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In the lead-up to the 2024 Queensland state election, a number of polling companies will conduct regular opinion polls for various news organisations. These polls will collect data on parties' primary vote, and will contain an estimation of the two-party-preferred vote. They will also ask questions about the electorates' views on major party leaders.

Graphical summary

Voting intention

Legislative Assembly polling
Date Firm Sample Primary vote 2pp vote
ALP LNP GRN ON KAP OTH ALP LNP
9–17 April 2024 YouGov [1] 1,092 27% 44% 15% 10% 1% 3% 44% 56%
16 March 2024 The local government elections are held, LNP wins Ipswich West by-election and Labor holds its seat in Inala.
7–13 March 2024 Newspoll [2] 1,037 30% 42% 13% 8% — — 46% 54%
13 February 2024 uComms [3] [4] 1,743 34.2% 37.3% 12.2% 7.7% 3.9% 4.7% 50% 50%
26 December 2023 uComms [5] 1,911 34.4% 36.2% — — — — 49% 51%
15 December 2023 Steven Miles is officially elected Leader of Queensland Labor; sworn in as Premier of Queensland.
13 December 2023 uComms [6] 1,143 34% 38.2% 11.9% 7.8% 3.3% 4.8% 48% 52%
10 December 2023 Annastacia Palaszczuk announces her intention to resign as Leader of Queensland Labor and Premier of Queensland.
September – December 2023 Resolve Strategic [7] [8] 940 33% 37% 12% 8% — 10% 49.5% 50.5%
4–10 October 2023 YouGov [9] 1,013 33% 41% 13% 8% 2% 3% 48% 52%
26 August – 6 September 2023 RedBridge [10] [11] [12] [13] 2,012 26% 41% 14% 9% — 10% 45% 55%
May – August 2023 Resolve Strategic [14] 943 32% 38% 11% 8% 1% 10% [a] 48% 52%
29 June – 2 July 2023 Freshwater Strategy [15] 1,065 34% 40% 11% — — 15% 49% 51%
17 January – 17 April 2023 Resolve Strategic [16] 943 35% 33% 12% 7% 1% 11% [b] 52.5% 47.5%
30 March – 5 April 2023 YouGov [17] 1,015 33% 39% 13% 10% 2% — 49% 51%
1–8 December 2022 YouGov [18] ~1,000 34% 38% 13% 11% — 4% 50% 50%
21 August – 4 December 2022 Resolve Strategic [19] 924 37% 35% 11% 6% 1% 10% [c] 53.2% 46.8%
23–30 June 2022 YouGov [20] ~1,000 34% 38% 14% 10% 1% 3% 50% 50%
18–23 February 2022 YouGov [21] ~1,000 39% 38% 10% 8% 1% 4% 52% 48%
31 October 2020 election 39.6% 35.9% 9.5% 7.1% 2.5% 5.7% 53.2% 46.8%

Some polls do not publish a two-party-preferred result. In these cases, the result has been manually calculated from preference flows at the 2020 election.

Preferred Premier and satisfaction

Preferred Premier

Date Polling firm Sample Preferred Premier
Miles Crisafulli Don't know
9–17 Apr 2024 YouGov [22] 1,092 27% 40% 33%
7–13 March 2024 Newspoll [2] 1,037 37% 43% 20%
13 February 2024 uComms [3] [4] 1,743 49% 51% —
26 December 2023 uComms [5] 1,911 47.8% 52.2% —
Date Polling firm Sample Preferred Premier
Palaszczuk Crisafulli Don't know
September – December 2023 Resolve Strategic [7] [8] 940 34% 39% 27%
10 Nov 2023 SEC Newgate [23] 600 30% 34% 36%
4–10 Oct 2023 YouGov [9] 1,013 35% 37% 28%
December 2023 Resolve Strategic [7] [8] 940 34% 39% 27%
May – August 2023 Resolve Strategic [14] 943 36% 37% 27%
29 June – 2 July 2023 AFR/Freshwater Strategy [15] 1,065 44% 45% 11%
17 Jan – 17 Apr 2023 Resolve Strategic [16] 943 39% 31% 31%
30 Mar – 5 Apr 2023 YouGov [17] 1,015 31% 29% 40%
1–8 Dec 2022 YouGov [18] ~1,000 39% 28% 33%
21 Aug – 4 Dec 2022 Resolve Strategic [19] 924 42% 30% 28%
23–30 Jun 2022 YouGov [20] ~1,000 41% 28% 31%

Satisfaction ratings

Date Polling firm Sample Miles Crisafulli
Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't Know Net Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't Know Net
9–17 Apr 2024 YouGov [22] 1,092 25% 47% 28% –22% 40% 26% 34% +14%
7–13 March 2024 Newspoll [2] 1,037 38% 49% 13% -11% 47% 33% 20% +14%
13 February 2024 uComms [3] [4] 1,743 44.2% 25.2% 25.2% +19% 41.7% 18.7% 31.2% +23%
13 December 2023 uComms [6] 1,143 38.4% 25.9% 35.6% +12.5% — — — —
Date Polling firm Sample Palaszczuk Crisafulli
Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't Know Net Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't Know Net
September – December 2023 Resolve Strategic [7] [8] 940 — — — –17% — — — +9%
4–10 Oct 2023 YouGov [9] 1,013 32% 52% 16% –20% 37% 26% 37% +11%
September – December 2023 Resolve Strategic [7] [8] 940 — — — –17% — — — +9%
May – August 2023 Resolve Strategic [14] 943 — — — –15% — — — +7%
29 June – 2 July 2023 AFR/Freshwater Strategy [15] 1,065 39% 47% 14% –8% — — — —
1–8 Dec 2022 YouGov [18] ~1,000 40% 41% 19% –1% 31% 27% 42% +4%
23–30 Jun 2022 YouGov [20] ~1,000 45% 30% 16% +15% 31% 23% 46% +8%
18–23 Feb 2022 YouGov [21] ~1,000 50% 36% 14% +14% — — — —

Notes

  1. ^ Independents: 8%, Other parties: 2%
  2. ^ Independents: 10%, Other parties: 1%
  3. ^ Independents: 7%, Other parties: 3%

References

  1. ^ Johnson, Hayden; Burns, Christopher (26 April 2024). "YouGov poll: Labor on track to lose 21 seats at Queensland state election". Courier Mail.
  2. ^ a b c Lynch, Lydia (15 March 2024). "Newspoll: Queensland's Liberal National Party in box seat for majority government". The Australian.
  3. ^ a b c Johnson, Hayden (23 February 2024). "Polling shock: Battlelines drawn as explosive new poll delivers boilover no one saw coming". Courier Mail.
  4. ^ a b c "uComms: 50-50 in Queensland – The Poll Bludger". www.pollbludger.net. Retrieved 2024-02-23.
  5. ^ a b McCormack, Madura (26 December 2023). "UComms poll: Steven Miles's ascension makes little difference to Labor fortunes". Courier Mail.
  6. ^ a b Smee, Ben (21 December 2023). "Poll bombshell: Result that changes everything in battle for Premier". Guardian Australia.
  7. ^ a b c d e Dennien, Matt (5 December 2023). "Support for Labor steadies, despite dip in Palaszczuk's popularity". Brisbane Times.
  8. ^ a b c d e "Resolve Strategic: LNP 37, Labor 33, Greens 12 in Queensland – The Poll Bludger". www.pollbludger.net. Retrieved 2023-12-06.
  9. ^ a b c Johnson, Hayden (26 October 2023). "Poll bombshell: Result that changes everything in battle for Premier". Courier Mail.
  10. ^ Bennett, Stephanie (9 September 2023). "New Qld poll shows 'strong mood' to dump Labor". Courier Mail.
  11. ^ Tapper, Michelle; Iorio, Kelsie (9 September 2023). "LNP gains more ground over Labor in polls, surges ahead in primary vote". ABC News (Australia).
  12. ^ "Weekend miscellany: Voice and Queensland polls, Liberal Senate preselections (open thread) – The Poll Bludger". www.pollbludger.net. Retrieved 2023-09-09.
  13. ^ "Queensland vote intention" (PDF). RedBridge Group. Retrieved 2023-09-09.
  14. ^ a b c Dennien, Matt (17 August 2023). "LNP ahead in the polls as voters consider Crisafulli over Palaszczuk". Brisbane Times.
  15. ^ a b c Ludlow, Mark (5 July 2023). "Palaszczuk on track to lose in 2024: poll". Australian Financial Review. Retrieved 5 July 2023.
  16. ^ a b Dennien, Matt (19 April 2023). "Crashing the parties: Voters mark leaders down but Palaszczuk keeps her edge". Brisbane Times.
  17. ^ a b McKay, Jack (21 April 2023). "Annastacia Palaszczuk's standing as preferred premier sinks to lowest level since she took up top job". The Courier-Mail. Retrieved 22 April 2023.
  18. ^ a b c "YouGov poll reveals LNP and Labor neck and neck". The Courier Mail. 11 December 2022.
  19. ^ a b "Palaszczuk Labor still favoured by voters at political halfway mark". Brisbane Times. 12 December 2022.
  20. ^ a b c "Palaszczuk shockwaves: Labor's lead obliterated, shock result if election held today". The Courier Mail. 4 July 2022.
  21. ^ a b "LNP closing the gap on Labor's lead in the polls, Annastacia Palaszczuk viewed less favourably". The Courier Mail. 25 February 2022.
  22. ^ a b McCormack, Madura (26 April 2024). "YouGov poll: Steven Miles more unpopular than Campbell Newman before 2014 election defeat". Courier Mail.
  23. ^ Pierce, Jeremy; Mulvaney, Mikaela (10 November 2023). "Shock poll result for Queensland government". Courier Mail.
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