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2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii

←  2012 November 4, 2014 2016 →

All 2 Hawaii seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election 2 0
Seats won 2 0
Seat change Steady Steady
Popular vote 235,400 120,084
Percentage 65.36% 33.34%
Swing Decrease2.09% Increase0.79%

Democratic
  50–60%
  80–90%

The 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii were held on Tuesday, November 4, 2014 to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of Hawaii, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including an election for Governor of Hawaii and a special election to the United States Senate.

Overview

United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii, 2014 [1]
Party Votes Percentage Seats before Seats after +/–
Democratic 235,400 65.36% 2 2 ±0
Republican 120,084 33.34% 0 0 ±0
Libertarian 4,693 1.30% 0 0 -
Totals 360,177 100.00% 2 2 ±0

By district

Results of the 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii by district: [2]

District Democratic Republican Others Total Result
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
District 1 93,390 51.91% 86,454 48.06% 58 0.03% 179,902 100.0% Democratic hold
District 2 142,010 78.71% 33,630 18.64% 4,775 2.65% 180,415 100.0% Democratic hold
Total 235,400 65.33% 120,084 33.33% 4,833 1.34% 360,317 100.0%

District 1

United States House of Representatives District 1

←  2012 November 4, 2014 2016 →
 
Nominee Mark Takai Charles Djou
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 93,390 86,454
Percentage 51.9% 48.1%

U.S. Representative before election

Colleen Hanabusa
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Mark Takai
Democratic

The 1st district is located entirely on the island of Oahu, encompassing the urban areas of the City and County of Honolulu, a consolidated city-county that includes Oahu's central plains and southern shores, including the towns of Aiea, Mililani, Pearl City, Waipahu and Waimalu. It is the only majority-Asian district in the United States. The incumbent was Democrat Colleen Hanabusa, who had represented the district since 2011. She was re-elected with 54% of the vote in 2012 and the district has a PVI of D+18.

On December 17, 2012, after the death of U.S. Senator Daniel Inouye, it was announced that he had sent a letter shortly before his death to the Governor of Hawaii, Neil Abercrombie, stating his desire that Hanabusa be appointed to his seat. Abercrombie decided against appointing Hanabusa and chose Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii Brian Schatz instead. [3] [4] [5] Hanabusa declined to run for re-election, instead challenging Schatz in the Democratic primary for the special Senate election. [6] [7] She was defeated by Schatz, 48.5% to 47.8%. [8]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Endorsements

Ikaika Anderson
Stanley Chang
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
Organizations
Donna Mercado Kim
Kathryn Xian
Individuals

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ikaika
Anderson
Stanley
Chang
Will
Espero
Donna
Mercado Kim
Joey
Manahan
Mark
Takai
Kathryn
Xian
Undecided
Ward Research July 21–29, 2014 306 ± 5.6% 9% 12% 5% 28% 5% 28% 2% 13%
Civil Beat July 24–28, 2014 482 ± 4.5% 7% 15% 5% 23% 6% 30% 14%
Civil Beat May 18–19, 2014 259 ± 6.1% 7% 9% 6% 30% 1% 24% 23%
Civil Beat February 12–15, 2014 323 ± 5.4% 5% 7% 8% 25% 20% 36%
Ward Research Jan. 29–Feb. 3, 2014 272 ± 5.9% 10% 10% 6% 31% 21% 2% 21%

Results

Democratic primary results [32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mark Takai 52,736 44.5
Democratic Donna Mercado Kim 33,678 28.4
Democratic Stanley Chang 12,135 10.2
Democratic Ikaika Anderson 7,937 6.7
Democratic Will Espero 4,555 3.8
Democratic Joey Manahan 4,495 3.8
Democratic Kathryn Xian 3,039 2.6
Total votes 118,575 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Results

Republican primary results [32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Charles Djou 20,802 96.4
Republican Allan Levene 777 3.6
Total votes 21,579 100.0

No party primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Calvin G. Griffin
  • Robert H. Meyer

Results

Independent primary results [32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Independent Robert H. Meyer 99 25.78
Independent Calvin G. Griffin 94 24.48
Independent Blank votes 191 49.74
Total votes 384 100

Neither of the candidates polled enough votes to meet Hawaii's strict criteria for independents to participate in the general election. [36]

General election

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Takai (D)
Charles
Djou (R)
Undecided
New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker October 16–23, 2014 558 ± 8.0% 50% 35% 15%
Civil Beat October 16–19, 2014 604 ± 4% 45% 45% 9%
Ward Research October 11–18, 2014 354 ± 5.2% 47% 47% 7%
Global Strategy Group (D-DCCC) October 20–21, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 49% 42% 9%
Civil Beat September 11–14, 2014 551 ± 4.2% 42% 46% 12%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report [37] Lean D November 3, 2014
Rothenberg [38] Lean D October 24, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball [39] Lean D October 30, 2014
RCP Tossup November 2, 2014
Daily Kos Elections [40] Lean D November 4, 2014

Results

Hawaii's 1st congressional district, 2014 [41]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mark Takai 93,390 51.9
Republican Charles Djou 86,454 48.1
Total votes 179,844 100.0
Democratic hold

District 2

United States House of Representatives District 2

←  2012 November 4, 2014 2016 →
 
Nominee Tulsi Gabbard Kawika Crowley
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 142,010 33,630
Percentage 80.8% 19.1%

U.S. Representative before election

Tulsi Gabbard
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Tulsi Gabbard
Democratic

The 2nd district encompasses the rest of the island of Oahu, including the Windward, North Shore, Central and Leeward regions, as well as the entire state outside of Oahu. This includes the areas located in the counties of Kauai (which includes the islands of Kauaʻi, Niʻihau, Lehua and Kaʻula), Maui (which consists of the islands of Maui, Kahoolawe, Lānai, Molokai except for a portion of Molokai that comprises Kalawao County and Molokini) and Hawaii County coextensive with the Island of Hawaii, often called "the Big Island". The incumbent was Democrat Tulsi Gabbard, who had represented the district since 2013. She was elected with 77% of the vote in 2012 and the district has a PVI of D+21.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Democratic primary results [32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tulsi Gabbard (incumbent) 92,032 100.0
Total votes 92,032 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Marissa D. Capelouto

Results

Republican primary results [32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kawika Crowley 9,094 56.8
Republican Marissa D. Capelouto 6,926 43.2
Total votes 16,020 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Joe Kent

Results

Libertarian primary results [32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Joe Kent 373 100.0
Total votes 373 100.0

General election

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Tulsi
Gabbard (D)
Kawika
Crowley (R)
Undecided
New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker October 16–23, 2014 444 ± 9.0% 72% 14% 15%
Civil Beat October 16–19, 2014 517 ± 4.3% 69% 19% 12%
Civil Beat September 11–14, 2014 504 ± 4.4% 70% 17% 13%

Results

Hawaii's 2nd congressional district, 2014 [41]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tulsi Gabbard (incumbent) 142,010 78.7
Republican Kawika Crowley 33,630 18.7
Libertarian Joe Kent 4,693 2.6
Total votes 180,333 100.0
Democratic hold

See also

References

  1. ^ "Results".
  2. ^ Haas, Karen L. (March 9, 2015). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2014". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Retrieved October 28, 2019.
  3. ^ "Colleen Hanabusa favorite for Daniel Inouye seat - Alex Isenstadt". Politico.Com. Retrieved March 22, 2013.
  4. ^ "CNN: Inouye gave preference for successor before he died". CNN.com. Retrieved December 18, 2012.
  5. ^ "Brian Schatz chosen to replace Daniel Inouye - Katie Glueck". Politico.Com. Retrieved March 22, 2013.
  6. ^ "Hawaii: Hanabusa to Announce Plans in Next Several Weeks | At the Races". Atr.rollcall.com. Retrieved March 22, 2013.
  7. ^ Exploratory March 13th, 2013By Derrick DePledge Share (March 13, 2013). "Political Radar | Exploratory | Political Radar | staradvertiser.com | Honolulu, Hawaii". Politicalradar.staradvertiserblogs.com. Retrieved March 22, 2013.{{ cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list ( link)
  8. ^ "Hanabusa Won't Challenge US Senate Election Results". Honolulu Civil Beat. Peer News. August 19, 2014. Retrieved August 21, 2014.
  9. ^ a b "Takai, Anderson entering the race for Hanabusa's seat in Congress". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. August 7, 2013. Archived from the original on August 25, 2013. Retrieved October 10, 2013.
  10. ^ Pereira, Andrew (April 24, 2013). "Councilman Stanley Chang sets sights on Congress". KITV. Retrieved October 10, 2013.
  11. ^ Gutierrez, Ben (July 21, 2013). "Espero enters race to replace Hanabusa in Congress". Hawaii News Now. Retrieved October 10, 2013.
  12. ^ a b "Senate President Announces Run for Congress - and Wins Key Union Endorsement". HawaiiReporter. November 6, 2013. Retrieved February 17, 2014.
  13. ^ "Honolulu Councilman Manahan Running for U.S. Congress". Honolulu Civil Beat. February 14, 2014. Archived from the original on February 22, 2014. Retrieved February 17, 2014.
  14. ^ "New Hawaii candidate enters the race for Congress". HawaiiReporter. September 24, 2013. Retrieved October 10, 2013.
  15. ^ "Case To Join Outrigger, Says Political Career Likely Over". Honolulu Civil Beat. July 12, 2013. Archived from the original on August 20, 2013. Retrieved July 16, 2013.
  16. ^ a b Blair, Chad (September 30, 2013). "'Wild West Shootout' for Hawaii's 1st Congressional District Seat". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved October 10, 2013.
  17. ^ a b "Ikaika Anderson Gets Support From Two Hawaii State Senators". Ikaika Anderson for Congress. December 4, 2013. Archived from the original on February 14, 2014. Retrieved February 17, 2014.
  18. ^ a b c d "Press Release: Anderson Gets Endorsed By Four Major Unions". Ikaika Anderson for Congress. February 4, 2014. Archived from the original on February 14, 2014. Retrieved February 17, 2014.
  19. ^ a b c "Congressional Progressive Caucus Endorses Stanley Chang for Congress". May 30, 2014. Archived from the original on July 11, 2014. Retrieved July 10, 2014.
  20. ^ "Stanley Chang |". Stanleychangforcongress.com. Archived from the original on August 8, 2014. Retrieved August 10, 2014.
  21. ^ "Steven H. Levinson Endorses Stanley Chang for Congress |". Stanleychangforcongress.com. March 28, 2014. Archived from the original on August 8, 2014. Retrieved August 10, 2014.
  22. ^ "EMILY'S LIST ENDORSES DONNA MERCADO KIM FOR CONGRESS IN HAWAII'S 1ST CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT". EMILY's List. July 11, 2014. Retrieved September 4, 2014.
  23. ^ "Duckworth Backs Fellow Veteran, Rep. Takai, in His Bid for Congress". HawaiiReporter. November 25, 2013. Retrieved February 17, 2014.
  24. ^ Sami Takai (August 3, 2014). "Congressmen Mike Honda and Mark Takano endorse Mark Takai for Congress". Mark Takai. Retrieved August 10, 2014.
  25. ^ "Postal Workers Endorse Mark Takai for Congress Endorsement Indicates Positive Momentum at Year's End". Mark Takai for Congress. December 20, 2013. Retrieved February 17, 2014.
  26. ^ "HSTA and NEA Give Takai Huge End-of-Year Boost with Endorsement". HawaiiReporter. December 26, 2013. Retrieved February 17, 2014.
  27. ^ "Mark Takai Scores First Key Union Endorsements In Hawaii Race For Congress". HawaiiReporter. November 6, 2013. Retrieved February 17, 2014.
  28. ^ a b "Endorsements". Mark Takai for Congress. Archived from the original on February 7, 2014. Retrieved February 17, 2014.
  29. ^ "Sierra Club Endorses Mark Takai for Congress". Mark Takai. August 3, 2014. Retrieved August 10, 2014.
  30. ^ "VoteVets Endorses Mark Takai for Congress". HawaiiReporter. December 6, 2013. Retrieved February 17, 2014.
  31. ^ "Gloria Steinem Weighs in on Hawaii's Congressional Race". HawaiiReporter. January 13, 2014. Retrieved February 17, 2014.
  32. ^ a b c d e f "Primary Election 2014 -State of Hawaii – Statewide" (PDF). Hawaii Office of Elections. Retrieved October 24, 2014.
  33. ^ Ian Scheuring (March 21, 2014). "State GOP chair confirms Djou congressional run". Hawaii News Now.
  34. ^ Galloway, Jim (November 6, 2013). "Running for Congress, in Georgia and three other states – at the same time". Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved November 21, 2013.
  35. ^ Blair, Chad; Eagle, Nathan (April 25, 2013). "Handicapping The Race To Replace Hanabusa". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved October 10, 2013.
  36. ^ "No Independent Candidate Polls Enough Votes in Hawaii Primary to Advance to General Election Ballot". Ballot Access News. August 10, 2014. Retrieved October 27, 2014.
  37. ^ "2014 House Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". House: Race Ratings. Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 3, 2014.
  38. ^ "2014 House Ratings (October 24, 2014)". House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 24, 2014.
  39. ^ "2014 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. April 10, 2014. Retrieved April 11, 2014.
  40. ^ "Daily Kos Elections House race ratings: Initial ratings for 2014". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved November 4, 2014.
  41. ^ a b "Hawaii General Election 2014" (PDF). Hawaii Office of Elections. November 4, 2014. Retrieved December 18, 2014.

External links