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See also: 2022 United States Senate elections
For the state legislative election, see 2022 Illinois Senate election.

2022 United States Senate election in Illinois
←  2016 November 8, 2022 2028 →
 
Nominee Tammy Duckworth Kathy Salvi
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 2,329,136 1,701,055
Percentage 56.82% 41.50%
Duckworth:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Salvi:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
U.S. senator before election

Tammy Duckworth
Democratic

Elected U.S. senator

Tammy Duckworth
Democratic

Elections in Illinois
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The 2022 United States Senate election in Illinois was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Illinois.

Incumbent Democratic senator Tammy Duckworth was re-elected for a second term against former U.S. House of Representatives candidate Kathy Salvi, the Republican nominee, winning by a margin of 15.3%, 0.2% more than her 2016 margin. Duckworth became the first woman ever to be re-elected for a second term in the state's history. This was the first Illinois U.S. Senate election where both major party candidates were female.

Salvi flipped seven counties—Calhoun, McDonough, Knox, Gallatin, Pulaski, Alexander, and Madison—that had voted for Duckworth in 2016. On the other hand, Duckworth won Kendall, McLean, Peoria, and Winnebago, which had all voted against her in 2016.

This Senate seat had a history of being unfavorable to incumbents and parties in power over the past several decades. No person elected to this seat was re-elected since Alan J. Dixon in 1986. With Duckworth's victory, this was the first time since 1986 that a Class 3 Illinois senator was re-elected to a successive six-year term, and the first time since 1992 that any party won the seat consecutively.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Tammy Duckworth
Organizations

Results

Democratic primary results [16] [17]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tammy Duckworth (incumbent) 856,720 100.0%
Total votes 856,720 100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Disqualified

  • Tim Arview, insurance agent [26] [22]
  • Maryann Mahlen [24]
  • Allison Salinas, activist [27]

Declined

Endorsements

Bobby Piton
Individuals
Kathy Salvi
State legislators
Newspapers
Organizations

Polling

Graphical summary
Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Casey
Chlebek 		Matthew
Dubiel 		Peggy
Hubbard 		Bobby
Piton 		Kathy
Salvi 		Jimmy Lee
Tillman 		Anthony
Williams 		Other
[a] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics June 6–13, 2022 June 15, 2022 3.5% 5.5% 14.0% 4.0% 12.5% 1.5% 2.0% 57.0% Hubbard +1.5
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error 		Casey
Chlebek 		Matthew
Dubiel 		Peggy
Hubbard 		Maryann
Mahlen 		Bobby
Piton 		Kathy
Salvi 		Jimmy Lee
Tillman 		Anthony
Williams 		Undecided
Ogden & Fry (R) June 24, 2022 518 (LV) ± 4.4% 1% 6% 11% 2% 3% 20% 2% 0% 53%
The Trafalgar Group (R) June 10–13, 2022 1,075 (LV) ± 2.9% 6% 4% 18% – 6% 15% 2% 1% 49%
Ogden & Fry (R) June 11–12, 2022 662 (LV) ± 3.9% 1% 4% 9% 2% 4% 17% 1% 1% 62%
Public Policy Polling (D) June 6–7, 2022 677 (LV) ± 3.8% 1% 7% 10% – 2% 10% 1% 3% 66%
Emerson College May 6–8, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 4% 4% 7% – 6% 5% 1% 1% 72%

Results

Results by county
  Salvi
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Hubbard
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Dubiel
  •   20–30%
Republican primary results [16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kathy Salvi 216,007 30.23%
Republican Peggy Hubbard 177,180 24.79%
Republican Matthew "Matt" Dubiel 90,538 12.67%
Republican Casey Chlebek 76,213 10.66%
Republican Robert "Bobby" Piton 65,461 9.16%
Republican Anthony W. Williams 52,890 7.40%
Republican Jimmy Lee Tillman II 36,342 5.09%
Total votes 714,631 100.0%

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report [43] Solid D March 4, 2022
Inside Elections [44] Solid D April 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [45] Safe D March 1, 2022
Politico [46] Solid D April 1, 2022
RCP [47] Likely D October 26, 2022
Fox News [48] Solid D May 12, 2022
DDHQ [49] Solid D July 20, 2022
538 [50] Solid D June 30, 2022
The Economist [51] Safe D September 7, 2022

Endorsements

Tammy Duckworth (D)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
Labor Unions
Organizations
Newspapers
Kathy Salvi (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
State legislators
Local officials
Newspapers
  • The Arab Daily News [35]
Organizations

Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Tammy
Duckworth (D) 		Kathy
Salvi (R) 		Undecided
[c] 		Margin
FiveThirtyEight August 25 – November 8, 2022 November 8, 2022 55.5% 40.2% 4.3% Duckworth +15.3
270towin October 14 – November 7, 2022 November 8, 2022 51.6% 36.4% 12.0% Duckworth +15.2
Average 53.6% 38.3% 8.1% Duckworth +15.3
Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error 		Tammy
Duckworth (D) 		Kathy
Salvi (R) 		Other Undecided
Research Co. November 4–6, 2022 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 55% 38% 2% [d] 5%
Civiqs October 22–25, 2022 659 (LV) ± 4.3% 56% 40% 2% [e] 2%
Emerson College October 20–24, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 39% 3% [f] 8%
Public Policy Polling (D) October 10–11, 2022 770 (LV) ± 3.5% 50% 36% 5% [g] 9%
Research America October 5–11, 2022 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 48% 29% 10% [h] 14%
Emerson College September 21–23, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 31% 4% [i] 16%
Victory Geek (D) August 25–28, 2022 512 (LV) ± 4.3% 58% 35% – 7%
Victory Research (R) July 17–19, 2022 1,208 (LV) ± 2.8% 43% 34% 2% [j] 20%
Hypothetical polling
Tammy Duckworth vs. generic opponent
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error 		Tammy
Duckworth (D) 		Generic
Opponent 		Undecided
Victory Research (R) July 17–19, 2022 1,208 (LV) ± 2.8% 44% 36% 20%

Results

2022 United States Senate election in Illinois [63]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Tammy Duckworth (incumbent) 2,329,136 56.82% +1.96%
Republican Kathy Salvi 1,701,055 41.50% +1.72%
Libertarian Bill Redpath 68,671 1.68% -1.53%
Write-in 34 0.0% -0.01%
Total votes 4,098,896 100.0%
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Duckworth won 14 of 17 congressional districts. [64]

District Duckworth Salvi Representative
1st 69.1% 29.6% Bobby Rush ( 117th Congress)
Jonathan Jackson ( 118th Congress)
2nd 68.9% 29.7% Robin Kelly
3rd 68.9% 29.5% Marie Newman ( 117th Congress)
Delia Ramirez ( 118th Congress)
4th 69.9% 28.3% Chuy García
5th 70.4% 28.2% Mike Quigley
6th 55.3% 43.1% Sean Casten
7th 86% 12.6% Danny Davis
8th 56.3% 42.1% Raja Krishnamoorthi
9th 71.6% 27% Jan Schakowsky
10th 61.6% 36.9% Brad Schneider
11th 55.6% 42.6% Bill Foster
12th 29.4% 68.7% Mike Bost
13th 55.9% 41.9% Nikki Budzinski
14th 54.2% 44% Lauren Underwood
15th 32.2% 65.6% Mary Miller
16th 38.3% 59.8% Darin LaHood
17th 51.9% 46.1% Cheri Bustos ( 117th Congress)
Eric Sorensen ( 118th Congress)

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ a b c Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  4. ^ Redpath (L) with 2%
  5. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  6. ^ Redpath (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  7. ^ Redpath with 5%
  8. ^ Redpath with 6%; "None" with 4%
  9. ^ "Someone else" with 4%
  10. ^ Redpath with 2%

References

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  2. ^ a b "U.S. Senate Candidates".
  3. ^ a b c d "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Senators Duckworth and Murray for Re-Election". End Citizens United. September 9, 2021. Retrieved November 20, 2021.
  4. ^ a b "2022 Feminist Majority PAC Endorsements". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved April 9, 2022.
  5. ^ a b "Giffords Endorses Tammy Duckworth for Reelection to the US Senate". www.giffords.org. Giffords. March 18, 2022.
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  7. ^ "Political Action Committee". www.ilnow.org.
  8. ^ a b "International Union of Operating Engineers Endorsed Candidates". Politico. Retrieved May 21, 2022.
  9. ^ a b "Jewish Dems Start 2022 Election Cycle With First Slate of Endorsements". www.jewishdems.org. November 30, 2021. Retrieved December 11, 2021.
  10. ^ a b Courtnee Connon (June 10, 2021). "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of U.S. Senate Endorsements in the 2022 Election Cycle". League of Conservation Voters.
  11. ^ a b "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Slate of Reproductive Freedom Champions for the U.S. House and Senate". NARAL Pro-Choice America. July 13, 2021.
  12. ^ a b Turrentine, Jeff (March 8, 2022). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses These Candidates in the 2022 Elections". Natural Resources Defense Council. Retrieved March 15, 2022.
  13. ^ a b "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved December 22, 2021.
  14. ^ a b "2022 House & Senate Endorsements". Archived from the original on July 2, 2022. Retrieved April 21, 2022.
  15. ^ a b "Federal Endorsed Candidates". Women's Political Committee.
  16. ^ a b "Election Results 2022 GENERAL PRIMARY". Illinois State Board of Elections. Retrieved July 28, 2022.[ permanent dead link]
  17. ^ a b "Candidates Filed". Illinois Secretary of State. Retrieved March 7, 2022.[ permanent dead link]
  18. ^ a b "Editorial: Kathy Salvi for the Republican primary for Tammy Duckworth's U.S. Senate seat". Chicago Tribune. June 8, 2022. Retrieved July 25, 2022.
  19. ^ Newsroom (March 14, 2022). "Kathy Salvi Announces Run For U.S. Senate". wmay.com. Retrieved March 14, 2022.
  20. ^ Pfingsten, Patrick (March 7, 2022). "Tracking Monday Candidate Filings". The Illinoize. Retrieved March 7, 2022.
  21. ^ Robb, Tom (March 11, 2022). "Republican Candidates Welcomed In Niles". Journal & Topics. Retrieved April 20, 2022.
  22. ^ a b Gough, Robert (June 9, 2021). "Peggy Hubbard tries to break through". Muddy River News.
  23. ^ Gilbert, David (June 15, 2021). "QAnon Follower Who Tried to Steal Arizona for Trump Is Running For Senate". VICE. Retrieved January 23, 2022.
  24. ^ a b c Rafael Guerrero (March 15, 2022). "Candidates file to run in Naperville Illinois House, Senate, Congressional primary races". Chicago Tribune. Retrieved April 14, 2022.
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  27. ^ Sheehan, Matt (March 24, 2021). "ON THE RECORD: Allison Salinas plans to challenge Sen. Duckworth's seat with focus on key issues". WMBD-TV. Archived from the original on March 25, 2021. Retrieved April 25, 2021.
  28. ^ Nowicki, Jerry (December 18, 2020). "Illinois House deputy minority leader Demmer considering statewide run in 2022". The State Journal-Register.
  29. ^ Seils, Lizzie (January 11, 2022). "Dixon Rep. Tom Demmer announces run for state treasurer". www.wifr.com. WIFR-LD. Retrieved February 10, 2022.
  30. ^
  31. ^ Sweet, Lynn (January 5, 2022). "Rep. Kinzinger to focus on fighting right-wing extremism, won't run for governor or Senate". Chicago Sun-Times. Archived from the original on January 5, 2022. Retrieved January 6, 2022.
  32. ^ Armentrout, Mitchell (June 12, 2022). "Sun-Times/WBEZ Poll: Ken Griffin, Michael Flynn not prompting Illinois Republican primary voters to decide". chicago.suntimes.com. Chicago Sun-Times. Retrieved June 19, 2022. Geneva financial planner Robert "Bobby" Piton... has raised more than $168,000 for his campaign, which is endorsed by Michael Flynn
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  34. ^ "Endorsement: Salvi in Republican Senate primary". www.dailyherald.com. Daily Herald. June 2022. Retrieved June 8, 2022.
  35. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y "Kathy Salvi for U.S. Senate Endorsements". www.kathysalvi.com. Retrieved May 26, 2022.
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  64. ^ Results. docs.google.com (Report).

External links

Official campaign websites
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