This is a pool for predicting the date at which the number of articles (as defined by the official article count presented on the
Special:Statistics) in the
EnglishWikipedia reaches 5,000,000 (five million). The person who comes closest to the actual date is the winner (of eternal fame). The current number of articles in the English Wikipedia is 6,837,099.
This pool closed for entries when the English Wikipedia article count reached 4,000,000 (in July 2012). Perhaps try the
WP:Ten-million pool or a higher pool.
Current level: 136.74% of 5M goal (live).
This second Five-million pool opened on 26 September 2009.
December 22 at 00:00:01. (The "Save page" button will be clicked at 23:58:31, but due to a server lag, the page will not officially save until December 22 at 00:00:01, right after the world blows up. ---
cymru lass(hit me up)⁄(background check) 04:58, 3 September 2010 (UTC)reply
January 15 - Wikipedia Day. (Much later than my prediction on the first pool, seeing how growth has slowed since then.)
Robofish (
talk) 17:16, 29 December 2010 (UTC)reply
February 3- Based on calculations. These factor in growth rate, existing articles, and number of editors.
66.189.166.13 (
talk) 21:44, 14 March 2011 (UTC)reply
March 14 - A guess, Einstein's birthday.
Jdrewitt (
talk) 12:11, 20 April 2011 (UTC)reply
June 15 - Because the growth rate of the articles is slowing down, I'd say it will hit at about 2015. June 15 is in the middle of the year, so that's why I chose it.
Agent 78787 (
talk) 00:24, 26 January 2012 (UTC)reply
June 18 - I have my methods but they must remain secret.
Lumos3 (
talk) 16:48, 26 June 2012 (UTC)reply
August 25 - Average of the dates of the last 10 guesses Not really Total Guess You'll never know my secret.
Buddy431 (
talk) 04:38, 7 July 2012 (UTC)reply
September 18 - Visual extrapolation based on the Wikipedia page growth rate, without any mathematical calculations. --TheAustinMan(
Talk|
Works) 23:52, 6 July 2012 (UTC)reply
October 8 - My birthday.. :P Kenrick Talk 13:30, 16 October 2010 (UTC)reply
Sunday, October 18, 2015 at 5:41:25 AM, if there are 840 apd (articles per day).
M'encarta (
talk) 01:53, 19 February 2012 (UTC)reply
Around June 15. (The milestone will most likely to hit around on this date) (Based on the statistics recorded at
WP:Milestones and
Meta's Wikimedia News; also factoring in recent page-counter trends and [possible] exhaustion of major topics.) Just in time too; only hours remain before the new high mark. --
Slgrandson (
How's myegg-throwing coleslaw?) 19:03, 11 July 2012 (UTC)reply
August 17 - The obvious choice, as the industrious children will have created articles in anticipation for the coming school year. The article will be about the rise and fall of dubstep music, mere years within its creation.
Garrett.e97 (
talk) 17:44, 9 July 2012 (UTC)reply
Sept 17 - 50 months after we are due to hit 4 million. A paralympic medal winner. This allows for growth dropping from 25k a month to an average 20k/month for this million. ϢereSpielChequers 23:02, 19 April 2012 (UTC)reply
October 4, 2:01:03 AM UTC+0 by
User:boomerangdriver33. The article will be about a current event about some geologic event. It will be 647 bytes when created, include no pictures, and will be written in British English.
Brightgalrs (/braɪtˈɡæl.ərˌɛs/)
[1] 09:59, 1 July 2012 (UTC)reply
2018 June 1st –
b_jonas 11:02, 18 March 2011 (UTC)reply
2019
July 2nd, 1:11:319 AM UTC+0 --
Pubby8 (
talk) 23:47, 20 August 2011 (UTC)reply
2020
February 20, 8:20 p.m.
Lesgles (
talk) 15:56, 31 July 2011 (UTC)reply
2021
January 22, 14:30 UTC according to the projections, it'll top out around 4.4 million soon, and I'm the other 0.6 will take about 8 years. It will be about a new band.
Bar Code Symmetry(Talk) 00:11, 27 October 2011 (UTC)reply
2010BC
0 The Month Before January, Which May Have Been December 2011BC, Kayau VotingISevil 13:23, 17 March 2010 (UTC)reply
Never
We'll never make it before 2012... ☻☻☻
Sithman VIII !!☻☻☻ 23:00, 27 September 2010 (UTC)reply