
[i]
26%
September 14, 2021
Gray suspends his campaign
September 9, 2021
Smith withdraws and endorses Hageman
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
[C]
July 26, 2021
300 (LV)
± 5.6%
17%
23%
18%
–
7%
5%
[j]
30%
–
23%
25%
–
14%
–
39%
–
24%
63%
–
–
–
14%
Remington Research Group (R)
[D]
July 25–26, 2021
766 (LV)
± 3.3%
18%
19%
14%
–
24%
–
25%
–
20%
–
–
70%
–
10%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
[E]
January 25–26, 2021
– (LV)
[k]
–
28%
21%
17%
–
–
–
34%
50%
23%
–
–
–
–
27%
–
23%
50%
–
–
–
27%
Results
Results by county: 50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
80–90%
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Debates and forums
2022 Wyoming Democratic U.S. Representative primary debates
No.
Date
Host
Moderators
Link
Participants
P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn
Lynnette Grey Bull
Meghan Jensen
Steve Helling
1
August 4, 2022
Wyoming PBS
Bob Beck Steve Peck Craig Blumenshine
YouTube
P
P
P
Results
Results by county: 40–50%
50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
Independent and third-party candidates
Constitution Party
Nominee
Eliminated at convention
Libertarian Party
Nominee
Independents
Failed to qualify for ballot
General election
In the general election, Hageman faced Democratic nominee and Native American activist Lynnette Grey Bull, who was Cheney's opponent in 2020. However, Hageman was overwhelmingly favored in November.
[78] Republicans had a nearly 7-to-1 advantage in registration over Democrats,
[79] and Trump carried the state in 2020 with 70 percent of the vote, his strongest state-level performance in the nation.
Hageman won the 2022 election. She is the fourth consecutive Republican woman to represent Wyoming in the House.
Barbara Cubin won the seat in 1994, followed by
Cynthia Lummis in 2008, followed by
Cheney in 2016, and followed by Hageman.
Predictions
Debate
Endorsements
Polling
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
[b]
Margin of error
Harriet Hageman (R)
Lynnette Grey Bull (D)
Others
Undecided
University of Wyoming
October 22 – November 3, 2022
436 (LV)
–
62%
23%
4%
[l]
11%
Results
By county
County
Harriet Hageman
Republican
Lynnette Grey Bull
Democratic
Richard Brubaker
Libertarian
Marissa Selvig
Constitution
Write-in
Margin
Total votes
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
Albany
5,699
45.17
6,085
48.23
306
2.43
214
1.70
313
2.48
-386
3.06
12,617
Big Horn
3,449
81.46
504
11.90
97
2.29
108
2.55
76
1.79
2,945
69.56
4,234
Campbell
10,446
84.07
1,215
9.78
320
2.58
268
2.16
177
1.42
9,231
74.29
12,426
Carbon
3,434
73.33
892
19.05
170
3.63
126
2.69
61
1.30
2,542
54.28
4,683
Converse
4,044
80.00
602
11.91
129
2.55
209
4.13
71
1.40
3,442
68.09
5,055
Crook
2,814
85.82
306
9.33
69
2.10
51
1.56
39
1.19
2,508
76.49
3,279
Fremont
8,539
63.66
3,519
26.23
420
3.13
686
5.11
250
1.86
5,020
37.43
13,414
Goshen
3,835
79.04
766
15.79
86
1.77
76
1.57
89
1.83
3,069
63.25
4,852
Hot Springs
1,641
75.31
367
16.84
55
2.52
74
3.40
42
1.93
1,274
58.47
2,179
Johnson
3,003
77.82
601
15.57
100
2.59
61
1.58
94
2.44
2,402
62.25
3,859
Laramie
17,539
58.91
9,572
32.15
914
3.07
863
2.90
883
2.97
7,967
26.76
29,771
Lincoln
6,118
81.69
998
13.33
159
2.12
112
1.50
102
1.36
5,120
68.36
7,489
Natrona
15,399
68.69
5,235
23.35
656
2.93
478
2.13
649
2.90
10,164
45.34
22,417
Niobrara
936
86.43
75
6.93
16
1.48
39
3.60
17
1.57
861
79.50
1,083
Park
9,658
76.22
1,922
15.17
313
2.47
216
1.70
562
4.44
7,736
61.05
12,671
Platte
3,107
78.18
603
15.17
81
2.04
118
2.97
65
1.64
2,504
63.01
3,974
Sheridan
8,497
70.33
2,704
22.38
312
2.58
218
1.80
351
2.91
5,793
47.95
12,082
Sublette
2,768
77.97
604
17.01
71
2.00
48
1.35
59
1.66
2,164
60.96
3,550
Sweetwater
8,362
70.71
2,555
21.60
493
4.17
225
1.90
191
1.62
5,807
49.11
11,826
Teton
2,957
29.38
6,447
64.05
335
3.33
67
0.67
259
2.57
-3,490
-34.67
10,065
Uinta
5,119
78.18
987
15.07
178
2.72
161
2.46
103
1.57
5,260
57.76
9,107
Washakie
2,430
80.04
435
14.33
93
3.06
43
1.42
35
1.15
1,995
65.71
3,036
Weston
2,412
86.39
256
9.17
47
1.68
44
1.58
33
1.18
2,156
77.22
2,792
Totals
132,206
68.18
47,250
24.37
5,420
2.80
4,505
2.32
4,521
2.33
84,956
43.81
193,902
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Notes
^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
^
a
b Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
^ Knapp with 1%; Belinskey with 0%
^
a
b
c
d Turnout scenario with registered Democrats as 13% of primary voters
^
a
b
c
d Turnout scenario with registered Democrats as 20% of primary voters
^
a
b
c
d Turnout scenario with registered Democrats as 25% of primary voters
^ Belinskey and Knapp with 1%
^ Belinskey and Knapp with <1%
^ Belinskey and Knapp with 1%
^ Buchanan with 3%, Biteman with 2%
^ Republican primary subsample of a poll of 500 likely general election voters (margin of error ± 4.4%)
^ Richard Brubaker (L) with 3%; Marissa Selvig (C) with 1%
Partisan clients
^
a
b This poll was sponsored by Club for Growth Action, which opposes Cheney
^
a
b This poll was sponsored by Wyoming Values PAC, which supports Hageman
^ This poll was sponsored by Gray's campaign
^ This poll was sponsored by Smith's campaign
^ This poll was sponsored by
Save America PAC
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