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The 2022 United States Senate election in New York was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the
United States Senate to represent the
State of New York .
Incumbent four-term
Democratic Senator
Chuck Schumer , who has served as
Senate Majority Leader since 2021, was first elected in 1998, defeating Republican incumbent
Al D'Amato . Schumer ran for a fifth term. Republican
Joe Pinion is the first black Senate nominee of any major party in New York history. The filing deadline for the June primary was April 7, 2022.
[1] Schumer became the longest-serving U.S. senator in the state's history once his fifth term began in the
118th Congress .
[2]
Though Schumer was comfortably re-elected, he lost significant support on
Long Island and
Upstate New York compared to
his last election in 2016 . Pinion flipped the more conservative counties that Schumer had won in his previous runs, as well as some Democratic-leaning counties such as
Nassau ,
Saratoga ,
Broome ,
Clinton , and
Essex . However, Schumer's lead was large enough in
New York City that it was called by most media outlets the moment the polls closed.
[3]
Despite Democrats overperforming expectations on a national level during this cycle, this race was the most competitive in Schumer's Senate career since his first election in
1998 , when he won by 10.5%, along with being the closest U.S. Senate election from New York since
Hillary Clinton won by about 12.3 percentage points in
2000 . This was due to a Democratic underperformance in New York state despite their overperformance nationally, and Schumer's performance was still the highest margin (aside from
Thomas DiNapoli in the concurrent
comptroller election ) on the statewide ballot.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Disqualified
Moses Mugulusi, regulator
[5]
Khaled Salem, activist
[6]
Declined
Endorsements
Chuck Schumer
Statewide officials
Organizations
Polling
Hypothetical polling
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
[a]
Margin of error
Chuck Schumer
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Undecided
Zogby Analytics
May 7–9, 2020
328 (LV)
± 5.4%
54%
21%
25%
Republican primary
At the 2022 New York State Republican Convention, Joe Pinion was designated as the
New York State Republican Party 's preferred candidate for U.S. Senate. Pinion became the first Black individual to be backed by a major party in a U.S. Senate election in New York.
[23]
Candidates
Nominee
Disqualified
Declined
Endorsements
Joe Pinion
U.S. Representatives
Organizations
Conservative primary
Candidates
Nominee
Working Families primary
Candidates
Nominee
Chuck Schumer, incumbent U.S. senator
[33]
Other candidates
Diane Sare ran on an Independent ballot line labeled "
LaRouche ."
[34]
[35]
General election
Predictions
Endorsements
Chuck Schumer (D)
Federal officials
Statewide officials
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Joe Pinion (R)
U.S. Representatives
Organizations
Polling
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
Chuck Schumer (D)
Joe Pinion (R)
Undecided
[b]
Margin
Real Clear Politics
October 26–31, 2022
November 8, 2022
54.7%
39.3%
6.0%
Schumer +15.4
FiveThirtyEight
October 12 – November 8, 2022
November 8, 2022
55.7%
38.0%
6.3%
Schumer +17.7
270towin
October 26 – November 7, 2022
November 8, 2022
54.6%
38.6%
6.8%
Schumer +16.0
Average
55.0%
38.6%
6.4%
Schumer +16.4
Graphical summary
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
[a]
Margin of error
Chuck Schumer (D)
Joe Pinion (R)
Other
Undecided
Research Co.
November 4–6, 2022
450 (LV)
± 4.6%
55%
37%
2%
[c]
6%
ActiVote (D)
August 8 – November 6, 2022
279 (LV)
± 6.0%
60%
40%
–
–
Emerson College
October 28–31, 2022
1,000 (LV)
± 3.0%
55%
36%
3%
[d]
6%
57%
39%
4%
[e]
–
The Trafalgar Group (R)
October 27–31, 2022
1,198 (LV)
± 2.9%
51%
40%
5%
[f]
4%
KAConsulting (R)
[A]
October 27–29, 2022
501 (LV)
± 4.4%
50%
38%
–
7%
Data for Progress (D)
October 26–28, 2022
818 (LV)
± 3.0%
56%
39%
–
5%
Long Island University
October 24–26, 2022
1,001 (A)
± 3.0%
54%
27%
9%
[g]
10%
Civiqs
October 22–25, 2022
593 (LV)
± 5.0%
56%
41%
1%
[h]
2%
Emerson College
October 20–24, 2022
1,000 (LV)
± 3.0%
51%
36%
6%
[i]
8%
53%
40%
8%
[j]
–
SurveyUSA
October 14–18, 2022
702 (LV)
± 5.4%
52%
38%
4%
6%
Quinnipiac University
October 12–16, 2022
1,617 (LV)
± 2.4%
54%
42%
1%
[k]
3%
Siena College
October 12–14, 2022
707 (LV)
± 4.9%
57%
37%
1%
[l]
5%
Marist College
October 3–6, 2022
900 (LV)
± 4.4%
52%
39%
1%
[m]
8%
1,117 (RV)
± 4.0%
54%
34%
1%
[n]
11%
Siena College
September 16–25, 2022
655 (LV)
± 3.9%
55%
36%
1%
[o]
8%
Emerson College
September 4–6, 2022
1,000 (LV)
± 3.0%
55%
31%
5%
[p]
9%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
August 7–9, 2022
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
51%
36%
–
13%
Emerson College
July 26–28, 2022
1,000 (LV)
± 3.0%
53%
31%
7%
8%
Siena College
July 24–28, 2022
806 (LV)
± 3.5%
56%
35%
0%
8%
Hypothetical polling
Chuck Schumer vs. generic opponent
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
[a]
Margin of error
Chuck Schumer (D)
Generic Opponent
Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
August 7–9, 2022
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
42%
48%
10%
Results
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
By congressional district
Schumer won 19 of 26 congressional districts, including four that elected Republicans.
[55]
See also
Notes
^
a
b
c Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
^ Sare (I) with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%
^ Sare (I) with 1%; "Someone else" with 3%
^ Sare (I) with 5%
^ "Not planning to vote" with 6%; "Another candidate" with 3%
^ "Someone else" with 1%
^ "Someone else" with 4%; Sare (I) with 2%
^ "Someone else" with 6%; Sare (I) with 2%
^ "Someone else" with 1%
^ "Another candidate" with 1%; "Not going to vote" with 0%
^ "Another party's candidate" with 1%
^ "Another party's candidate" with 1%
^ "Another candidate" with 1%
^ "Someone else" with 5%
Partisan clients
References
^
Cillizza, Chris (April 20, 2020).
"Does Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez have her eye on a Senate seat?" .
CNN Politics .
^ Matthews, Karen; Hajela, Deepti.
"New York's Schumer keeps Senate seat, but majority role up for grabs" . www.timesofisrael.com . Retrieved November 9, 2022 .
^ McKinley, Jesse (November 9, 2022).
"Tough N.Y. Election Holds Lessons for Republicans and Democrats Alike" .
The New York Times .
ISSN
0362-4331 . Retrieved November 12, 2022 .
^ Glueck, Katie (February 17, 2022).
"Hochul is the Star as Democrats Gather for a Cuomo-Free Convention" .
The New York Times .
^
"Moses Mugulusi" .
Ballotpedia .
Archived from the original on September 11, 2021.
^
"New York Senate candidate encourages Americans to protest Hamas" .
The Jerusalem Post . June 5, 2021.
Archived from the original on August 29, 2021. Retrieved August 30, 2021 .
^ Murphy, Dan (February 7, 2022).
"Reports: Biaggi to Announce Run for Congress in NY-3; Sound Shore Long Island & West" . Yonkers Times . Retrieved February 7, 2022 .
^ Eidler, Scott (February 7, 2022).
"State Sen. Biaggi joins crowded race for Suozzi's seat in Congress" . Newsday . Retrieved February 7, 2022 .
^
a
b
c Otterbein, Holly (February 1, 2021).
"Schumer quietly nails down the left amid AOC primary chatter" .
Politico . Retrieved February 1, 2021 .
^ Axelrod, Tal (May 28, 2019).
"Cuomo says he'll run for fourth term as NY governor" .
The Hill . Retrieved February 11, 2021 .
^ Connolly, Griffin (January 4, 2021).
"AOC won't say whether she'll mount primary challenge against Chuck Schumer" .
The Independent .
Archived from the original on January 4, 2021.
^ Krieg, Gregory (August 8, 2021).
"Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez does not rule out 2022 challenge to Chuck Schumer" .
CNN .
Archived from the original on August 29, 2021. Retrieved August 30, 2021 .
^ Ngo, Emily.
"Schumer's path to reelection paved with campaign cash and statewide stops" . www.ny1.com . Retrieved February 2, 2022 . Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez had been floated as a Schumer challenger, but her spokeswoman told NY1 she has filed for reelection and is ruling out seeking his seat.
^ Vakil, Caroline (October 27, 2021).
"Jumaane Williams makes run for New York governor official" .
The Hill . Retrieved November 4, 2021 .
^
a
b Reisman, Nick (February 15, 2022).
"Sen. Schumer and AG James endorse each other" .
Spectrum News .
^
a
b Reisman, Nick (January 13, 2022).
"CSEA endorse, DiNapoli and Schumer for re-election" .
Spectrum News . Retrieved February 14, 2022 .
^
a
b
"2022 Feminist Majority PAC Endorsements" . feministmajoritypac.org . Retrieved April 9, 2022 .
^
a
b
"Jewish Dems Start 2022 Election Cycle With First Slate of Endorsements" . www.jewishdems.org . November 30, 2021. Retrieved December 11, 2021 .
^
a
b Turrentine, Jeff (March 8, 2022).
"NRDC Action Fund Endorses These Candidates in the 2022 Elections" . Retrieved March 15, 2022 .
^
a
b
"2022 House & Senate Endorsements" . Population Connection Action Fund . Archived from
the original on July 2, 2022. Retrieved April 21, 2022 .
^
a
b Reisman, Nick (December 13, 2021).
"Schumer, DiNapoli receive early labor endorsement" . spectrumlocalnews.com .
^
a
b
"Endorsed Candidates" . proisraelamerica.org . Archived from
the original on December 20, 2021. Retrieved January 22, 2022 .
^ Gronewald, Anna; Mahoney, Bill (February 28, 2022).
"New York Republicans talk inclusion with a diverse slate at convention" .
Politico . Retrieved March 1, 2022 .
^
a
b Whalen, Ryan (January 27, 2022).
"GOP U.S. Senate candidate Pinion visits WNY" . Spectrum News 1 . Retrieved February 1, 2022 .
^
a
b Taddeo, Sarah (March 1, 2022).
"Republican Joe Pinion secures GOP designation for historic bid against Schumer" . Democrat and Chronicle .
^ Saric, Ivana (April 7, 2021).
"Andrew Giuliani says he plans to run for New York governor" .
Axios . Retrieved April 7, 2021 .
^ Zanona, Melanie (January 14, 2022).
"Third House Republican who voted to impeach Trump calls it quits" .
CNN . Retrieved January 14, 2022 .
^
"GOP Rep. Tom Reed apologizes, announces retirement amid misconduct claim" .
NBC News .
Associated Press . March 22, 2021.
Archived from the original on May 14, 2021. Retrieved May 14, 2021 . Reed said in his statement Sunday that he would not seek any elective office in 2022.
^ Shabad, Rebecca.
"GOP Rep. Lee Zeldin announces run for governor of New York" .
NBC News . Retrieved April 8, 2021 .
^
a
b
"Stefanik endorses Henry for AG, Pinion for Senate" . spectrumlocalnews.com .
^
a
b
"Endorsement: Joe Pinion for United States Senate (New York)" . nyyrc.com .
New York Young Republican Club . June 7, 2022. Retrieved June 8, 2022 .
^ Williams, Zach (February 26, 2022).
"Political right highlights 2022 talking points at Conservative Party convention" . City & State NY .
^ Reisman, Nick (February 22, 2022).
"Working Families Party endorses Schumer's re-election" . SpectrumLocalNews.com .
^
"NYSBOE: Public Reporting System : Who Filed" .
^
"United States Senate election in New York, 2022" .
^
"2022 Senate Race ratings" .
The Cook Political Report . Retrieved January 14, 2021 .
^
"Senate ratings" . Inside Elections . Retrieved January 18, 2021 .
^
"2022 Senate" . Sabato's Crystal Ball . Retrieved January 28, 2021 .
^
"New York Senate Race 2022" .
Politico . April 1, 2022.
^
"Battle for the Senate 2022" .
RCP . October 18, 2022.
^
"2022 Election Forecast" .
Fox News . May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022 .
^
"2022 Election Forecast" . DDHQ . July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022 .
^
"2022 Election Forecast" .
FiveThirtyEight . June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022 .
^
"Economist's 2022 Senate forecast" .
The Economist . September 7, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022 .
^ Fandos, Nicholas (November 4, 2022).
"Biden Will Campaign for Gov. Hochul in New York on Sunday" .
The New York Times .
Archived from the original on November 5, 2022. Retrieved November 5, 2022 .
^
"Lin-Manuel Miranda cuts Broadway-focused ad for Schumer's reelection bid" . October 17, 2022.
^
a
b
c
d
e
f
g
h
i
j
k
l
m
n
"Chuck Schumer's Ratings and Endorsements - Vote Smart" . justfacts.votesmart.org . Retrieved October 10, 2022 .
^
"Congressional Endorsements | Sierra Club Independent Action" . www.sierraclubindependentaction.org .
^
"The Editorial Board: Schumer for U.S. Senate" .
^
"Editorial endorsement: Reelect Charles Schumer to the U.S. Senate" . October 23, 2022.
^
"Editorial: Schumer for U.S. Senate" . October 28, 2022.
Archived from the original on November 1, 2022. Retrieved November 1, 2022 .
^
"Endorsements" . newyorkfcr.org .
New York Federation of College Republicans . Retrieved July 30, 2022 .
^
"🚨Key Endorsement Alert🚨 🚔 Honored to have the full support of The State Troopers. -> @nyspolice It's time to stand with law enforcement again.🗽 Together, we will fix New York. 🇺🇸 Together, we will save America #onward #backtheblue" .
Twitter . September 16, 2022. Retrieved October 10, 2022 .
^
"2022 General Election Results — Certified December 15, 2022" .
New York State Board of Elections .
^
"New York 'Center of Gravity' in 2024 Campaign For House Control" . Bloomberg Government . Retrieved March 16, 2023 .
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