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2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska

←  2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →

All 3 Nebraska seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 3 0
Seats won 3 0
Seat change Steady Steady
Popular vote 411,034 231,511
Percentage 62.71% 35.32%
Swing Increase 0.54% Increase 0.69%

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the three U.S. representatives from the state of Nebraska, one from each of the state's three congressional districts. The elections coincided with the Nebraska gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the U.S. House of Representatives, elections to the U.S. Senate, and various state and local elections.

Nebraska's primary elections took place on May 10, 2022.

Overview

District Republican Democratic Others Total Result
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
District 1 129,236 57.91% 93,929 42.09% 0 0.00% 223,165 100.0% Republican hold
District 2 112,663 51.33% 106,807 48.67% 0 0.00% 219,470 100.0% Republican hold
District 3 172,700 78.30% 34,836 15.79% 13,016 5.90% 220,552 100.0% Republican hold
Total 411,034 62.71% 231,511 35.32% 13,016 1.96% 663,187 100.0%
Popular vote
Republican
62.71%
Democratic
35.32%
Other
1.96%
House seats
Republican
100.00%

District 1

2022 Nebraska's 1st congressional district election

2024 →
 
Nominee Mike Flood Patty Pansing Brooks
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 129,236 93,929
Percentage 57.9% 42.1%

County results
Flood:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Pansing Brooks:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Mike Flood
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Mike Flood
Republican

The 1st district is located in eastern Nebraska surrounding Omaha and its suburbs, taking in Lincoln, Bellevue, Fremont, and Norfolk. The incumbent was Republican Mike Flood, who was elected with 52.7% of the vote in a 2022 special election after the previous incumbent, Jeff Fortenberry, resigned March 31, 2022, after having been indicted and convicted on charges of lying to the FBI about campaign donations. [1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Declined

Endorsements

Mike Flood
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State officials
Organizations
Jeff Fortenberry (withdrawn)
State officials

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Thireena Yuki
Connely
Mike
Flood
Jeff
Fortenberry
Curtis
Huffman
John Glen
Weaver
Undecided
March 31, 2022 Fortenberry resigns and withdraws from the race
Moore Information Group (R) [A] February 23, 2022 405 (LV) ± 4.9% 1% 25% 36% 1% 1% 36%
30% 40% 30%
Moore Information Group (R) [A] January 2022 – (LV) 33% 35% 33%

Results

Republican primary results [15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Flood 61,265 73.9
Republican Jeff Fortenberry (incumbent, withdrawn) 9,807 11.8
Republican John Glen Weaver 5,470 6.6
Republican Thireena Yuki Connely 3,353 4.0
Republican Curtis Huffman 3,062 3.7
Total votes 82,957 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Jazari Kual, community activist [17]

Endorsements

Patty Pansing Brooks
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State officials
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers

Results

Democratic primary results [15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Patty Pansing Brooks 31,808 86.6
Democratic Jazari Kual 4,944 13.4
Total votes 36,752 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report [27] Solid R September 1, 2022
Inside Elections [28] Solid R September 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] Safe R August 24, 2022
Politico [30] Likely R August 23, 2022
RCP [31] Safe R September 1, 2022
Fox News [32] Solid R August 22, 2022
DDHQ [33] Solid R September 5, 2022
FiveThirtyEight [34] Solid R September 6, 2022
The Economist [35] Likely R September 28, 2022

Results

2022 Nebraska's 1st congressional district election [36]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Flood (incumbent) 129,236 57.9
Democratic Patty Pansing Brooks 93,929 42.1
Total votes 223,165 100.0
Republican hold

District 2

2022 Nebraska's 2nd congressional district election

←  2020
2024 →
 
Nominee Don Bacon Tony Vargas
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 112,663 106,807
Percentage 51.3% 48.7%

County results

Bacon:      60–70%      70–80%

Vargas:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Don Bacon
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Don Bacon
Republican

The 2nd district covers the Omaha metropolitan area, including all of Douglas County, home to the city of Omaha, and suburban parts of northern Sarpy County, including La Vista and Papillon. The incumbent was Republican Don Bacon, who was re-elected with 50.8% of the vote in 2020 on the same ballot that Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden won the district with 52.2%. [1]

During the campaign, a research firm contracted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee inappropriately obtained the military records of Don Bacon. [37]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
  • Jim Schultze, IT professional [39]

Endorsements

Results

Republican primary results [15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Don Bacon (incumbent) 53,824 77.2
Republican Steve Kuehl 15,945 22.8
Total votes 69,769 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined
Endorsements
Alisha Shelton
Organizations

Results

Democratic primary results [15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tony Vargas 31,930 68.6
Democratic Alisha Shelton 14,585 31.4
Total votes 46,515 100.0

General election

Debates and forums

2022 Nebraska 2nd congressional district debates and forums
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
Bacon Vargas
1 [67] October 13, 2022 League of Women Voters and Omaha Press Club N/A N/A P P
2 [67] October 16, 2022 KETV N/A YouTube P P

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report [27] Tossup November 1, 2022
Inside Elections [28] Tossup September 1, 2022
Roll Call [68] Tossup August 26, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] Lean R November 2, 2022
Politico [30] Tossup October 4, 2022
RCP [31] Lean R September 1, 2022
Fox News [32] Lean R November 1, 2022
DDHQ [33] Likely R September 5, 2022
FiveThirtyEight [69] Likely R September 6, 2022
The Economist [70] Tossup November 5, 2022

Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Don
Bacon (R)
Tony
Vargas (D)
Undecided
[b]
Margin
FiveThirtyEight May 10 – August 7, 2022 August 11, 2022 48.3% 41.9% 9.8% Bacon +6.4
Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Don
Bacon (R)
Tony
Vargas (D)
Undecided
Impact Research (D) [B] August 3–7, 2022 501 (LV) ± 4.5% 47% 46% 7%
GBAO (D) [C] June 27–30, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 48% 5%
RMG Research [D] May 19–20, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 52% 37% 9%
Change Research (D) [B] May 6–10, 2022 564 (LV) ± 4.6% 39% 42% 16%
Change Research (D) [B] March 26–29, 2022 550 (LV) ± 4.5% 39% 40% 16%
Hypothetical polling
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [E] October 18, 2022 44% 47% 9%
Impact Research (D) [B] August 3–7, 2022 501 (LV) ± 4.5% 44% 40% 16%
Change Research (D) [B] March 26–29, 2022 550 (LV) ± 4.5% 40% 39% 21%

Results

2022 Nebraska's 2nd congressional district election [36]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Don Bacon (incumbent) 112,663 51.3
Democratic Tony Vargas 106,807 48.7
Total votes 219,470 100.0
Republican hold

By county

County Don Bacon
Republican
Tony Vargas
Democratic
Total
votes
% # % #
Douglas 48.77% 93,363 51.23% 98,055 191,418
Sarpy 65.37% 12,189 34.63% 6,457 18,646
Saunders 75.60% 7,111 24.40% 2,295 9,406

District 3

2022 Nebraska's 3rd congressional district election

←  2020
2024 →
 
Nominee Adrian Smith David Else Mark Elworth Jr.
Party Republican Democratic Legal Marijuana Now
Popular vote 172,700 34,836 13,016
Percentage 78.3% 15.8% 5.9%

County results
Smith:      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Adrian Smith
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Adrian Smith
Republican

The 3rd district covers most of the rural central and western part of the state, and includes Grand Island, Kearney, Hastings, North Platte, Alliance, and Scottsbluff. The incumbent was Republican Adrian Smith, who was re-elected with 78.5% of the vote in 2020. [1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Adrian Smith
Federal officials
Organizations

Results

Republican primary results [15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Adrian Smith (incumbent) 89,453 76.0
Republican Mike Calhoun 28,243 24.0
Total votes 117,696 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Daniel Wik, doctor [74]

Results

Primary results by county:
  Else
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Wik
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Tie
  •   50–60%
Democratic primary results [15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic David Else 8,701 52.2
Democratic Daniel Wik 7,968 47.8
Total votes 16,669 100.0

Legal Marijuana Now primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Legal Marijuana Now primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Legal Marijuana Now Mark Elworth Jr. 89 100.0
Total votes 89 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report [27] Solid R September 1, 2022
Inside Elections [28] Solid R September 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] Safe R August 24, 2022
Politico [30] Solid R August 23, 2022
RCP [31] Safe R September 1, 2022
Fox News [75] Solid R August 22, 2022
DDHQ [33] Solid R September 5, 2022
FiveThirtyEight [69] Solid R September 6, 2022
The Economist [70] Safe R September 28, 2022

Results

2022 Nebraska's 3rd congressional district election [76]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Adrian Smith (incumbent) 172,700 78.3
Democratic David Else 34,836 15.8
Legal Marijuana Now Mark Elworth Jr. 13,016 5.9
Total votes 220,552 100.0
Republican hold

Notes

  1. ^ a b c Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Fortenberry's campaign
  2. ^ a b c d e This poll was sponsored by 314 Action, which supports Vargas
  3. ^ This poll was sponsored by Vargas's campaign
  4. ^ Unclear: Poll says likely Primary voters, dates from after Primary
  5. ^ This poll was sponsored by the House Majority PAC

References

  1. ^ a b c "General Election Official Results" (PDF). Nebraska Secretary of State. Retrieved December 4, 2020.
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  4. ^ Solender, Andrew (March 26, 2022). "GOP Rep. Jeff Fortenberry resigns after conviction". Axios. Retrieved March 26, 2022.
  5. ^ a b c d e Schulte, Grant (October 21, 2021). "What could happen next with indicted US Rep. Fortenberry". Associated Press. Retrieved October 23, 2021.
  6. ^ Bureau, Paul Hammel World-Herald (November 11, 2021). "Nebraska auditor not running for reelection; lieutenant governor will seek his old job". Omaha World-Herald. Retrieved November 11, 2021.
  7. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah "Patty Pansing Brooks announces long list of bipartisan endorsements". KOLN. June 4, 2022. Retrieved September 6, 2022.
  8. ^ "Osborne endorses Flood for Congress". News Channel Nebraska. February 4, 2022. Retrieved February 5, 2022.
  9. ^ a b "Fortenberry disappointed in "friends" for choosing Mike Flood over him". KETV. January 21, 2022. Retrieved January 21, 2022.
  10. ^ a b c "NRA-PVF: Grades". NRA-PVF. Retrieved April 27, 2022.
  11. ^ "Mike Flood has Earned the Nebraska Farm Bureau Endorsement for the First Congressional District". www.nefb.org. April 5, 2022. Retrieved August 23, 2022.
  12. ^ a b c "Voter Guides – Nebraska Right to Life". Retrieved August 31, 2022.
  13. ^ a b "ELECTION ALERT: Tea Party Express Endorses Mike Flood and Don Bacon for Congress in Nebraska". Tea Party Express. July 22, 2022. Retrieved August 23, 2022.
  14. ^ Schulte, Grant (March 15, 2022). "Nebraska congressman faces high-stakes trial in California". ABC News. Retrieved March 25, 2022.
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  16. ^ Walton, Don. "Don Walton: Patty Pansing Brooks preparing bif for Fortenberry House seat". Retrieved October 24, 2021.
  17. ^ Dorn, Nolan (December 6, 2021). "Jazari Kual announces run for Congress". www.klkntv.com. KLKN. Retrieved January 3, 2022.
  18. ^ Walton, Don (November 15, 2021). "Sen. Patty Pansing Brooks will seek Fortenberry's House seat". JournalStar.com.
  19. ^ Dorn, Nolan (March 9, 2022). "Lincoln Mayor Gaylor Baird endorses Sen. Pansing Brooks for Congress". KLKN-TV. Retrieved April 18, 2022.
  20. ^ Dunker, Chris (June 16, 2022). "First lady Susanne Shore endorses Pansing Brooks, countering Gov. Ricketts' pick in 1st District House race". JournalStar.com. Retrieved September 6, 2022.
  21. ^ "LABOR: Elections 2022". April 5, 2022.
  22. ^ "State teachers union endorses primary election candidates". April 7, 2022.
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  35. ^ "The Economist's 2022 House Election forecast". The Economist. Retrieved November 6, 2022.
  36. ^ a b Evnen (2022, p. 10)
  37. ^ "2 former House GOP candidates alerted to improper requests for Air Force records".
  38. ^ Anderson, Jake (January 5, 2022). "Nebraska Rep. Don Bacon running for reelection". www.ketv.com. KETV. Retrieved January 5, 2022.
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  40. ^ "Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions Announces Second Round of Congressional Endorsements for the 2022 Election Cycle". cresenergy.com. Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions. May 4, 2022. Archived from the original on August 21, 2022. Retrieved June 7, 2022.
  41. ^ "Endorsed Candidates". proisraelamerica.org. Archived from the original on December 20, 2021. Retrieved January 22, 2022.
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  • Evnen, Robert B. (November 8, 2022). 2022 General Canvass Book (PDF). Nebraska Secretary of State. Retrieved December 14, 2022.

External links

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates