From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
2018 United States Senate election in Indiana Turnout 50.42%
County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results
Braun: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80%Donnelly: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70%
The 2018 United States Senate election in Indiana took place on November 6, 2018, along with
other elections to the
United States Senate and
House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent
Democratic Senator
Joe Donnelly lost re-election to a second term to Republican Mike Braun by a 6% margin. This was the second consecutive election for this seat where the incumbent was defeated and/or the seat flipped parties.
In 2017,
Politico described the race as "possibly the GOP's best opportunity to seize a Senate seat from Democrats" in the 2018 elections.
[1] The primary election was held on May 8, 2018.
[2] In October 2018,
RealClearPolitics rated the race a toss-up between the Democratic and Republican nominees, with the Libertarian receiving a poll average of 6%.
[3]
Background
In 2012,
Joe Donnelly was elected to the Senate with 50% of the vote to Republican nominee
Richard Mourdock 's 44%. In the 2016 presidential election, Republican nominee
Donald Trump won
Indiana with about 56.5% of the vote to Democratic nominee
Hillary Clinton 's 37.5%.
[4]
[5]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Withdrew
Martin Del Rio, Iraq War veteran
[7]
[8]
Endorsements
Joe Donnelly
47th Vice President of the United States
United States Senator
Organization
Results
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in the primary election
Declined
Withdrawn
Endorsements
Mike Braun
U.S. Senators
State Senators
State Representatives
Organizations
Newspapers
Luke Messer
U.S. Representatives
State-level officials
Former state party chairs
Local-level officials
Individuals
Todd Rokita
State-level officials
Former state party chairs
Local-level officials
Individuals
Newspapers
Polling
Results
Results by county: 80–90%
60–70%
50–60%
40–50%
<40%
<40%
40–50%
50–60%
60–70%
Independent
Candidates
Declared
General election
Candidates
Mike Braun , businessman and former state representative (R)
Lucy Brenton (L)
Joe Donnelly , incumbent (D)
James Johnson Jr. (I)
Debates
Predictions
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of October 17, 2018
Candidate (party)
Total receipts
Total disbursements
Cash on hand
Joe Donnelly (D)
$16,100,528
$13,872,981
$2,321,981
Mike Braun (R)
$16,964,706
$15,576,842
$1,387,861
Source: Federal Election Commission
[68]
Endorsements
Mike Braun (R)
U.S. Executive Branch Officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Governors
State Senators
State Representatives
Cabinet-level officials
Individuals
Organizations
Joe Donnelly (D)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
Michael Bennet , U.S. Senator from Colorado
[107]
Cory Booker , U.S. Senator from New Jersey
[108]
Chris Coons , U.S. Senator from Delaware
[109]
Catherine Cortez Masto , U.S. Senator from Nevada
[110]
Dick Durbin , U.S. Senator from Illinois
[111]
Tammy Duckworth , U.S. Senator from Illinois
[112]
Kamala Harris , U.S. Senator from California
[113]
Doug Jones , U.S. Senator from Alabama
[114]
[12]
Amy Klobuchar , U.S. Senator from Minnesota
[115]
Brian Schatz , U.S. Senator from Hawaii
[116]
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Declined to endorse
Organizations
Indiana Chamber of Commerce
[130]
Newspapers
Polling
Graphical summary
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Joe Donnelly (D)
Mike Braun (R)
Lucy Brenton (L)
Other
Undecided
HarrisX
November 3–5, 2018
600
± 4.0%
42%
43%
–
–
–
HarrisX
November 2–4, 2018
600
± 4.0%
43%
41%
–
–
–
HarrisX
November 1–3, 2018
600
± 4.0%
43%
42%
–
–
–
HarrisX
October 31 – November 2, 2018
600
± 4.0%
44%
42%
–
–
–
HarrisX
October 30 – November 1, 2018
600
± 4.0%
43%
43%
–
–
–
HarrisX
October 29–31, 2018
600
± 4.0%
40%
43%
–
–
–
Fox News
October 27–30, 2018
722 LV
± 3.5%
45%
38%
5%
2%
9%
852 RV
± 3.0%
42%
38%
6%
2%
11%
HarrisX
Archived November 6, 2018, at the
Wayback Machine
October 24–30, 2018
1,400
± 2.6%
42%
42%
–
–
–
NBC News/Marist
October 24–28, 2018
496 LV
± 5.5%
45%
42%
7%
<1%
5%
48%
46%
–
2%
5%
800 RV
± 4.2%
43%
40%
9%
<1%
7%
47%
45%
–
2%
7%
Cygnal (R)
October 26–27, 2018
505
± 4.4%
46%
49%
–
3%
2%
YouGov
October 23–26, 2018
975
± 3.7%
43%
46%
3%
0%
8%
Mason Strategies (R)
October 15–20, 2018
600
± 3.9%
43%
47%
3%
–
7%
American Viewpoint (R-Braun)
October 14–17, 2018
800
–
40%
44%
7%
–
5%
SurveyUSA
October 12–16, 2018
816
± 4.6%
41%
40%
8%
–
11%
Gravis Marketing
October 12–16, 2018
377
± 5.1%
44%
40%
7%
–
10%
Vox Populi Polling
October 13–15, 2018
783
± 3.5%
55%
45%
–
–
–
American Viewpoint (R-Braun)
October 7–10, 2018
800
–
40%
44%
7%
–
7%
American Viewpoint (R-Braun)
September 30 – October 3, 2018
800
–
39%
43%
7%
–
5%
Fox News
September 29 – October 2, 2018
695 LV
± 3.5%
43%
41%
6%
2%
9%
806 RV
± 3.5%
41%
40%
6%
1%
10%
Ipsos
September 12–20, 2018
1,181
± 3.0%
46%
43%
–
3%
8%
Fox News
September 8–11, 2018
677 LV
± 3.5%
43%
45%
3%
1%
8%
804 RV
± 3.5%
42%
41%
4%
1%
10%
NBC News/Marist
August 26–29, 2018
576 LV
± 5.0%
44%
41%
8%
1%
6%
49%
43%
–
2%
7%
816 RV
± 4.2%
43%
40%
8%
1%
8%
48%
42%
–
2%
9%
Trafalgar Group (R)
July 31 – August 7, 2018
1,420
± 2.6%
51%
39%
–
–
11%
SurveyMonkey/Axios
June 11 – July 2, 2018
952
± 5.0%
47%
49%
–
–
4%
Gravis Marketing
May 10–15, 2018
400
± 4.9%
46%
47%
–
–
7%
Hypothetical polling
with Todd Rokita
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Joe Donnelly (D)
Todd Rokita (R)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing
Archived November 28, 2020, at the
Wayback Machine
April 6–11, 2018
411
± 4.8%
50%
32%
18%
with Luke Messer
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Joe Donnelly (D)
Luke Messer (R)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing
Archived November 28, 2020, at the
Wayback Machine
April 6–11, 2018
411
± 4.8%
46%
36%
18%
with generic Republican
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Joe Donnelly (D)
Generic Republican
Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios
February 12 – March 5, 2018
1,809
± 3.8%
45%
51%
4%
Results
State House district results
On November 6, 2018, Braun won the general election.
[133] He swept southern Indiana, the exurbs of Indianapolis, and most other rural areas in the state. Donnelly ran well behind his 2012 vote totals, winning only in Indianapolis, the university centers (Bloomington, Terre Haute, West Lafayette, South Bend), and the suburbs of Chicago in Northwest Indiana.
[134]
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
By congressional district
Braun won 6 of 9 congressional districts, with Donnelly winning the other 3, including one held by a Republican.
Voter Demographics
Edison Research exit poll
Demographic subgroup
Donnelly
Braun
No Answer
% of Voters
Gender
Men
40
57
3
49
Women
49
46
5
51
Age
18–29 years old
48
45
7
13
30–44 years old
49
43
8
20
45–64 years old
44
54
3
39
65 and older
41
57
1
28
Race
White
40
56
4
86
Black
88
11
1
8
Latino
71
22
6
3
Asian
N/A
N/A
N/A
1
Other
N/A
N/A
N/A
2
Race by gender
White men
35
62
3
42
White women
44
51
5
44
Black men
82
15
2
4
Black women
95
5
0
4
Latino men
N/A
N/A
N/A
1
Latina women
N/A
N/A
N/A
2
Others
N/A
N/A
N/A
2
Education
High school or less
40
56
4
23
Some
college education
40
54
6
26
Associate degree
41
55
4
13
Bachelor's degree
46
51
3
22
Advanced degree
61
36
2
16
Education and race
White college graduates
49
48
3
34
White no college degree
33
62
5
53
Non-white college graduates
80
19
2
4
Non-white no college degree
76
20
4
10
Whites by education and gender
White women with college degrees
57
39
4
17
White women without college degrees
36
59
6
27
White men with college degrees
41
57
2
17
White men without college degrees
31
65
4
26
Non-whites
77
20
3
14
Income
Under $30,000
49
44
8
15
$30,000–49,999
46
49
4
23
$50,000–99,999
44
55
2
35
$100,000–199,999
44
52
4
22
Over $200,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
5
Party ID
Democrats
92
6
2
29
Republicans
8
90
2
39
Independents
47
44
9
31
Party by gender
Democratic men
92
6
2
12
Democratic women
93
5
2
18
Republican men
8
91
1
19
Republican women
8
90
2
20
Independent men
42
52
7
18
Independent women
55
33
12
13
Ideology
Liberals
86
8
6
20
Moderates
59
37
5
40
Conservatives
10
88
2
40
Marital status
Married
43
54
3
61
Unmarried
51
46
3
39
Gender by marital status
Married men
38
60
2
31
Married women
48
49
3
30
Unmarried men
42
53
5
19
Unmarried women
61
39
1
20
First-time midterm election voter
Yes
41
53
6
15
No
46
51
3
85
Most important issue facing the country
Health care
70
26
4
41
Immigration
10
85
5
27
Economy
31
66
3
21
Gun policy
66
31
3
8
Area type
Urban
63
33
4
31
Suburban
44
53
3
44
Rural
37
58
5
25
Source:
CNN
[136]
Notes
^ Curtis Hill* 4%; Mark Hurt†, Terry Henderson†, and Andrew Takami† with 1%. *Hypothetical candidate. †Withdrawn.
References
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^
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^
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^
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^
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^
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a
b
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a
b
c
d
e
f
g
h
i
j Mike Braun.
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^
a
b
"Citizens Fund Endorses Mike Braun for Senate in Indiana" .
Tea Party Patriots . May 1, 2018. Archived from
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^
"NOM Endorses Candidates in Key Senate Midterm Contests" . NOM Blog . Archived from
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^ EDITORIAL (April 29, 2018).
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^
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b
c
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^
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^
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^ Donald J. Trump.
"Will be going to Evansville, Indiana, tonight for a big crowd rally with Mike Braun, a very successful businessman who is campaigning to be Indiana's next U.S. Senator. He is strong on Crime & Borders, the 2nd Amendment, and loves our Military & Vets. Will be a big night!" . Twitter .
^ Mike Pence.
"Congrats to @braun4indiana on his #INSen primary victory tonight! @RealDonaldTrump & I look forward to working with you in support of the #MAGA agenda. Mike Braun will make Hoosiers proud" . Twitter .
^
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^
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^
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^ Bluestein, Greg (August 24, 2018).
"David Perdue aims to shore up embattled Senate candidates" . Politically Georgia .
^ Todd Young.
"Congrats to Mike Braun on tonight's victory! Help keep the momentum going by following @braun4indiana for updates from the campaign trail" . Twitter .
^ Jim Banks.
"Congrats to @braun4indiana on your victory this evening. Team Banks looks forward to working with you to give Indiana another reliable conservative voice in the U.S. Senate in November!" . Twitter .
^
"Mike Braun on Twitter" .
^
"Republicans rally around Mike Braun at state convention" . ABC57 .
Archived from the original on June 14, 2018.
^ Eric Holcomb.
"Hoosiers need someone who will support the kinds of things that have made Indiana a leading state for job creation, financial strength & stability, & workforce development. I believe that @braun4indiana is the right person to ensure our principles are pushed hard in Washington" . Twitter .
^ Kellyanne Conway [@KellyannePolls] (October 31, 2018).
"Time for Joe to Go. #INSen" (
Tweet ). Retrieved November 5, 2018 – via
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^
a
b
c WANE 15 [@wane15] (November 6, 2018).
"President @realDonaldTrump brought Lou Holtz, @IvankaTrump, @PressSec, and @KellyannePolls to Fort Wayne to rally for @braun4indiana" (
Tweet ). Retrieved November 5, 2018 – via
Twitter . {{
cite web }}
: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (
link )
^
"Dan Bongino on Twitter" .
^
"Dan Bongino on Twitter" .
^
"Mike Braun on Twitter" . Twitter .
^
"Mike Braun on Twitter" . Twitter .
^
"Mike Braun on Twitter" .
^ Lou Holtz (August 16, 2018).
"Braun brings best to boost Hoosiers" . The Journal Gazette .
Archived from the original on August 16, 2018.
^
"Mike Braun on Twitter" . Twitter .
^ Ronna McDaniel.
"It's time to send Democrat Joe Donnelly packing and elect @braun4indiana to the Senate! #INSen" . Twitter .
^
[1] [
dead link ]
^
Mike Braun [@braun4indiana] (October 22, 2018).
"Join me, @DonaldJTrumpJr , @kimguilfoyle , & @GregPenceIN TODAY rallying Hoosiers to get out the vote and drain the swamp!" (
Tweet ) – via
Twitter .
^ Donald Trump Jr. (August 29, 2018).
"Donald Trump Jr.: Hoosiers deserve better than Donnelly" .
Evansville Courier & Press .
^
"FreedomWorks for America Endorses Mike Braun in Indiana Senate Race" .
FreedomWorks . June 4, 2018.
^
"Indiana Right to Life PAC Endorses in Federal Races" . Indiana Right to Life . April 3, 2018. Archived from
the original on July 31, 2018. Retrieved July 31, 2018 .
^
"Small Business Endorses Mike Braun for U.S. Senate" . NFIB . September 4, 2018.
^
"Republican Jewish Coalition launches first wave of midterm endorsements" .
NBCNews.com . July 23, 2018.
^ Mike Braun.
"Building my business, I've jumped over just about every hurdle D.C. can put in your path; in the Senate, I'll use my experience to help Hoosier business thrive. I'm honored to accept @USChamber's endorsement & look forward to working with them to keep our economy roaring. #INSen" . Twitter .
^
"NRA-PVF | NRA Endorses Braun for U.S. Senate in Indiana" . NRA-PVF.
Archived from the original on May 22, 2020. Retrieved April 18, 2024 .
^ Mike Braun.
"My dad gave me my first shotgun when I was 10 years old and I still use it to this day. I am honored to accept the @NRA's endorsement and to work with them to fight Democrat attacks on Hoosiers' fundamental right to bear arms and defend their families. #INSen" . Twitter .
^ Mike Braun.
"Manufacturing is the backbone of Indiana's economy, & I'm honored to accept this endorsement from the leading advocate for Hoosier manufacturers: @IMA1901. I look forward to working with IMA to keep Indiana manufacturing thriving & keep D.C. out of their way. #INSen #IBackBraun" . Twitter .
^
"NOM Endorses Candidates in Key Senate Midterm Contests" . NOM Blog . October 17, 2018. Archived from
the original on October 29, 2018. Retrieved October 31, 2018 .
^
"All tickets distributed for former President Barack Obama's Indiana rally" . October 31, 2018.
^
"Indiana Dems: Obama visiting Gary for Donnelly rally on Sunday" .
Chicago Tribune . Associated Press. October 31, 2018.
^ Joe Donnelly.
"Secretary Chuck Hagel has always known the importance of looking after our servicemembers & veterans. We worked closely together to pass the Jacob Sexton Military Suicide Prevention Act – my first bill in the Senate. It was an honor to have him here supporting our campaign" . Twitter .
^ Joe Donnelly.
"Thanks @BennetforCO for joining me on the road today to remind Hoosiers to vote early!" . Twitter .
^ Joe Donnelly.
"Very happy to have my friend @CoryBooker in Indy with me today. Starting the day right at Kountry Kitchen joined by ministers and @Andre4Congress talking about the importance of getting Hoosiers to the polls" . Twitter .
^ Joe Donnelly.
".@ChrisCoonsforDE and I made 7 different stops across Northwest Indiana yesterday where we met hundreds of Hoosiers who were ready to vote early (or already had!). Make a plan to vote as soon as possible today!" . Twitter .
^ Catherine Cortez Masto.
"Great stopping by a Harrison County field office in Indiana to help ensure Hoosiers send @JoeforIndiana back to the Senate! Joe's fighting to protect our health care & ensure those with pre-existing conditions can access the care they need" . Twitter .
^ Joe Donnelly.
"Packed house at the USW rally in Chesterton tonight! Thanks to my friend @DickDurbin for joining us! Our @steelworkers know just how much is on the line this election" . Twitter .
^ Tammy Duckworth.
"Today I am in Indiana supporting my friend @JoeforIndiana who is in a tough reelection fight. Our first stop was Shapiro's Deli where I got the famous Reuben and talked with voters. We then stopped by the campaign headquarters for a canvass kickoff and some phone banking" . Twitter .
^
"Kamala Harris makes fundraising pitch for Joe Donnelly" .
Associated Press . October 4, 2018.
^ Joe Donnelly.
"It was wonderful to have my friend @DougJones in Indianapolis with me this morning. Doug is right -- make sure you're registered and make a plan to vote on November 6!" . Twitter .
^ Joe Donnelly.
"Thanks to my friend @amyklobuchar for coming to see all our volunteers in South Bend yesterday! We've got folks all over the state knocking on doors and talking to voters" . Twitter .
^ Brian Schatz.
"Today is a good day to send a few bucks, or more, to Joe Donnelly. He's good people" . Twitter .
^ John Gregg.
"A great read in @JGfortwayne about @JoeforIndiana working hard for all Hoosiers! 'The hired help' Connecting with farmers big part of Donnelly's re-election effort" . Twitter .
^
"Thomas McDermott on Twitter" .
^
"Victor Oladipo on Twitter" .
^
"Kevin Rader on Twitter" . Twitter .
^
"Amy Schumer on Twitter" .
^ Siskind, Amy [@Amy_Siskind] (October 8, 2018).
"END Mitch McConnell's reign of terror. Donate/volunteer for these close senate races: Jacky Rosen, NV Phil Bredesen, TN Claire McCaskill, MO Bill Nelson, FL Joe Donnelly, IN Heidi Heitkamp, ND Beto O'Rourke, TX Kyrsten Sinema, AZ Tammy Baldwin, WI" (
Tweet ). Retrieved October 20, 2018 – via
Twitter .
^ Joe Donnelly.
"Thanks Derrick Mayes for your support! Hoosiers, please make your plan to vote!" . Twitter .
^
"Retiree Group Endorses Sen. Joe Donnelly for U.S. Senate - Retired Americans" . Retired Americans. October 9, 2018. Archived from
the original on October 29, 2018. Retrieved October 29, 2018 .
^
"Our Candidates - CWA Political" . CWA Political . Archived from
the original on April 3, 2018. Retrieved October 9, 2018 .
^
"Candidates We Endorse and Support - NCPSSM" . ncpssm.org .
^
"NEA Fund - Recommended Candidates" . neafund.org .
^
"Indiana – Official UAW Endorsements" . uawendorsements.org . United Automobile Workers.
^ Joe Donnelly.
" "America needs more senators like Joe Donnelly. Indiana needs to re-elect him." Thank you, @JGfortwayne!" . Twitter .
^
"Indiana chamber won't endorse GOP businessman for Senate" .
Associated Press . September 1, 2018.
^
"IndyStar Editorial Board: Why Joe Donnelly deserves re-election to U.S. Senate" .
Indianapolis Star . November 4, 2018. Retrieved November 5, 2018 .
^
"IndyStar Editorial Board: Why Mike Braun is right choice for U.S. Senate" .
Indianapolis Star . November 4, 2018. Retrieved November 5, 2018 .
^
"Indiana Election Results" .
CNN . November 9, 2018.
^ Lange, Kaitlin.
"Why Indiana Democrats are flailing and how they might find a road back" . Indianapolis Star . Retrieved November 13, 2018 .
^
"Indiana Election Results" . enr.indianavoters.in.gov . Retrieved March 14, 2024 .
^
"Georgia Gubernatorial election exit poll" . CNN .
Archived from the original on January 5, 2021. Retrieved April 1, 2019 .
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