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Hassan: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% Lamontagne: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in New Hampshire |
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The 2012 New Hampshire gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election, U.S. House elections, and various state and local elections.
Four-term incumbent governor John Lynch was eligible to seek a fifth term. In the fall of 2011, Lynch announced that he would retire rather than run for re-election. [1] On September 11, 2012, Democrat Maggie Hassan and Republican Ovide Lamontagne defeated primary opponents to win their parties' nominations. [2] [3] Hassan won the election while carrying every county in the state and began the two-year term on January 3, 2013. [4]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jackie Cilley |
Maggie Hassan |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | August 9–12, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 24% | 30% | — | 46% |
Public Policy Polling | May 10–13, 2012 | 477 | ± 4.5% | 20% | 23% | — | 57% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Maggie Hassan | 45,120 | 53.1 | |
Democratic | Jackie Cilley | 33,066 | 38.9 | |
Democratic | Bill Kennedy | 5,936 | 7.0 | |
Democratic | Other | 850 | 1.0 | |
Total votes | 84,972 | 100 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ovide Lamontagne |
Kevin Smith |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | August 9–12, 2012 | 662 | ± 3.8% | 49% | 21% | — | 30% |
Public Policy Polling | May 10–13, 2012 | 555 | ± 4.2% | 53% | 13% | — | 34% |
Public Policy Polling | January 7–8, 2012 | 1,771 | ± 2.3% | 40% | 12% | — | 48% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ovide Lamontagne | 73,437 | 67.7 | |
Republican | Kevin Smith | 32,396 | 29.8 | |
Republican | Robert Tarr | 1,725 | 1.6 | |
Republican | Other | 988 | 0.9 | |
Total votes | 108,546 | 100 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Tossup | November 1, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [28] | Lean D | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg Political Report [29] | Tossup | November 2, 2012 |
Real Clear Politics [30] | Lean D | November 5, 2012 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Ovide Lamontagne (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | November 4, 2012 | 750 | ± 4% | 50% | 45% | 1% | 4% |
New England College | November 3–4, 2012 | 666 | ± 4.1% | 47% | 45% | 1% | 7% |
Public Policy Polling | November 3–4, 2012 | 1,550 | ± 2.5% | 51% | 47% | — | 2% |
WMUR/University of New Hampshire | November 1–4, 2012 | 789 | ± 3.5% | 54% | 43% | 3% | — |
WMUR/University of New Hampshire | October 31–November 2, 2012 | 502 | ± 4.4% | 47% | 42% | 3% | 8% |
NBC/WSJ/Marist | October 28–29, 2012 | 1013 | ± 3.1% | 49% | 44% | 1% | 6% |
Public Policy Polling | October 26–28, 2012 | 874 | ± 3.3% | 48% | 44% | — | 8% |
New England College | October 23–25, 2012 | 571 | ± 4.1% | 45% | 45% | 1% | 9% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 23, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 46% | 48% | 1% | 5% |
WMUR/University of New Hampshire | October 17–21, 2012 | 773 | ± 3.5% | 43% | 35% | 3% | 18% |
Public Policy Polling | October 17–19, 2012 | 1,036 | ± 3.0% | 45% | 43% | — | 12% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 15, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 46% | 48% | — | 5% |
Suffolk University/7NEWS Archived 2012-10-17 at the Wayback Machine | October 12–14, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 41% | 38% | 4% | 16% |
American Research Group | October 9–11, 2012 | 600 | ± 4% | 40% | 46% | 3% | 11% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 9, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 48% | 46% | — | 5% |
WMUR/University of New Hampshire | October 1–6, 2012 | 419 | ± 4.8% | 35% | 39% | 3% | 23% |
WMUR/University of New Hampshire | September 27–30, 2012 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 38% | 36% | 2% | 25% |
Public Policy Polling | September 24–25, 2012 | 862 | ± 3.3% | 51% | 44% | — | 5% |
NBC/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | September 23–25, 2012 | 1012 | ± 3.1% | 47% | 45% | 1% | 7% |
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Archived 2012-09-27 at the Wayback Machine | September 15–19, 2012 | 600 | ± 4.9% | 48% | 46% | — | 6% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 18, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 44% | 48% | 2% | 7% |
Public Policy Polling | August 9–12, 2012 | 1,055 | ± 3.0% | 45% | 43% | — | 12% |
WMUR/University of New Hampshire | August 1–12, 2012 | 555 | ± 4.2% | 31% | 33% | 1% | 35% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 20, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 36% | 42% | — | 22% |
Public Policy Polling | May 10–13, 2012 | 1,163 | ± 2.9% | 39% | 40% | — | 21% |
WMUR/University of New Hampshire | April 9–20, 2012 | 486 | ± 4.4% | 34% | 29% | 1% | 36% |
WMUR/University of New Hampshire | January 25–February 2, 2012 | 495 | ± 4.4% | 26% | 32% | 1% | 41% |
Public Policy Polling | June 30–July 5, 2011 | 662 | ± 3.8% | 35% | 41% | — | 24% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jackie Cilley (D) |
Ovide Lamontagne (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | August 9–12, 2012 | 1,055 | ± 3.0% | 42% | 42% | — | 16% |
WMUR/University of New Hampshire | August 1–12, 2012 | 555 | ± 4.2% | 31% | 35% | 1% | 33% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 20, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 39% | 41% | — | 20% |
Public Policy Polling | May 10–13, 2012 | 1,163 | ± 2.9% | 38% | 38% | — | 24% |
WMUR/University of New Hampshire | April 9–20, 2012 | 486 | ± 4.4% | 31% | 30% | 1% | 38% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jackie Cilley (D) |
Kevin Smith (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | August 9–12, 2012 | 1,055 | ± 3.0% | 39% | 38% | — | 23% |
WMUR/University of New Hampshire | August 1–12, 2012 | 555 | ± 4.2% | 31% | 28% | 1% | 39% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 20, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 39% | 37% | — | 24% |
Public Policy Polling | May 10–13, 2012 | 1,163 | ± 2.9% | 37% | 32% | — | 31% |
WMUR/University of New Hampshire | April 9–20, 2012 | 486 | ± 4.4% | 30% | 23% | 1% | 47% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Kevin Smith (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | August 9–12, 2012 | 1,055 | ± 3.0% | 42% | 39% | — | 20% |
WMUR/University of New Hampshire | August 1–12, 2012 | 555 | ± 4.2% | 31% | 29% | 1% | 39% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 20, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 36% | 39% | — | 25% |
Public Policy Polling | May 10–13, 2012 | 1,163 | ± 2.9% | 37% | 31% | — | 32% |
WMUR/University of New Hampshire | April 9–20, 2012 | 486 | ± 4.4% | 29% | 24% | 1% | 46% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bill Kennedy (D) |
Ovide Lamontagne (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WMUR/University of New Hampshire | August 1–12, 2012 | 555 | ± 4.2% | 29% | 35% | 1% | 36% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bill Kennedy (D) |
Kevin Smith (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WMUR/University of New Hampshire | August 1–12, 2012 | 555 | ± 4.2% | 27% | 29% | 1% | 44% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mark Connolly (D) |
Jeb Bradley (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 30-July 5, 2011 | 662 | ± 3.8% | 30% | 38% | — | 31% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Jeb Bradley (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 30-July 5, 2011 | 662 | ± 3.8% | 33% | 39% | — | 28% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Steve Marchand (D) |
Jeb Bradley (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 30-July 5, 2011 | 662 | ± 3.8% | 32% | 38% | — | 31% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mark Connolly (D) |
Ovide Lamontagne (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 30-July 5, 2011 | 662 | ± 3.8% | 34% | 40% | — | 26% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mark Connolly (D) |
John Stephen (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 30-July 5, 2011 | 662 | ± 3.8% | 36% | 36% | — | 28% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mark Connolly (D) |
John E. Sununu (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 30-July 5, 2011 | 662 | ± 3.8% | 36% | 44% | — | 20% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Ted Gatsas (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WMUR/University of New Hampshire | January 25-February 2, 2012 | 495 | ± 4.4% | 27% | 29% | 1% | 43% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Lynch (D) |
Jeb Bradley (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 30-July 5, 2011 | 662 | ± 3.8% | 54% | 35% | — | 11% |
Public Policy Polling | March 31-April 3, 2011 | 769 | ± 3.5% | 57% | 33% | — | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Lynch (D) |
Ovide Lamontagne (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 30-July 5, 2011 | 662 | ± 3.8% | 54% | 36% | — | 10% |
Public Policy Polling | March 31-April 3, 2011 | 769 | ± 3.5% | 57% | 33% | — | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Lynch (D) |
John Stephen (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 30-July 5, 2011 | 662 | ± 3.8% | 55% | 34% | — | 11% |
Public Policy Polling | March 31-April 3, 2011 | 769 | ± 3.5% | 57% | 29% | — | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Lynch (D) |
John E. Sununu (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 30-July 5, 2011 | 662 | ± 3.8% | 51% | 40% | — | 8% |
Public Policy Polling | March 31-April 3, 2011 | 769 | ± 3.5% | 54% | 36% | — | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Steve Marchand (D) |
Ovide Lamontagne (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 30-July 5, 2011 | 662 | ± 3.8% | 33% | 40% | — | 27% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Steve Marchand (D) |
John Stephen (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 30-July 5, 2011 | 662 | ± 3.8% | 34% | 36% | — | 30% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Steve Marchand (D) |
John E. Sununu (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 30-July 5, 2011 | 662 | ± 3.8% | 35% | 44% | — | 21% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
John Stephen (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 30-July 5, 2011 | 662 | ± 3.8% | 36% | 37% | — | 27% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
John E. Sununu (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 30-July 5, 2011 | 662 | ± 3.8% | 36% | 45% | — | 19% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Maggie Hassan | 378,934 | 54.61% | +1.98% | |
Republican | Ovide Lamontagne | 295,026 | 42.52% | -2.51% | |
Libertarian | John J. Babiarz | 19,251 | 2.77% | +0.56% | |
Write-in | 666 | 0.10% | -0.02% | ||
Total votes | 693,877 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Democratic hold |
Hassan won both congressional districts. [32]
District | Hassan | Lamontagne | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 52.98% | 44.43% | Carol Shea-Porter |
2nd | 56.38% | 40.66% | Annie Kuster |