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County results Coats: 40–50% 50–60%. 60–70% 70–80% Ellsworth: 40–50% 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Indiana |
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The 2010 United States Senate election in Indiana took place on November 2, 2010, alongside 33 other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections to fill Indiana's class III United States Senate seat. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Evan Bayh decided in February 2010 to retire instead of seeking a third term shortly after Republican former U.S. Senator Dan Coats, announced his candidacy for Bayh's contested seat. [1] Bayh's announcement came one day before the filing deadline and no Democratic candidate submitted enough signatures by the deadline to run, so the State Democratic Party chose U.S. Congressman Brad Ellsworth as their nominee. The Libertarian Party nominated YMCA instructor Rebecca Sink-Burris, who had previously run against Evan Bayh in the 1998 United States Senate election in Indiana but with less success than in this election. Coats won the open seat; he declined to seek re-election in 2016.
Senate candidates in Indiana were required to have submitted 500 signatures from each of the state's nine congressional districts by February 16, 2010, one day after Bayh announced his retirement. Democratic leaders thought the popular incumbent would run for reelection, and as a result, no Democratic candidate had submitted the requisite signatures by the deadline to run in the state's primary, meaning that the Indiana Democratic Party's executive committee chose the party's nominee. [2] U.S. congressman Brad Ellsworth was officially selected on May 15. [3]
Poll Source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of Error |
Dan Coats |
John Hostettler |
Marlin Stutzman |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Survey USA ( report) | April 29, 2010 | 407 | ± 5.0% | 36% | 24% | 18% | 10% | 13% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Dan Coats | 217,225 | 39.5% | |
Republican | Marlin Stutzman | 160,981 | 29.2% | |
Republican | John Hostettler | 124,494 | 22.6% | |
Republican | Don Bates Jr. | 24,664 | 4.5% | |
Republican | Richard Behney | 23,005 | 4.2% | |
Total votes | 550,369 | 100.0% |
After Coats' win in the Republican primary, Ellsworth began to heavily criticize Coats for his ties to lobbyists. He called for more disclosure of the meetings lawmakers have with lobbyists, banning congressional staff from lobbying for six years after their congressional jobs, requiring Congress members to put all their investments in blind trusts, more disclosure of Senate candidates' personal financial information, and changes to the U.S. Senate filibuster rules. He proposed lowering number of votes required to break a filibuster to 55 from the current 60. [26] In response to Ellsworth's charges, Coats published his lobbying record in an 815-page document. [27]
Coats emphasized the individual issues rather than ethic reforms advocated by his opponent. He focused on Ellsworth's record of voting in support of the Economic Stimulus Act of 2008, cap and trade legislation, and health care bill. Coats opinion of the healthcare law was that "the only responsible solution ... is to repeal the Obama-Pelosi-Ellsworth health spending bill and quickly replace it with cost-effective, incremental pieces that will decrease costs, increase coverage and not break the bank." [28]
The three candidates took part in three televised debates. [29]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report [30] | Safe R (flip) | October 30, 2010 |
Rothenberg [31] | Lean R (flip) | October 28, 2010 |
RealClearPolitics [32] | Likely R (flip) | October 30, 2010 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [33] | Likely R (flip) | October 28, 2010 |
CQ Politics [34] | Safe R (flip) | October 30, 2010 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dan Coats (R) |
Brad Ellsworth (D) |
Other | Unde cided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | February 16–17, 2010 | 500 | ± 3.5% | 46% | 32% | 7% | 15% |
Research 2000 | February 22–24, 2010 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 37% | 36% | — | 27% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 17–18, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 49% | 34% | 6% | 12% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 13–14, 2010 | 500 | ± 3.5% | 54% | 33% | 5% | 9% |
SurveyUSA | April 22–26, 2010 | 407 | ± 5.0% | 47% | 31% | — | 22% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 5–6, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 51% | 36% | 6% | 8% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 2–3, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 47% | 33% | 7% | 14% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 7–8, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 51% | 30% | 6% | 12% |
The Polling Company | July 11–15, 2010 | 502 | ± 4.2% | 51% | 25% | — | 14% |
The Polling Company | July 31 – August 3, 2010 | 502 | ± 4.2% | 50% | 35% | — | 14% |
Rasmussen Reports | August 4–7, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 50% | 29% | 7% | 14% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 14–15, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 50% | 34% | 8% | 9% |
WISH-TV/EPIC-MRA Archived October 8, 2010, at the Wayback Machine | September 29 – October 1, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 51% | 33% | 5% | 11% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 20, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 52% | 34% | 5% | 9% |
WISH-TV/EPIC-MRA Archived October 26, 2010, at the Wayback Machine | October 19–21, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 53% | 35% | 5% | 7% |
SurveyUSA | October 21–25, 2010 | 1,600 | ± 3.0% | 54% | 32% | 7% | 3% |
Indiana Times | October 29, 2010 | 1,600 | ± 3.0% | 60% | 32% | 4% | 3% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 30 – November 1, 2010 | 1,600 | ± 3.0% | 60% | 39% | 4% | 3% |
Candidate (Party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash On Hand | Debt |
---|---|---|---|---|
Dan Coats (R) | $4,408,537 | $3,384,413 | $1,024,123 | $185,500 |
Brad Ellsworth (D) | $2,256,505 | $2,369,943 | $119,329 | $22,726 |
Rebecca Sink-Burris (L) | $7,331 | $2,175 | $5,351 | $0 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [35] |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Dan Coats | 952,116 | 54.58% | +17.35% | |
Democratic | Brad Ellsworth | 697,775 | 40.00% | -21.65% | |
Libertarian | Rebecca Sink-Burris | 94,330 | 5.41% | +4.28% | |
Write-in | 260 | 0.01% | N/A | ||
Total votes | 1,744,481 | 100.0% | |||
Republican gain from Democratic |
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