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Turnout | 81.33%6.89 [1] | |||||||||||||||||||
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Gianforte: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Cooney: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% No data | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Montana |
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The 2020 Montana gubernatorial election was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the next governor of Montana, concurrently with the U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the U.S. Senate and the House of Representatives and various state and local elections. It resulted in voters selecting Greg Gianforte over Mike Cooney. Incumbent Democratic governor Steve Bullock was term-limited and could not seek a third consecutive term in office, and he ran unsuccessfully for Montana's Class II Senate seat. [2] [3]
Bullock's lieutenant governor, Mike Cooney, was the Democratic nominee, while the Republican nominee was Montana's at-large congressman Greg Gianforte, who won the election, making him the first Republican governor of Montana since Judy Martz left office in 2005. [4] This was the only gubernatorial seat to change partisan control in the 2020 elections. This election marked the first time since the 1920s that Republicans controlled all state constitutional offices and a majority of the Legislature. [5]
Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size [a] |
Margin of error |
Mike Cooney |
Reilly Neill |
Casey Schreiner |
Whitney Williams |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Montana State University Billings Archived 2019-10-25 at the Wayback Machine | October 7–16, 2019 | 40 (LV) | – | 19% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 62% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mike Cooney | 81,527 | 54.86% | |
Democratic | Whitney Williams | 67,066 | 45.14% | |
Total votes | 148,593 | 100.00% |
Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size [a] |
Margin of error |
Tim Fox |
Greg Gianforte |
Albert Olszewski |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Montana State University Billings Archived 2019-10-25 at the Wayback Machine | October 7–16, 2019 | 99 (LV) | – | 25% | 33% | 9% | 32% |
Gravis Marketing | August 28–30, 2019 | 433 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 29% | 56% | 15% | – |
Moore Information [A] | July 7–10, 2019 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 17% | 56% | 5% | 23% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Greg Gianforte | 119,247 | 53.44% | |
Republican | Tim Fox | 60,823 | 27.26% | |
Republican | Albert Olszewski | 43,080 | 19.30% | |
Total votes | 223,150 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Green | Robert Barb | 713 | 100.0% | |
Total votes | 713 | 100.0% |
Host | Date & Time | Link(s) | Participants | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Mike Cooney (D) | Greg Gianforte (R) | |||
Montana PBS | October 6, 2020 6:00pm MDT |
[48] | Present | Present |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [49] | Tossup | October 23, 2020 |
Inside Elections [50] | Tossup | October 28, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [51] | Lean R (flip) | November 2, 2020 |
Politico [52] | Lean R (flip) | November 2, 2020 |
Daily Kos [53] | Lean R (flip) | October 28, 2020 |
RCP [54] | Tossup | November 2, 2020 |
270towin [55] | Tossup | November 2, 2020 |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on
Phabricator and on
MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size [a] |
Margin of error |
Mike Cooney (D) |
Greg Gianforte (R) |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research | October 29 – November 2, 2020 | 920 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 48% | 6% [b] |
Montana State University Billings | October 19–24, 2020 | 546 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 45% | 11% [c] |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | October 18–20, 2020 | 758 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 48% | 8% [d] |
Strategies 360/NBCMT | October 15–20, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 48% | 11% [e] |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ Archived 2020-10-26 at the Wayback Machine | October 15–18, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% [f] | 48% | 5% [g] |
47% [h] | 46% | 5% [i] | ||||
43% [j] | 50% | 5% [k] | ||||
Emerson College | October 4–7, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 41% | 54% | 5% [l] |
Montana State University Bozeman Archived 2020-10-15 at the Wayback Machine | September 14 – October 2, 2020 | 1,605 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 42% | 47% | 11% [m] |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | September 14–16, 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 39% | 45% | 16% [n] |
Global Strategy Group (D) Archived 2020-09-04 at the Wayback Machine | August 18–23, 2020 | 600 (LV) | – | 46% | 47% | – |
Emerson College | July 31 – August 2, 2020 | 584 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 50% | 10% [o] |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | July 11–13, 2020 | 873 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 44% | 47% | 9% [p] |
Public Policy Polling [B] | July 9–10, 2020 | 1,224 (V) | ± 2.8% | 42% | 46% | 12% [q] |
University of Montana | June 17–26, 2020 | 517 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 36% | 46% | 18% [r] |
The Progress Campaign (D) | April 14–21, 2020 | 1,712 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 41% | 43% | 16% [s] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size [a] |
Margin of error |
Democratic Candidates |
Republican Candidates |
Ron Vandevender (L) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Montana | February 12–22, 2020 | 498 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 35.1% [t] | 61.7% [u] | 1.3% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size [a] |
Margin of error |
Democratic Candidates |
Republican Candidates |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Montana | September 26 – October 3, 2019 | 303 (RV) | ± 5.6% | 40% [v] | 60.1% [w] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size [a] |
Margin of error |
Democratic Candidates |
Republican Candidates |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Montana | February 21 – March 1, 2019 | 293 (RV) | ± 5.7% | 32.4% [x] | 48.4% [y] | 19.2% [z] |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | 328,548 | 54.43% | +8.08% | ||
Democratic | 250,860 | 41.56% | -8.69% | ||
Libertarian |
|
24,179 | 4.01% | +0.61% | |
Total votes | 603,587 | 100.00% | |||
Turnout | 612,075 | 81.33% | |||
Registered electors | 752,538 | ||||
Republican gain from Democratic |
County | Greg Gianforte
Kristen Juras Republican |
Mike Cooney
Casey Schreiner Democratic |
Lyman Bishop
John Nesper Libertarian |
Margin | Total
votes | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | ||
Beaverhead | 66.81% | 3,779 | 29.49% | 1,668 | 3.70% | 209 | 39.32% | 2,111 | 5,656 |
Big Horn | 43.35% | 2,078 | 52.42% | 2,513 | 4.23% | 203 | -9.07% | -445 | 4,794 |
Blaine | 43.79% | 1,365 | 51.94% | 1,619 | 4.27% | 133 | -8.15% | -254 | 3,117 |
Broadwater | 73.97% | 3,032 | 22.64% | 928 | 3.39% | 139 | 51.33% | 2,104 | 4,099 |
Carbon | 60.81% | 4,303 | 35.30% | 2,498 | 3.89% | 275 | 25.51% | 1,805 | 7,076 |
Carter | 87.28% | 748 | 10.62% | 91 | 2.10% | 18 | 76.66% | 657 | 857 |
Cascade | 55.79% | 22,221 | 39.97% | 15,922 | 4.24% | 1,689 | 15.82% | 6,299 | 39,832 |
Chouteau | 61.10% | 1,816 | 35.26% | 1,048 | 3.63% | 108 | 25.84% | 768 | 2,972 |
Custer | 67.66% | 3,971 | 27.59% | 1,619 | 4.75% | 279 | 40.07% | 2,352 | 5,869 |
Daniels | 76.11% | 768 | 21.51% | 217 | 2.38% | 24 | 54.60% | 551 | 1,009 |
Dawson | 73.02% | 3,524 | 23.29% | 1,124 | 3.69% | 178 | 49.73% | 2,400 | 4,826 |
Deer Lodge | 38.60% | 1,881 | 56.37% | 2,747 | 5.03% | 245 | -17.77% | -866 | 4,873 |
Fallon | 82.83% | 1,288 | 14.02% | 218 | 3.15% | 49 | 68.81% | 1,070 | 1,555 |
Fergus | 72.89% | 4,737 | 24.11% | 1,567 | 3.00% | 195 | 48.78% | 3,170 | 6,499 |
Flathead | 62.20% | 37,213 | 34.08% | 20,387 | 3.72% | 2,225 | 28.12% | 16,826 | 59,825 |
Gallatin | 44.21% | 31,368 | 51.85% | 36,788 | 3.94% | 2,800 | 7.64% | 5,420 | 70,956 |
Garfield | 92.37% | 751 | 5.91% | 48 | 1.72% | 14 | 86.46% | 703 | 813 |
Glacier | 30.07% | 1,709 | 65.62% | 3,730 | 4.31% | 245 | -35.55% | -2,021 | 5,684 |
Golden Valley | 81.31% | 409 | 15.91% | 80 | 2.78% | 14 | 65.40% | 329 | 503 |
Granite | 64.37% | 1,348 | 31.47% | 659 | 4.16% | 87 | 32.90% | 689 | 2,094 |
Hill | 50.72% | 3,642 | 43.81% | 3,146 | 5.47% | 393 | 6.91% | 496 | 7,181 |
Jefferson | 62.39% | 5,097 | 34.17% | 2,791 | 3.44% | 281 | 28.22% | 2,306 | 8,169 |
Judith Basin | 75.56% | 1,017 | 20.88% | 281 | 3.56% | 48 | 54.68% | 746 | 1,346 |
Lake | 53.73% | 8,913 | 41.50% | 6,885 | 4.77% | 791 | 12.23% | 2,028 | 16,589 |
Lewis and Clark | 47.05% | 19,969 | 49.54% | 21,022 | 3.41% | 1,448 | -2.49% | -1,053 | 42,439 |
Liberty | 72.76% | 788 | 24.75% | 268 | 2.49% | 27 | 48.01% | 520 | 1,083 |
Lincoln | 70.74% | 8,279 | 25.64% | 3,001 | 3.62% | 424 | 45.10% | 5,278 | 11,704 |
Madison | 65.57% | 3,992 | 30.83% | 1,877 | 3.60% | 219 | 34.74% | 2,115 | 6,088 |
McCone | 82.45% | 921 | 14.77% | 165 | 2.78% | 31 | 67.68% | 756 | 1,117 |
Meagher | 74.01% | 823 | 23.02% | 256 | 2.97% | 33 | 50.99% | 567 | 1,112 |
Mineral | 67.20% | 1,715 | 27.67% | 706 | 5.13% | 131 | 39.53% | 1,009 | 2,552 |
Missoula | 35.55% | 25,448 | 60.67% | 43,426 | 3.78% | 2,706 | -25.12% | -17,978 | 71,580 |
Musselshell | 80.77% | 2,318 | 15.68% | 450 | 3.55% | 102 | 65.09% | 1,868 | 2,870 |
Park | 50.07% | 5,798 | 46.32% | 5,364 | 3.61% | 418 | 3.75% | 434 | 11,580 |
Petroleum | 85.43% | 299 | 12.57% | 44 | 2.00% | 7 | 72.86% | 255 | 350 |
Phillips | 80.40% | 1,908 | 17.36% | 412 | 2.24% | 53 | 63.04% | 1,496 | 2,373 |
Pondera | 66.10% | 1,981 | 30.43% | 912 | 3.47% | 104 | 35.67% | 1,069 | 2,997 |
Powder River | 83.53% | 943 | 14.35% | 162 | 2.12% | 24 | 69.18% | 781 | 1,129 |
Powell | 69.41% | 2,212 | 26.64% | 849 | 3.95% | 126 | 42.77% | 1,363 | 3,187 |
Prairie | 74.52% | 544 | 21.92% | 160 | 3.56% | 26 | 52.60% | 384 | 730 |
Ravalli | 65.11% | 18,557 | 31.17% | 8,883 | 3.72% | 1,063 | 33.94% | 9,674 | 28,503 |
Richland | 78.31% | 4,506 | 17.67% | 1,017 | 4.02% | 231 | 60.64% | 3,489 | 5,754 |
Roosevelt | 46.39% | 1,859 | 48.94% | 1,961 | 4.67% | 187 | -2.55% | -102 | 4,007 |
Rosebud | 63.06% | 2,363 | 32.99% | 1,236 | 3.95% | 148 | 30.07% | 1,127 | 3,747 |
Sanders | 70.47% | 5,346 | 24.65% | 1,870 | 4.88% | 370 | 45.82% | 3,476 | 7,586 |
Sheridan | 64.48% | 1,300 | 31.45% | 634 | 4.07% | 82 | 33.03% | 666 | 2,016 |
Silver Bow | 34.57% | 6,490 | 61.23% | 11,495 | 4.20% | 788 | -26.66% | -5,005 | 18,773 |
Stillwater | 74.96% | 4,292 | 22.06% | 1,263 | 2.98% | 171 | 52.90% | 3,029 | 5,726 |
Sweet Grass | 73.57% | 1,801 | 22.59% | 553 | 3.84% | 94 | 50.98% | 1,248 | 2,448 |
Teton | 67.76% | 2,497 | 28.58% | 1,053 | 3.66% | 135 | 39.18% | 1,444 | 3,685 |
Toole | 73.10% | 1,546 | 22.13% | 468 | 4.78% | 101 | 50.97% | 1,078 | 2,115 |
Treasure | 77.82% | 358 | 19.35% | 89 | 2.83% | 13 | 58.47% | 269 | 460 |
Valley | 68.24% | 2,899 | 27.83% | 1,182 | 3.93% | 167 | 40.41% | 1,717 | 4,248 |
Wheatland | 72.36% | 767 | 23.68% | 251 | 3.96% | 42 | 48.68% | 516 | 1,060 |
Wibaux | 79.49% | 465 | 17.95% | 105 | 2.56% | 15 | 61.54% | 360 | 585 |
Yellowstone | 57.03% | 48,586 | 36.57% | 31,152 | 6.40% | 5453 | 20.46% | 17,434 | 85,191 |
Total | 54.43% | 328,548 | 41.56% | 250,860 | 4.01% | 24,179 | 12.87% | 77,688 | 603,587 |