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English: Changes in global surface temperature from 1880 to 2023 (black line) relative to 1850–1900 average. Annual data from NASA here: https://climate.nasa.gov/vital-signs/global-temperature/. IPCC anomaly is 1.09 C average from 2011 to 2020 as per IPCC AR6 WG1 SPM pp5 A.1.2, so NASA data is offset to that number. Data does not go back to 1850 as datasets differ from 1850 to 1880 for NOAA, others (NASA starts in 1880, and all tend to agree from that point forward). 20-year LOWESS smooth matched to 20 year moving average as per IPCC AR6 standard for determining current warming levels. Natural influence based on CMIP6 climate model simulations of the temperature response to natural drivers only (solar and volcanic activity, green). Colored shade shows the "very likely" range of simulations. Source: IPCC AR6 WGI, Figure SPM.1b, p. SPM-7. See File:Global Temperature And Forces.svg for a version without Fahrenheit.
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Source Own work based on SPM.1b in https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/figures/summary-for-policymakers ( archive)
Author Efbrazil

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Global surface temperatures 1880 to 2023 (relative to 1850 – 1900 average)

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14 December 2021

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File history

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Date/TimeThumbnailDimensionsUserComment
current 18:38, 16 February 2024 Thumbnail for version as of 18:38, 16 February 2024960 × 720 (22 KB)EfbrazilGoing to NASA data set and IPCC temperature offset, as per discussion on climate change talk page
18:59, 13 February 2024 Thumbnail for version as of 18:59, 13 February 2024960 × 720 (24 KB)EfbrazilVisual teaks
18:50, 13 February 2024 Thumbnail for version as of 18:50, 13 February 2024960 × 720 (25 KB)EfbrazilVisual tweaks
18:38, 13 February 2024 Thumbnail for version as of 18:38, 13 February 2024960 × 720 (25 KB)EfbrazilVisual tweaks
21:11, 12 February 2024 Thumbnail for version as of 21:11, 12 February 2024960 × 720 (30 KB)EfbrazilNew version with celcius / fahrenheit flipped, error range in key, 20 year smoothing emphasized
20:43, 29 January 2024 Thumbnail for version as of 20:43, 29 January 2024960 × 720 (46 KB)EfbrazilUpdated to include 2023 temperatures and a 20-year lowess smoothing line as per IPCC
03:30, 13 January 2024 Thumbnail for version as of 03:30, 13 January 2024960 × 720 (53 KB)TofeikuFile uploaded using svgtranslate tool (https://svgtranslate.toolforge.org/). Added translation for ms.
15:12, 31 March 2023 Thumbnail for version as of 15:12, 31 March 2023960 × 720 (51 KB)EfbrazilRemoving "Year" from the x axis, it really isn't necessary
18:04, 14 December 2021 Thumbnail for version as of 18:04, 14 December 2021960 × 720 (51 KB)EfbrazilUploaded own work with UploadWizard

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