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The 2024 Rio de Janeiro municipal election will take place in the city of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on 6 October 2024. Voters will elect a mayor, vice mayor, and 51 city council members. The incumbent mayor, Eduardo Paes of the Social Democratic Party (PSD), is able to run for a second term. [1] [2]
If the most voted candidate on the first round doesn't achieve more than 50% of the votes, a second round will happen on 27 October 2024. The mayor's term will begin on 1 January 2025 and end on 31 December 2028. [3]
Background
2020 Rio de Janeiro mayoral election
The last mayoral election in Rio de Janeiro, held in 2020, resulted in a largest victory of Eduardo Paes (DEM) in the second round. Paes obtained 1,629,319 votes (64.07% of the valid votes), while his opponent and former mayor Marcelo Crivella obtained 913,700 votes (or circa of 35.93% of the valid votes). Crivella attemped his own re-election and lost by a difference of 28 points. [4]
An opinion poll conducted by Paraná Pesquisas in November 2023 asked Rio's citizens what they thought of Paes' government. His approval rate was 59.6% and those who disapproved of his management of the city were 35.3%. [5]
Electoral calendar
| 7 March – 5 April | Period of the 'party window' for councillors. During this period, the councillors are able to move to other political parties in order to run for election while not losing their respective political terms. |
| 6 April | Deadline for all parties and party federations to obtain the registration of their statutes at the Superior Electoral Court and for all candidates to have their electoral domicile in the constituency in which they wish to contest the elections with the affiliation granted by the party. |
| 15 May | Start of the preliminary fundraising campaign in the form of collective financing for potential candidates. During this period, candidates are not allowed to ask for votes and are still subjected to obey the rules regarding electoral propaganda on the Internet. |
| 20 July – 5 August | On this date, party conventions begin to deliberate on coalitions and choose candidates for mayors and councillors tickets. Parties have until 15 August to register their names with the Brazilian Election Justice. |
| 16 August | Beginning of electoral campaigns on an equal basis, with any advertising or demonstration explicitly requesting for votes before the date being considered irregular and subject to fines. |
| 30 August –3 October | Broadcasting of free electoral propaganda on radio and television. |
| 6 October | Date of mayoral elections. |
| 27 October | Date of a possible second round in cities with more than 200,000 voters in which the most voted candidate for mayor has not reached 50% of the valid votes. |
Candidates
Potential candidates
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Outgoing Municipal Chamber
The result of the last municipal election and the current situation in the Municipal Chamber is given below:
| Affiliation | Members | +/– | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elected [14] | Current [15] [b] | |||
| PSD | 3 | 13 |  10
| |
| PSOL | 7 | 6 |  1
| |
| MDB | 1 | 5 | 4
| |
| PT | 3 | 4 | 1
| |
| Republicanos | 7 | 4 | 3
| |
| UNIÃO | didn't exist | 3 | 3
| |
| PP | 2 | 3 | 1
| |
| PL | 2 | 3 | 1
| |
| PDT | 1 | 2 | 1
| |
| PRD | didn't exist | 1 | 1
| |
| PSDB | 0 | 1 | 1
| |
| PV | 0 | 1 | 1
| |
| NOVO | 1 | 1 | 
| |
| Solidarity | 1 | 1 |
| |
| Agir | 1 | 1 [c] |
| |
| DC | 1 | 1 |
| |
| MOBILIZA | 1 | 1 [d] |
| |
| PODE | 1 | 0 | 1
| |
| PROS | 1 | extinct party [e] | 1
| |
| Patriota | 1 | extinct party [f] | 1
| |
| PSL | 1 | extinct party [g] | 1
| |
| Cidadania | 2 | 0 | 2
| |
| PTB | 2 | extinct party [h] | 2
| |
| PSC | 2 | extinct party [i] | 2
| |
| Avante | 3 | 0 | 3
| |
| DEM | 7 | extinct party [j] | 7
| |
| Total | 51 | |||
Opinion polls
First round
2024
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s)
conducted |
Sample
size |
Paes PSD |
Ramagem PL |
Motta PSOL |
Rocha PDT |
Otoni MDB |
Amorim UNIÃO |
Duarte NOVO |
Garcia PSTU |
Queiroz PP |
Balbi PCdoB |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlas Intel | 18–23 April | 1,239 | 42.6% | 31.2% | 12.7% | — | 2.3% | — | 3.8% | — | 0.5% | 1.3% | — | 5.5% | 11.4% |
| Prefab Future | 1–2 April | 1,005 | 38.2% | 3.9% | 7.9% | — | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 3% | — | — | 39.8% | 30.3% |
| Real Time Big Data | 22–23 March | 1,000 | 40% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 0% | — | 15% | 27% |
2023
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s)
conducted |
Sample
size |
Paes PSD |
Ramagem PL |
Motta PSOL |
Rocha PDT |
Otoni MDB |
Amorim PRD |
Freixo PT |
Molon PSB |
Queiroz PP |
Duarte NOVO |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlas Intel [23] | 25–30 December | 800 | 36.2% | 19.1% | 17.8% | — | 6.9% | — | — | — | — | 2.5% | — | 17.4% | 17.1% |
| Paraná Pesquisas [24] | 17–20 November | 810 | 44.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | — | 2.7% | — | 5.4% | 0.9% | — | — | 21.6% | 34.8% |
| 43.1% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | — | 5.2% | 0.9% | — | — | 20.6% | 33.7% | |||
| 1 November | Former president of Brazil Jair Bolsonaro (PL) nominates Alexandre Ramagem (PL) as a potential candidate for mayor in the 2024 elections. [25] | ||||||||||||||
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s)
conducted |
Sample
size |
Paes PSD |
Portinho PL |
Motta PSOL |
Rocha PDT |
Otoni MDB |
Amorim PTB |
Freixo PT |
Luizinho PP |
Pampolha UNIÃO |
Duarte NOVO |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
| Prefab Future | 18–20 August | 1,000 | 34.8% | 1.1% | 10.1% | — | 6.1% | — | — | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | — | 44.8% | 24.7% |
| 32.2% | 0.8% | 8.9% | — | 5.2% | 2.4% | — | — | — | 2.2% | 1.3% [k] | 47% | 23.3% | |||
| Gerp | 9–14 August | 600 | 31% | — | — | — | — | — | 10% | — | — | — | 10% [l] | 49% | 21% |
| 31 May | Flávio Bolsonaro withdraws his potential candidacy for mayor in the 2024 elections. [26] | ||||||||||||||
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s)
conducted |
Sample
size |
Paes PSD |
Flávio PL |
Motta PSOL |
Rocha PDT |
Crivella Republicanos |
Pazuello PL |
Renata PSOL |
Luizinho PP |
Pampolha UNIÃO |
Alencar PSOL |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
| Brasmarket | 17–19 April | 1,100 | 25.4% | 16.9% | 6.2% | — | — | — | — | 2.1% | — | — | 4.6% [m] | 44.9% | 8.5% |
| 25.4% | 16.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | — | 1.6% | — | 1.3% | — | — | 10.6% [n] | 35.3% | 8.9% | |||
| 27.6% | 18.5% | 6.5% | — | 2.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 37.3% | 9.1% | |||
| 26.7% [o] | 26.8% [p] | 4.9% [q] | 6% [r] | 4.7% [s] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 30.8% | 0.1% | |||
| Prefab Future | 27–29 March | 1,565 | 34.5% | — | 4.1% | — | — | — | — | 2.1% | 2.6% | — | 3.9% [t] | 52.8% | 30.4% |
| 31.4% | 4.5% | 4% | 3.6% | — | 1.1% | — | 2.1% | 2.2% | — | 5.6% [u] | 45.5% | 26.9% | |||
| Paraná Pesquisas [27] | 2–5 March | 1,000 | 35.5% | 22.1% | 7.1% | — | — | — | — | 3% | 2.4% | — | 8.5% [v] | 21.4% | 13.4% |
| 37.2% | 23.3% | 9.5% | — | — | — | — | 3.2% | — | — | 3% [w] | 23.8% | 13.9% | |||
| 34.4% | — | 7.6% | — | — | — | — | 2.9% | 2.7% | — | 24.9% [x] | 27.5% | 20.1% | |||
| Instituto Rio21 | 9–12 January | 1,476 | 31.3% | 27.7% | 11.84% | 5.88% | 4.06% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19.21% | 3.6% |
| 33.8% | — | — | 7.13% | 4.65% | 26.13% | 7.76% | — | — | — | — | 20.46% | 7.67% | |||
| 30.24% | — | — | 7.51% | — | — | — | 13.62% | 2.93% | 12.63% | — | 33.77% | 16.62% | |||
| 27.1% | — | — | 7.05% | — | — | — | 13.52% | — | — | 27.92% [y] | 24.44% | 12.58% | |||
| 34.14% | — | — | 8.24% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.01% [z] | 36.58% | 25.9% | |||
| 33.3% | — | — | 9.18% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18.28% [aa] | 39.21% | 24.15% | |||
Second round
Eduardo Paes and Alexandre Ramagem
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s)
conducted |
Sample
size |
Paes PSD |
Ramagem PL |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlas Intel | 18–23 April 2024 | 1,239 | 51% | 36.7% | 12.3% | 14.3% |
| Real Time Big Data | 22–23 March 2024 | 1,000 | 55% | 29% | 16% | 26% |
Eduardo Paes and Tarcísio Motta
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s)
conducted |
Sample
size |
Paes PSD |
Motta PSOL |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlas Intel | 18–23 April 2024 | 1,239 | 50.3% | 21% | 28.7% | 29.3% |
| Real Time Big Data | 22–23 March 2024 | 1,000 | 64% | 20% | 16% | 44% |
Eduardo Paes and Martha Rocha
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s)
conducted |
Sample
size |
Paes PSD |
Rocha PDT |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Time Big Data | 22–23 March 2024 | 1,000 | 58% | 27% | 15% | 31% |
Notelist
- ^ Same party as the mayoral candidate, unless mentioned in parentheses
- ^ Between March and April 2024, councilors were able to change parties during the so-called "party window" without losing their respective terms. [16]
- ^ The Christian Labor Party (PTC) changed its name to Agir (Act) in March 2022. [17]
- ^ The National Mobilization Party (PMN) changed its name to National Mobilization (MOBILIZA) in December 2023. [18]
- ^ The Republican Party of the Social Order (PROS) merged into Solidariedade in February 2023. [19]
- ^ Brazilian Labour Party (PTB) and Patriota merged into the Democratic Renewal Party (PRD) in November 2023. [20]
- ^ Democrats (DEM) and the Social Liberal Party (PSL) merged into the Brazil Union in February 2022. [21]
- ^ Brazilian Labour Party (PTB) and Patriota merged into the Democratic Renewal Party (PRD) in November 2023. [20]
- ^ The Social Christian Party (PSC) merged into Podemos in June 2023. [22]
- ^ Democrats (DEM) and the Social Liberal Party (PSL) merged into the Brazil Union in February 2022. [21]
- ^ Indio da Costa (UNIÃO)
- ^ Walter Braga Netto (PL) with 10%
- ^ Otoni de Paula ( MDB)
- ^ Bandeira de Mello (PSB) with 6.5% and Otoni de Paula (MDB) with 4.1%
- ^ If endorsed by president Lula (PT).
- ^ If endorsed by his father and former president Jair Bolsonaro (PL).
- ^ If endorsed by the federal deputy Guilherme Boulos (PSOL).
- ^ If endorsed by Ciro Gomes (PDT).
- ^ If endorsed by former president Jair Bolsonaro (PL).
- ^ Otoni de Paula ( MDB)
- ^ Bandeira de Mello ( PSB) with 2.9% and Otoni de Paula (MDB) with 2.7%
- ^ Lindbergh Farias (PT) with 5.9% and Otoni de Paula ( MDB) with 2.6%
- ^ Otoni de Paula ( MDB)
- ^ Romário (PL) with 14.3%; Lindbergh Farias (PT) with 5.4% and Otoni de Paula ( MDB) with 5.2%
- ^ Marcelo Freixo ( PT) with 14.52% and Carlos Portinho (PL) with 13.4%
- ^ Rodrigo Amorim ( PTB) with 7.41%; Clarissa Garotinho (UNIÃO) with 7.37% and Talíria Petrone (PSOL) with 6.23%
- ^ Clarissa Garotinho (UNIÃO) with 7.72%; Tainá de Paula (PT) with 5.94% and Alexandre Freitas ( PODE) with 4.62%
References
- ^ Fernandes, Danielly; Castro, Grasielle (22 January 2024). "Quem são os possíveis candidatos a prefeito do Rio de Janeiro nas eleições municipais 2024". Jota (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 28 January 2024.
- ^ Alves, Renato (18 January 2024). "Confira quem são os pré-candidatos a prefeito do Rio de Janeiro em 2024". O Tempo (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 28 January 2024.
- ^ Veloso, Natália (2023-10-06). "1º turno da eleição 2024 será em 6 de outubro; leia principais datas". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 2024-04-24.
- ^ "Rio de Janeiro/RJ: Apuração em tempo real de prefeito no 2º turno". noticias.uol.com.br (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 2024-04-26.
-
^ PODER360 (2023-11-23).
"Paes é favorito para Prefeitura do Rio de Janeiro em 2024". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 2024-04-26.
{{ cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list ( link) - ^ "Confira as principais datas do ano eleitoral de 2024". Tribunal Superior Eleitoral. 2024-01-03. Retrieved 2024-03-27.
- ^ "PP lança Marcelo Queiroz à prefeitura do Rio, mas segue cobiçado por Paes e PL". O Globo (in Brazilian Portuguese). 2024-03-01. Retrieved 2024-04-26.
- ^ Souza, Renata. "MDB confirma deputado Otoni de Paula como pré-candidato à prefeitura do Rio de Janeiro". CNN Brasil. Retrieved 2024-04-26.
- ^ a b c "Quem são os pré-candidatos a prefeito do Rio de Janeiro nas eleições municipais 2024". JOTA Info (in Brazilian Portuguese). 2024-04-26. Retrieved 2024-04-26.
- ^ "PL lança Alexandre Ramagem pré-candidato à Prefeitura do Rio". G1 (in Brazilian Portuguese). 2024-03-16. Retrieved 2024-04-26.
- ^ "Partido Novo confirma Pedro Duarte pré-candidato à Prefeitura do Rio". G1 (in Brazilian Portuguese). 2024-03-16. Retrieved 2024-04-26.
- ^ "PCdoB lança pré-candidata à prefeitura do Rio e busca ampliar nomes da esquerda na disputa municipal". O Globo (in Brazilian Portuguese). 2023-10-21. Retrieved 2024-04-26.
- ^ Estado, Agência (2024-04-26). "Rodrigo Amorim é lançado pré-candidato no Rio, e irmão do deputado declara apoio a Ramagem". Política (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 2024-04-26.
- ^ "Resultados da apuração para prefeito e vereadores do 1° turno - Rio de Janeiro - RJ | Eleições 2020 | Folha". Folha de S.Paulo (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 2024-04-24.
- ^ "Quem são | Vereadores". Câmara Municipal do Rio de Janeiro. Archived from the original on 2024-04-24. Retrieved 2024-04-24.
- ^ "Partido do prefeito Eduardo Paes, PSD cresce na janela partidária e domina a Câmara do Rio". O Globo (in Brazilian Portuguese). 2024-04-04. Archived from the original on 2024-04-24. Retrieved 2024-04-24.
- ^ "TSE aprova alteração e Partido Trabalhista Cristão passa a se chamar Agir". Justiça Eleitoral (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 2024-04-24.
- ^ "Plenário decide que PMN só pode manter uma entidade de direito privado destinada à pesquisa". Justiça Eleitoral (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 2024-04-24.
- ^ "TSE aprova fusão entre PROS e Solidariedade [14/02/2023]". noticias.uol.com.br (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 2024-01-05.
- ^ a b Estado, Agência (2024-01-04). "Fusão entre Patriota e PTB gera 3º maior partido do País com 1,02 mi de filiados". Política (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 2024-01-05.
- ^ a b "TSE aprova registro e estatuto do União Brasil, partido resultante da fusão entre DEM e PSL". G1 (in Brazilian Portuguese). 2022-02-08. Retrieved 2024-01-05.
- ^ "PSC é incorporado ao Podemos; decisão permite desbloqueio de fundo partidário". R7.com (in Brazilian Portuguese). 2023-06-17. Retrieved 2024-01-05.
- ^ "Atlas-Intel-SP-RJ-BH-Salvador-Fortaleza-25-30dez2023-3" (PDF). p. 29.
- ^ "parana-pesquisa-rio-de-janeiro" (PDF). Paraná Pesquisas. Retrieved 2024-04-26.
- ^ República. "Escolha de Ramagem para prefeitura do Rio gera impasse no PL". Gazeta do Povo (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 2024-04-27.
- ^ Uribe, Gustavo (2023-05-31). "PL delega a Bolsonaro escolha de candidato do Rio em 2024". CNN Brasil. Retrieved 2024-04-26.
- ^ "parana-pesquisas-rj-mar.2023" (PDF). Paraná Pesquisas. Retrieved 2024-04-26.
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