Trajectories of distant spacecraft from launch to 2030
Top: Polar view; Bottom: Equatorial view
Several
space probes and the
upper stages of their launch vehicles are leaving the
Solar System, all of which were launched by
NASA. Three of the probes, Voyager 1, Voyager 2, and New Horizons are still functioning and are regularly contacted by radio communication, while Pioneer 10 and Pioneer 11 are now defunct. In addition to these spacecraft, some upper stages and
de-spin weights are leaving the Solar System, assuming they continue on their trajectories.
These objects are leaving the Solar System because their velocity and direction are taking them away from the Sun, and at their distance from the Sun, its gravitational pull is not sufficient to pull these objects back or into orbit. They are not impervious to the gravitational pull of the Sun and are being slowed, but are still traveling in excess of
escape velocity to leave the Solar System and coast into
interstellar space.
Planetary exploration probes
Pioneer 10 – launched in 1972, flew past
Jupiter in 1973 and is heading in the direction of
Aldebaran (65 light years away) in the constellation of
Taurus. Contact was lost in January 2003, and it is estimated to have passed 134
astronomical units (AU; one AU is roughly the average distance between Earth and the Sun: 150 million kilometers (93 million miles)).[1]
Pioneer 11 – launched in 1973, flew past Jupiter in 1974 and
Saturn in 1979. Contact was lost in November 1995, and it is estimated to be at 111 AU.[2] The spacecraft is heading toward the constellation of
Aquila, northwest of the constellation of
Sagittarius. Barring an incident, Pioneer 11 will pass near one of the stars in the constellation in about 4 million years.[3]
Voyager 2 – launched in August 1977, flew past Jupiter in 1979, Saturn in 1981,
Uranus in 1986, and
Neptune in 1989. The probe left the
heliosphere for
interstellar space at 119 AU on November 5, 2018.[4]Voyager 2 is still active. It is not heading toward any particular star, although in roughly 40,000 years it should pass 1.7 light-years from the star
Ross 248.[5] If undisturbed for
296,000 years, it should pass by the star
Sirius at a distance of 4.3 light-years.
Voyager 1 – launched in September 1977, flew past Jupiter in 1979 and Saturn in 1980, making a special close approach to Saturn's moon
Titan. The probe passed the
heliopause at 121 AU on August 25, 2012, to enter
interstellar space.[6]Voyager 1 is still active. It is heading towards an encounter with star
Gliese 445 (AC +79 3888), which lies 17.6 light-years from Earth, in about 40,000 years.[7]
New Horizons – launched in 2006, the probe flew past Jupiter in 2007 and
Pluto on July 14, 2015. It flew past the
Kuiper belt object
486958 Arrokoth on January 1, 2019, as part of the Kuiper Belt Extended Mission (KEM).[8]
Although other probes were launched first, Voyager 1 has achieved a higher speed and overtaken all others. Voyager 1 overtook Voyager 2 a few months after launch, on December 19, 1977.[9] It overtook Pioneer 11 in 1981,[10] and then Pioneer 10—becoming the probe farthest from the Sun—on February 17, 1998.[11]Voyager 2 is moving faster than all other probes launched before it; it overtook Pioneer 11 in the late 1980s and then Pioneer 10 — becoming the second-farthest spacecraft from the Sun — on July 18, 2023.[12][13]
Depending on how the "
Pioneer anomaly" affects it, New Horizons will also probably pass the Pioneer probes, but will need many years to do so. It will overtake Pioneer 11 in 2143, and will overtake Pioneer 10 in 2314, but will never overtake the Voyagers.[10]
Speed and distance from the Sun
To put the distances in the table in context,
Pluto's average distance (
semi-major axis) is about 40 AU.
Note: Data above as of December 17, 2023. Source: JPL,[14] NASA SSD Simulator,[15] and for New Horizons.[16]
Solar
escape velocity is a function of distance (r) from the Sun's center, given by
where the product GMsun is the heliocentric
gravitational parameter. The initial speed required to escape the Sun from its surface is 618 km/s (1,380,000 mph),[17] and drops down to 42.1 km/s (94,000 mph) at Earth's distance from the Sun (1
AU), and 4.21 km/s (9,400 mph) at a distance of 100 AU.[18][19]
Voyager 1 and 2 speed and distance from the Sun
Pioneer 10 and 11 speed and distance from the Sun
New Horizons speed and distance from the Sun.
In order to leave the Solar System, the probe needs to reach the local escape velocity. After leaving Earth, the Sun's escape velocity is 42.1 km/s. In order to reach this speed, it is highly advantageous to also use the orbital speed of the Earth around the Sun, which is 29.78 km/s. By later passing near a planet, a probe can gain extra speed with a
gravity assist.
Propulsion stages
Every planetary probe was placed into its escape trajectory by a
multistage rocket, the last stage of which ends up on nearly the same trajectory as the probe it launched. Because these stages cannot be actively guided, their trajectories are now different from the probes they launched (the probes were guided with small thrusters that allow course changes). However, in cases where the spacecraft acquired escape velocity because of a
gravity assist, the stages may not have a similar course and there is the extremely remote possibility that they collided with something. The stages on an escape trajectory are:
Pioneer 10 third stage, a TE364-4 variant of the
Star-37 solid fuel rocket.[20]
Voyager 1 fourth stage, a Star 37E solid fuel rocket.[21]
Voyager 2 fourth stage, a Star 37E solid fuel rocket.[21]
New Horizons third stage, a
Star 48B solid fuel rocket, is on a similar escape trajectory out of the Solar System to New Horizons, even arriving at Jupiter six hours before New Horizons. On October 15, 2015, it passed Pluto's orbit at a distance of 213 million kilometers (over 1 AU) distant from
Pluto.[22][23] This was four months after New Horizons' Pluto flyby.[24]
In addition, two small
yo-yo de-spin weights on wires were used to reduce the spin of the New Horizons probe prior to its release from the third-stage rocket. Once the spin rate was lowered, these masses and the wires were released, and so are also on an escape trajectory out of the Solar System.[25][26]
None of the above objects are trackable – they have no power or radio antennas, spin uncontrollably, and are too small to be detected. Their exact positions are unknowable beyond their projected Solar System escape trajectories.
The third stage of Pioneer 11 is thought to be in solar orbit because its encounter with Jupiter would not have resulted in escape from the Solar System.[21][better source needed]Pioneer 11 gained the required
velocity to escape the Solar System in its subsequent encounter with Saturn.[dubious –
discuss]
On January 19, 2006, the New Horizons spacecraft to Pluto was launched directly into a solar-escape trajectory at 16.26 kilometers per second (58,536 km/h; 36,373 mph) from Cape Canaveral using an
Atlas V and the
Common Core Booster,
Centaur upper stage, and
Star 48B third stage.[27]New Horizons passed the Moon's orbit in just nine hours.[28][29] The subsequent encounter with Jupiter only increased its velocity, and enabled the probe to arrive at Pluto three years earlier than without this encounter.
Thus the only objects to date to be launched directly into a solar escape trajectory were the New Horizons spacecraft, its third stage, and the two de-spin masses. The New HorizonsCentaur (second) stage is not escaping; it is in a 2.83-year heliocentric (solar) orbit.[22]
The Pioneer 10 and 11, and Voyager 1 and 2 Centaur (second) stages are also in heliocentric orbits.[26][30]
Future
Given the huge emptiness of interstellar space, all the objects listed here are likely to continue into deep space in timelines that, barring the exceptionally unlikely chance of their colliding with (or being collected by) another object, could outlast even the
Main Sequence existence of the Sun's life, billions of years hence.[31] One estimated timescale as to the likelihood of the Pioneer or Voyager spacecraft colliding with a star (or stellar remnant) is 1020 (100 quintillion) years.[32][33] They are very unlikely, however, to gain enough velocity to escape the
Milky Way galaxy[32] (or its
future merger with the Andromeda galaxy) into
intergalactic space.
Ulysses
In 1990, the
solar probe Ulysses was launched towards Jupiter in order to reach a high-inclination heliocentric orbit over the Sun's poles; the spacecraft was shut down in 2008. Ulysses is currently in a 79° inclination orbit around the Sun with its
apoapsis crossing the orbit of Jupiter. In November 2098, it will have another close fly-by with Jupiter, crossing between the orbits of
Europa and
Ganymede. After this slingshot maneuver, it will possibly enter a
hyperbolic trajectory around the Sun and eventually leave the Solar System.[34]
Ulysses is now switched off as its
RTG power supply has run down, and so is uncontactable and cannot be tracked or guided in any way since 2009. Its exact trajectory is therefore unknowable as factors such as solar
radiation pressure could significantly alter its encounter path.
Gallery
Photograph of Voyager 1 / Voyager 2
Artist's concept of Pioneer 10 / Pioneer 11
Artist's concept of Pioneer 10 near Jupiter
Artist's concept of New Horizons approaching
Pluto.