Economy of Montenegro

Central Bank of Montenegro
Currency	Euro (EUR, €)
Fiscal year	Calendar year
Trade organisations	CEFTA, EFTA, WTO
Country group	Developing/Emerging [1] Upper-middle income economy [2]
Statistics
Population	633,158 (2023) [3]
GDP	$8.011 billion ( nominal, 2024 est.) [4] $18.812 billion ( PPP, 2024 est.) [5]
GDP rank	158th (nominal, 2023 est.) 152th (PPP, 2023 est.)
GDP growth	+13.0% (2021) [4] +6.4% (2022) [4] +3.2% (2023) [4]
GDP per capita	$12,645 (nominal, 2024 est.) [4] $29,695 (PPP, 2024 est.) [4]
GDP per capita rank	79th (nominal, 2023 est.) 68th (PPP, 2023 est.)
GDP by sector	Agriculture: 7.5% Industry: 15.9% Services: 76.6% (2016 est.) [6]
Inflation ( CPI)	4.3% (2024 est.) [7]
Population below poverty line	8.6% (2013 est.) [6] 31.4% at risk of poverty or social exclusion (2022) [8] 18.1% on less than $5.50/day (2020f) [9]
Gini coefficient	31.5 medium (2022, Eurostat) [10]
Human Development Index	0.832 very high (2021) [11] ( 49th) 0.756 high IHDI (40th) (2021) [12]
Labour force	257,387 (2019) [13] 59.8% employment rate (2018) [14]
Labour force by occupation	agriculture: 7.9% industry: 17.1% services: 75% (2017 est.) [6]
Unemployment	16.1% (2017 est.) [6] 30.7% youth unemployment (2018) [15]
Average gross salary	€995 / $1053 monthly (August, 2023)
Average net salary	€799 / $845 monthly (August, 2023)
Main industries	steelmaking, aluminum, agricultural processing, consumer goods, tourism
External
Exports	$2.502 billion (2021 est.) [16]
Export goods	Copper ore, aluminum, electricity, dried legumes, packaged medicines, lead, scrap iron, lumber
Main export partners	Serbia 15.7%   Spain 11.3%   Pakistan 9.4%    Switzerland 7.6%   South Korea 5.7%   Bosnia and Herzegovina 4.8%   Germany 4.7%   Italy 4.1%   Russia 3.9%   Turkey 3.7% (2021) [17]
Imports	$3.637 billion (2021 est.) [18]
Import goods	Refined petroleum, cars, packaged medicines, recreational boats, cigarettes
Main import partners	Serbia 25.7%   Greece 9.5%   Croatia 7.4%   China 7.1%   Bosnia and Herzegovina 6.2%   Italy 4.9%   Germany 4.3%   Turkey 3.3%   Slovenia 3.01%   Hungary 1.8% (2021) [19]
FDI stock	$737.7 million (31 December 2017 est.) [6] Abroad: $39.77 million (31 December 2017 est.) [6]
Current account	−$540.073 million (2021 est.) [20]
Gross external debt	$3.66 billion (2021) [6]
Public finances
Government debt	65.76% of GDP (2023 est.) [21]
Budget balance	−3.1% (of GDP) (2024 est.): [22]
Revenues	1.78 billion (2017 est.) [6]
Expenses	2.05 billion (2017 est.) [6]
Credit rating	Standard & Poor's: [23] B (Domestic) B (Foreign) AAA (T&C Assessment) Outlook: Positive Moody's: [24] B1 Outlook: Stable
Foreign reserves	$1.982 billion (31 December 2021 est.) [25]
Main data source: CIA World Fact Book All values, unless otherwise stated, are in US dollars.

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The economy of Montenegro is currently in a process of transition, as it navigates the impacts of the Yugoslav Wars, the decline of industry following the dissolution of the Yugoslavia, and economic sanctions imposed by the United Nations. Montenegro joined the World Trade Organization on 29 April 2012. ^[26] Montenegro joined the North Atlantic Treaty Organization on 5 June 2017. ^[27] The accession of Montenegro to the European Union is planned for 2025. ^[28]

History

As a relatively small principality founded in 1852, Montenegro's economy was originally wholly based in agriculture, but it began developing an industrial economy at the turn of the 20th century. Growth was hampered by its small population, lack of raw materials, an underdeveloped transport network, and a comparatively low rate of domestic and international investment.

The first industrial enterprises built in Montenegro were wood mills, an oil refinery, a brewery, salt works, and electric power plants. Economic development was interrupted by several wars, including the First Balkan War (1912–13), World War I (1914–18), and World War II (1939–45). Throughout the first half of the 20th century, agriculture continued to dominate Montenegro's economic activity.

The Yugoslav era

Montenegro's economy was developed significantly after World War II, as the country was integrated into the Socialist Federal Republic of Yugoslavia and experienced a period of rapid urbanization and industrialization. Its industrial sector included the generation of electricity, steel and aluminum production, coal mining, forestry and wood processing, textiles, and tobacco manufacturing, while international trade, shipping, and tourism became increasingly important by the late 1980s.

Post-Yugoslavia

Following the dissolution of Yugoslavia in the early 1990s, Montenegro's entire industrial production system effectively collapsed, leading to shortages of many goods and skyrocketing prices for them. Due to its political alliance with Serbia and favourable geographic location, with access to the Adriatic Sea and a shipping-link to Albania across Lake Skadar, Montenegro became a hub for smuggling activity during the 1990s. The smuggling of petrol and cigarettes, in particular, became a de facto legalised practice within the country. ^[29]

Dissolution of State Union with Serbia

In 1997, Milo Đukanović took control of Montenegro's ruling party, the Democratic Party of Socialists of Montenegro, and began severing political ties with Serbia. He blamed the policies of Serbian President Slobodan Milošević for the overall decline of the Montenegrin economy. Resurgent inflation led the Montenegrin government to " dollarize" the economy, adopting the German mark as its dominant currency. ^[30] These economic policies also led to a revision in 2003 of the relationship between the two countries from a federal republic to a much looser political union of Serbia and Montenegro, in which the Montenegrin government assumed responsibility for its own economic policies.

The union did not last and on 21 May 2006, the people of Montenegro voted by referendum to declare independence from Serbia. ^[31]

Current economy

Following the independence referendum, Montenegro's economy has evolved to highlight its service sector, with a goal of becoming an elite tourist destination, and is navigating the process of joining the European Union. Attempts to attract foreign investors for large infrastructure projects are ongoing, as these projects are integral to its development as a tourist destination.

Montenegro experienced a real estate boom in 2006 and 2007, with wealthy Russians, Britons and others buying property on the Montenegrin coast. As of 2008, Montenegro received more foreign investment per capita than any other nation in Europe. ^[32]

In the first half of 2012, Montenegro exported goods, mostly metals, worth €182.3 million, which was 14.6% less than in the same period of the preceding year. Its major export partners include Croatia, Serbia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, and Hungary. Montenegro's imports in the first half of 2012, mostly food, oil, and electrical energy, were worth €864.9 million, which was 2.6% more than the same period in 2011. Its major import partners include Serbia, Greece, and Bosnia and Herzegovina. ^[33]

In 2022, the sector with the highest number of companies registered in Montenegro is Services with 15,496 companies followed by Retail Trade and Wholesale Trade with 11,200 and 6,839 companies respectively. ^[34]

Finance

The Central Bank of Montenegro was founded in 2001 and shortly thereafter adopted the euro as the currency of the country in March 2002.

The banking sector of Montenegro has a significant share of foreign capital. Banks in Montenegro provide both retail and corporate banking products under one roof, and most offer non-resident accounts, usually to both natural persons and legal entities. ^[35]

The Montenegro Stock Exchange, founded in 1993, was strengthened in 2011 when it merged to become the sole stock exchange in the country. It is owned by a number of financial institutions.

Infrastructure

In the 2007 Great Recession the economic growth slowed, as several infrastructure projects, such as the development of Velika Plaža, Ada Bojana, Buljarica, Jaz Beach, and the construction of the Bar-Boljare motorway and new power plants had to be postponed.

The Port of Bar is the country's primary communication with the maritime trade. Its terminal is specialized in bulk shipment of bauxite and other ores, grain, wood products, acetic acid and petroleum derivatives. In 2019 its allowable draft was reported as 12.8m and several private storage tanks exist on site, to service trade. ^[36] Ro–Ro traffic from Bari and Ancona is handled through an operational quay which is 400m long with water depth of between 4m and 5.9m. ^[37]

Industry

The 2007 recession was difficult for the Podgorica Aluminium Plant, which was initially built in 1969 and was the biggest single contributor to the Montenegrin gross domestic product. The plant, first sold to Oleg Deripaska's En+ Group in 2005, declared bankruptcy in 2013 and was sold to local magnate Veselin Pejovic's Uniprom in 2014. ^[38]

Tourism

With 300km of coastline, backed by mountains, Montenegro is proving to be a desirable holiday destination and generated around 25% of Montenegro's GDP. Covid restrictions in 2020 saw Montenegro suffer a 15% drop in GDP and high unemployment in the tourist sector before rebounding in 2021. ^[39] Montenegro prefers luxurious and upscale projects to attract tourists, encouraging foreign investment to create the facilities. ^[40]

Energy

Elektroprivreda Crne Gore (EPCG) is the mainly state-owned coal and power producer and distributor which owns two large hydroelectric plants and a coal powered thermal power plant. ^[41]

Two wind power farms are in operation, Krnovo Wind Farm and Možura Wind Farm which generate a total of 118MW.

In June 2023 APCG obtained €82m finance to build the Gvozd wind farm which will generate 54.6 MW. ^[41] A new wind farm, the Bijela wind farm is planned with 118MW capacity following UAE based Alcazar Energy acquiring the rights in 2023 to spend $200m building the farm. ^[42]

In 2023 Montenegro exported around €200m worth of electricity (2022 €140m) becoming the top export item for the country. ^[43]

Agriculture

In July 2006 prior to EU integration efforts a survey document was produced by the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Water Management for the EU-funded project Agriculture and Rural Development Strategy of Montenegro. ^[44] The Statistical Office of Montenegro learned as late as November 2021 how to collect its data in formats acceptable to the European Commission. ^{[45] [46]}

Since 2010 agricultural trade relations between the EU and Montenegro have been governed by the EU-Montenegro Stabilisation and Association Agreement, and with the exception of beef, sugar and wine all agricultural products originating in Montenegro can enter the EU duty free. The EU has a large agri-food trade surplus with Montenegro, and exports meat, dairy and food preparations. The EU mainly imports vegetables such as mushrooms, wine and oils from Montenegro. ^[47]

It was reported by the EC Directorate-General for Agriculture and Rural Development in March 2019 that the share of agriculture in Montenegro's GDP was 8%. Agricultural land accounts for 38% of the total. Olives and citrus fruits are grown in the coastal region, while seasonal vegetables and tobacco are produced in the central areas. In the north of the country ungulates dominate the farming. ^[48] The largest share of the land consists of pasture and grassland. ^[49]

Montenegro became a member of the UN International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD) in 2015, which notes that the rural population represents one-third of the total. In 2019 the IFAD focused its activities "on the key challenges of better connectivity and higher productivity by (i) fostering the graduation of micro and small agricultural holdings from the current non-viable subsistence-type agriculture toward semi-commercial and commercial agriculture, through investments in pro-poor rural infrastructure, (ii) promoting the aggregation of smallholders within inclusive value chain clusters and (iii) supporting the proactive role of municipalities to deploy investment to promote inclusion for entire sectors of the rural population." ^[49]

Over the years 2009 to 2019 the World Bank contributed a development project called the Montenegro Institutional Development and Agriculture Strengthening Project, by which (amongst other highlights) the food safety system was upgraded in EU compliant manners, a Border Inspection Post with veterinary and phyto-sanitary controls was established in the Port of Bar, an electronic farm register was created, procedures for the classification of farm and food establishments were completed according to EU norms, and the Veterinary Diagnostic Laboratory in Podgorica was accredited in ISO 17025 analysis methods. ^[50]

Import/Export statistics

Trade agreements

Montenegro has free trade agreements with many countries, but not Russia or Belarus. ^[52]

• Central European Free Trade Agreement signed in 2007 giving free trade between Albania, North Macedonia, Moldova, UNMIK/Kosovo, Croatia, Serbia, and Bosnia and Herzegovina.
• Turkey free trade agreement became effective in 2010
• Ukraine 2011
• European Free Trade Association, signed in 2011 giving free trade with EU countries together with Switzerland, Norway, Iceland, and Liechtenstein
• USA Most-Favored Nation status from 2003

Minimum wage

After years with a minimum wage of €288.10 per month, there was a small increase in 2019 to €331.30 before 2022 saw a jump to €532.50, €6,390 p.a. ^[53]

Taxation

VAT standard rate is 21% in 2022, with some items at 7% and is in line with EU guidelines. ^[54]

From 2023, a tax rate of 9% is applied to personal gross income above €700 per month, and a tax rate of 15% for income above €1,000 per month. Montenegrin municipalities also apply an income tax surcharge equivalent to 13-15% of the national tax rate. Social security costs are 15.5%, 6% being borne by the employee. ^[55]

See also

• Outline of Montenegro#Economy and infrastructure of Montenegro
• Geography of Montenegro
• Geology of Montenegro
• History of Montenegro
• Economy of Serbia and Montenegro

Notes

References

External links

• Montenegro Economy and Financial News
• The Njegoskij Fund Public Project >> Country Profile on Montenegro
• CIA World Factbook - Montenegro
• A New Playground for the Rich, a slideshow by The New York Times.